Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Martin Damm Jr. v Ben Shelton

Início: 2026-07-28 18:30 UTC

Final: Martin Damm Jr. 1–2 Ben Shelton

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Martin Damm Jr. (Local)

Previsão 28.83%3.47odd justa
EV -1.69%
Vantagem -0.497%
Kelly -0.703%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.41

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.66%28.95%28.73%30.72%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.003.273.253.4133.33%30.60%30.77%29.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Ben Shelton (Visitante)

Previsão 71.17%1.41odd justa
EV -3.21%
Vantagem -2.36%
Kelly -8.91%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.36

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
69.28%71.05%71.27%72.34%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.301.331.331.3676.92%75.11%75.19%73.53%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Martin Damm Jr. (Local): 28.83%; Ben Shelton (Visitante): 71.17%. Para Martin Damm Jr. (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.47. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.41, com valor esperado de -1.69%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
DraftKings🎯3.41I 29.33%NM 27.91%EV -1.69%E -0.497%K -0.703%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.09%EV -6.05%E -4.59%K -18.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 14:09
Winamax (DE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -1.98%E -0.583%K -0.826%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%EV -3.92%E -2.90%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-28 07:50
LowVig.ag🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -1.98%E -0.583%K -0.826%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.63%E -3.46%K -13.62%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-28 14:54
BetOnline.ag🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -1.98%E -0.583%K -0.826%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.63%E -3.46%K -13.62%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-28 15:00
Bovada🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.98%E -0.583%K -0.826%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.34%E -4.02%K -16.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-28 14:10
BetAnything🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.98%E -0.583%K -0.826%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.34%E -4.02%K -16.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-28 14:09
BetMGM🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -1.98%E -0.583%K -0.826%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -6.77%E -5.16%K -21.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-28 16:09
Coral🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -1.98%E -0.583%K -0.826%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.48%E -5.75%K -24.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-28 16:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -1.98%E -0.583%K -0.826%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.48%E -5.75%K -24.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-28 16:09
Pinnacle🎯3.39I 29.50%NM 28.63%EV -2.27%E -0.670%K -0.950%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.37%EV -3.21%E -2.36%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-28 18:15
Betclic (FR)🎯3.38I 29.59%NM 28.39%EV -2.56%E -0.757%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.61%EV -4.63%E -3.46%K -13.62%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-28 15:34
FanDuel🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.42%E -1.02%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.05%E -4.59%K -18.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-28 17:59
SportsBet🎯3.33I 30.03%NM 28.08%EV -4.00%E -1.20%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.92%EV -7.48%E -5.75%K -24.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-28 10:20
1xBet🎯3.31I 30.21%NM 28.97%EV -4.58%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.03%EV -3.92%E -2.90%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-28 18:09
ReBet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.86%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.63%E -3.46%K -13.62%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-28 17:45
Unibet (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.86%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.63%E -3.46%K -13.62%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-28 14:54
Fanatics🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.86%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.34%E -4.02%K -16.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-28 14:54
888sport🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.86%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.34%E -4.02%K -16.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-28 18:25
William Hill🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.86%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.34%E -4.02%K -16.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-28 18:24
Winamax (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.86%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.34%E -4.02%K -16.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-28 14:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.86%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.34%E -4.02%K -16.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-28 18:24
888sport (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.86%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.34%E -4.02%K -16.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-28 18:24
Dabble (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.86%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.34%E -4.02%K -16.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-28 17:24
Bet Right🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.63%E -3.46%K -13.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 17:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.63%E -3.46%K -13.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 17:55
TABtouch🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.63%E -3.46%K -13.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 17:54
Unibet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.63%E -3.46%K -13.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 17:54
BetRivers🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.63%E -3.46%K -13.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 17:54
Unibet (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.63%E -3.46%K -13.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 17:55
Casumo🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.63%E -3.46%K -13.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 17:55
Grosvenor🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.63%E -3.46%K -13.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 17:55
Unibet (NL)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.63%E -3.46%K -13.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 17:54
ATG (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.63%E -3.46%K -13.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 17:54
betPARX🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.63%E -3.46%K -13.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 17:54
Svenska Spel🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.63%E -3.46%K -13.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 17:54
Bally Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.63%E -3.46%K -13.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 17:54
Betr (AU)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.34%E -4.02%K -16.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 17:54
theScore Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.34%E -4.02%K -16.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 10:29
Betway🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.34%E -4.02%K -16.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 14:55
PlayUp🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.34%E -4.02%K -16.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 17:25
betfred_uk🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.34%E -4.02%K -16.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 10:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.34%E -4.02%K -16.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 17:54
Unibet (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.34%E -4.02%K -16.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 14:54
Betsson🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.34%E -4.02%K -16.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 14:54
NordicBet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.34%E -4.02%K -16.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 14:54
BetUS🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.34%E -4.02%K -16.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 12:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.34%E -4.02%K -16.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 10:19
NetBet (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -6.77%E -5.16%K -21.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-28 17:55
Virgin Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -7.75%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.63%E -3.46%K -13.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-28 17:54
LiveScore Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -7.75%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.63%E -3.46%K -13.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-28 17:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.75%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.34%E -4.02%K -16.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-28 14:55
Neds🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.75%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.34%E -4.02%K -16.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-28 16:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.75%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.34%E -4.02%K -16.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-28 16:10
TAB🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.75%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.05%E -4.59%K -18.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-28 17:24
Sky Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.75%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.48%E -5.75%K -24.93%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-28 10:20
Paddy Power🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.75%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.48%E -5.75%K -24.93%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-28 10:19
PMU (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -9.19%E -2.92%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -5.34%E -4.02%K -16.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-28 17:55
BoyleSports🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.63%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.21%E -2.36%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-28 05:39
betano_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.63%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.34%E -4.02%K -16.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-28 18:24
Caesars🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.63%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.34%E -4.02%K -16.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-28 18:04
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -13.51%E -4.50%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.34%E -4.02%K -16.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-28 17:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71%0.4%2026-07-28 18:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71%0.4%2026-07-28 18:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71%0.4%2026-07-28 18:20
Matchbook3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71%0.4%2026-07-28 18:15
ProphetX3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42%1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58%1.3%2026-07-28 17:50
Novig3.51I 28.49%NM 28.07%1.37I 72.99%NM 71.93%1.5%2026-07-28 18:25
Smarkets3.65I 27.40%NM 26.85%1.34I 74.63%NM 73.15%2.0%2026-07-28 18:05