Language:English
Karen Khachanov v Carlos Alcaraz
Head to Head
Karen Khachanov (Local)
Prediction 21.57%4.64fair odd
EV +2.67%
Edge +0.561%
Kelly +0.710%
Growth +0.019%
assuming max odds 4.76
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.28%21.58%21.60%23.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.854.394.434.7625.97%22.76%22.60%21.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Carlos Alcaraz (Visit)
Prediction 78.43%1.28fair odd
EV -4.31%
Edge -3.54%
Kelly -19.61%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.22
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.69%78.42%78.40%79.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.161.201.201.2286.21%83.25%83.33%81.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Karen Khachanov (Local): 21.57%; Carlos Alcaraz (Visit): 78.43%. For Karen Khachanov (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.64. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.76, producing a positive expected value of +2.67%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.40%EV +2.67%E +0.561%K +0.710%G +0.019% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.60%EV -4.31%E -3.54%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-10-26 07:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV +1.38%E +0.293%K +0.372%G +0.005% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -5.88%E -4.90%K -29.42%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-26 05:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -0.780%E -0.170%K -0.217%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.88%E -4.90%K -29.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-26 05:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -0.780%E -0.170%K -0.217%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.88%E -4.90%K -29.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-26 05:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -0.780%E -0.170%K -0.217%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.88%E -4.90%K -29.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-26 05:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -0.780%E -0.170%K -0.217%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.88%E -4.90%K -29.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-26 05:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -0.780%E -0.170%K -0.217%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.88%E -4.90%K -29.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-26 05:06 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -0.780%E -0.170%K -0.217%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.88%E -4.90%K -29.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-26 05:06 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -0.780%E -0.170%K -0.217%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.88%E -4.90%K -29.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-26 05:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -0.780%E -0.170%K -0.217%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.88%E -4.90%K -29.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-26 05:06 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -0.780%E -0.170%K -0.217%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.88%E -4.90%K -29.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-26 05:06 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -0.780%E -0.170%K -0.217%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.88%E -4.90%K -29.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-26 05:06 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -0.780%E -0.170%K -0.217%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.88%E -4.90%K -29.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-26 05:13 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -0.780%E -0.170%K -0.217%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.88%E -4.90%K -29.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-26 05:36 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -0.780%E -0.170%K -0.217%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.88%E -4.90%K -29.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-26 05:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -0.780%E -0.170%K -0.217%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.88%E -4.90%K -29.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-26 05:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -0.780%E -0.170%K -0.217%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -8.24%E -7.04%K -48.45%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-26 05:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV -2.72%E -0.603%K -0.775%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -5.10%E -4.21%K -24.28%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-26 05:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV -2.72%E -0.603%K -0.775%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -5.10%E -4.21%K -24.28%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-26 05:06 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.94%E -0.653%K -0.839%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.31%E -3.54%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-26 05:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -2.94%E -0.653%K -0.839%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.10%E -4.21%K -24.28%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-26 05:13 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.94%E -0.653%K -0.839%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.88%E -4.90%K -29.42%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-26 05:46 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -2.94%E -0.653%K -0.839%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.45%E -6.32%K -41.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-26 05:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -2.94%E -0.653%K -0.839%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.24%E -7.04%K -48.45%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-26 05:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -4.02%E -0.902%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -5.10%E -4.21%K -24.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-26 05:46 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.09%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.88%E -4.90%K -29.42%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-26 05:13 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.09%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.88%E -4.90%K -29.42%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-26 05:31 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.09%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.88%E -4.90%K -29.42%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-26 06:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -6.17%E -1.42%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.10%E -4.21%K -24.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-26 05:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -6.60%E -1.53%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.88%E -4.90%K -29.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-26 05:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -6.60%E -1.53%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.88%E -4.90%K -29.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-26 05:49 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -7.25%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.31%E -3.54%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-26 05:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -7.25%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.88%E -4.90%K -29.42%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-26 05:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -8.33%E -1.96%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.31%E -3.54%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-26 07:16 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -8.33%E -1.96%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -5.88%E -4.90%K -29.42%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-26 05:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV -8.33%E -1.96%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.56%EV -9.02%E -7.78%K -56.38%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-26 05:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.41%E -2.24%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.31%E -3.54%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-26 07:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.41%E -2.24%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.31%E -3.54%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-26 05:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.41%E -2.24%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.31%E -3.54%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-26 05:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.41%E -2.24%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.31%E -3.54%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-26 05:31 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.41%E -2.24%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.31%E -3.54%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-26 05:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -9.41%E -2.24%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.88%E -4.90%K -29.42%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-26 05:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -9.41%E -2.24%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.88%E -4.90%K -29.42%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-26 05:05 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -9.41%E -2.24%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -6.67%E -5.60%K -35.09%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-26 05:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV -10.49%E -2.53%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.57%EV -5.88%E -4.90%K -29.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-26 06:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -11.56%E -2.82%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.31%E -3.54%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-26 05:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -11.56%E -2.82%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.31%E -3.54%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-26 05:16 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.00%EV -14.80%E -3.75%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.00%EV -7.45%E -6.32%K -41.40%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-26 05:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.08%EV -15.88%E -4.07%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 76.92%EV -8.24%E -7.04%K -48.45%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-26 06:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.31%EV -16.96%E -4.40%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 76.69%EV -8.24%E -7.04%K -48.45%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-26 05:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.40% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.60% | 2.1% | 2026-10-26 07:16 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.40% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.60% | 2.1% | 2026-10-26 07:16 |
| Novig◎ | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.53% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.47% | 2.3% | 2026-10-26 07:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.78% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.22% | 3.5% | 2026-10-26 07:16 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.13% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.87% | 3.5% | 2026-10-26 05:06 |