StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Karen Khachanov v Carlos Alcaraz

2026-10-27 12:30 UTC — ATP Vienna Open

Matchresultat

53 spelbolag (16 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Karen Khachanov (Hemma)

Prognos 21.37%4.68rättvist odds
EV +2.56%
Fördel +0.534%
Kelly +0.674%
Tillväxt +0.017%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.80

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
20.00%21.41%21.40%23.31%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.854.414.454.8025.97%22.69%22.47%20.83%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Carlos Alcaraz (Borta)

Prognos 78.63%1.27rättvist odds
EV -4.07%
Fördel -3.33%
Kelly -18.49%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.22

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
76.69%78.59%78.60%80.00%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.161.201.201.2286.21%83.24%83.33%81.97%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: Karen Khachanov (Hemma): 21.37%; Carlos Alcaraz (Borta): 78.63%. För Karen Khachanov (Hemma) motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 4.68. 3 spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån; bästa tillgängliga odds är 4.80, vilket ger ett positivt väntevärde på +2.56%.

Spelbolagsodds (53 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
BoyleSports🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV +2.56%E +0.534%K +0.674%G +0.017%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -5.64%E -4.70%K -28.20%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-26 07:40
Pinnacle🎯4.76I 21.01%NM 20.40%EV +1.71%E +0.359%K +0.454%G +0.008%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.60%EV -4.07%E -3.33%K -18.49%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-26 07:20
FanDuel🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV +0.425%E +0.090%K +0.115%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -5.64%E -4.70%K -28.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-26 05:05
Unibet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.71%E -0.372%K -0.476%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.64%E -4.70%K -28.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 05:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.71%E -0.372%K -0.476%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.64%E -4.70%K -28.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 05:05
Grosvenor🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.71%E -0.372%K -0.476%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.64%E -4.70%K -28.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 05:05
Casumo🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.71%E -0.372%K -0.476%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.64%E -4.70%K -28.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 05:05
Unibet (NL)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.71%E -0.372%K -0.476%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.64%E -4.70%K -28.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 05:06
TABtouch🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.71%E -0.372%K -0.476%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.64%E -4.70%K -28.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 05:06
betPARX🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.71%E -0.372%K -0.476%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.64%E -4.70%K -28.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 05:05
Bally Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.71%E -0.372%K -0.476%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.64%E -4.70%K -28.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 05:06
Svenska Spel🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.71%E -0.372%K -0.476%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.64%E -4.70%K -28.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 05:06
ATG (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.71%E -0.372%K -0.476%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.64%E -4.70%K -28.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 05:06
Unibet (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.71%E -0.372%K -0.476%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.64%E -4.70%K -28.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 05:13
BetRivers🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.71%E -0.372%K -0.476%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.64%E -4.70%K -28.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 05:36
LiveScore Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.71%E -0.372%K -0.476%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.64%E -4.70%K -28.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 05:55
Virgin Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.71%E -0.372%K -0.476%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.64%E -4.70%K -28.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 05:55
SportsBet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -1.71%E -0.372%K -0.476%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -8.00%E -6.84%K -47.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-26 05:05
BetOnline.ag🎯4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV -3.64%E -0.806%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -4.85%E -4.01%K -23.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-26 05:05
LowVig.ag🎯4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV -3.64%E -0.806%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -4.85%E -4.01%K -23.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-26 05:06
Bovada🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.85%E -0.855%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.07%E -3.33%K -18.49%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-26 05:04
Bet Right🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.85%E -0.855%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.85%E -4.01%K -23.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-26 05:13
Coolbet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.85%E -0.855%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.85%E -4.01%K -23.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-26 07:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.85%E -0.855%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.64%E -4.70%K -28.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-26 05:46
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -3.85%E -0.855%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.21%E -6.11%K -40.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-26 05:15
Paddy Power🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -3.85%E -0.855%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.00%E -6.84%K -47.05%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-26 05:05
DraftKings🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -4.92%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -4.85%E -4.01%K -23.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 05:46
Betr (AU)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.99%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.64%E -4.70%K -28.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-26 05:13
BetMGM🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.99%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.64%E -4.70%K -28.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-26 05:31
Winamax (DE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.99%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.64%E -4.70%K -28.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-26 06:00
Betsson🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.99%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.64%E -4.70%K -28.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-26 07:55
NordicBet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.99%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.64%E -4.70%K -28.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-26 07:55
Fanatics🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -7.05%E -1.62%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -4.85%E -4.01%K -23.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-26 05:59
Coral🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -7.48%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.64%E -4.70%K -28.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-26 05:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -7.48%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.64%E -4.70%K -28.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-26 05:49
BetAnything🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -8.12%E -1.89%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.07%E -3.33%K -18.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-26 05:05
Unibet (UK)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -8.12%E -1.89%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.64%E -4.70%K -28.20%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-26 05:59
Betway🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.19%E -2.16%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.07%E -3.33%K -18.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-26 07:16
theScore Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -9.19%E -2.16%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -5.64%E -4.70%K -28.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-26 05:59
PMU (FR)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV -9.19%E -2.16%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 78.56%EV -8.79%E -7.57%K -54.91%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-26 05:05
PlayUp🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.07%E -3.33%K -18.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-26 07:10
888sport🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.07%E -3.33%K -18.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-26 05:25
888sport (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.07%E -3.33%K -18.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-26 05:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.07%E -3.33%K -18.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-26 05:31
William Hill🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.07%E -3.33%K -18.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-26 05:59
TAB🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.64%E -4.70%K -28.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-26 05:05
picklebet_au🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -6.43%E -5.40%K -33.82%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-26 05:24
LeoVegas🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV -11.33%E -2.73%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.57%EV -5.64%E -4.70%K -28.20%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-26 06:00
Neds🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -12.40%E -3.02%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.07%E -3.33%K -18.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-26 05:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -12.40%E -3.02%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.07%E -3.33%K -18.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-26 05:16
ReBet🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.00%EV -15.60%E -3.95%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.00%EV -7.21%E -6.11%K -40.07%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-26 05:59
Unibet (FR)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.08%EV -16.67%E -4.27%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 76.92%EV -8.00%E -6.84%K -47.05%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-26 06:00
Winamax (FR)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.31%EV -17.74%E -4.61%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 76.69%EV -8.00%E -6.84%K -47.05%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-26 05:59
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Novig◎5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61%1.22I 81.97%NM 80.39%2.0%2026-10-26 07:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.80I 20.83%NM 20.40%1.23I 81.30%NM 79.60%2.1%2026-10-26 07:16
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.80I 20.83%NM 20.40%1.23I 81.30%NM 79.60%2.1%2026-10-26 07:16
ProphetX◎4.65I 21.51%NM 20.78%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.22%3.5%2026-10-26 07:16
Matchbook◎4.80I 20.83%NM 20.13%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.87%3.5%2026-10-26 05:06