Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Karen Khachanov v Carlos Alcaraz

2026-10-27 12:30 UTC — ATP Vienna Open

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Karen Khachanov (Local)

Previsão 21.37%4.68odd justa
EV +2.56%
Vantagem +0.534%
Kelly +0.674%
Crescimento +0.017%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.00%21.41%21.40%23.31%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.854.414.454.8025.97%22.69%22.47%20.83%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Carlos Alcaraz (Visitante)

Previsão 78.63%1.27odd justa
EV -4.07%
Vantagem -3.33%
Kelly -18.49%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.22

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
76.69%78.59%78.60%80.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.161.201.201.2286.21%83.24%83.33%81.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Karen Khachanov (Local): 21.37%; Carlos Alcaraz (Visitante): 78.63%. Para Karen Khachanov (Local), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 4.68. 3 casas de apostas oferecem odds acima desse nível; as melhores odds disponíveis são 4.80, produzindo um valor esperado positivo de +2.56%.

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
BoyleSports🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV +2.56%E +0.534%K +0.674%G +0.017%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -5.64%E -4.70%K -28.20%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-26 07:40
Pinnacle🎯4.76I 21.01%NM 20.40%EV +1.71%E +0.359%K +0.454%G +0.008%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.60%EV -4.07%E -3.33%K -18.49%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-26 07:20
FanDuel🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV +0.425%E +0.090%K +0.115%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -5.64%E -4.70%K -28.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-26 05:05
Unibet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.71%E -0.372%K -0.476%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.64%E -4.70%K -28.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 05:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.71%E -0.372%K -0.476%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.64%E -4.70%K -28.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 05:05
Grosvenor🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.71%E -0.372%K -0.476%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.64%E -4.70%K -28.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 05:05
Casumo🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.71%E -0.372%K -0.476%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.64%E -4.70%K -28.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 05:05
Unibet (NL)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.71%E -0.372%K -0.476%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.64%E -4.70%K -28.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 05:06
TABtouch🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.71%E -0.372%K -0.476%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.64%E -4.70%K -28.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 05:06
betPARX🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.71%E -0.372%K -0.476%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.64%E -4.70%K -28.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 05:05
Bally Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.71%E -0.372%K -0.476%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.64%E -4.70%K -28.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 05:06
Svenska Spel🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.71%E -0.372%K -0.476%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.64%E -4.70%K -28.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 05:06
ATG (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.71%E -0.372%K -0.476%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.64%E -4.70%K -28.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 05:06
Unibet (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.71%E -0.372%K -0.476%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.64%E -4.70%K -28.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 05:13
BetRivers🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.71%E -0.372%K -0.476%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.64%E -4.70%K -28.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 05:36
LiveScore Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.71%E -0.372%K -0.476%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.64%E -4.70%K -28.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 05:55
Virgin Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.71%E -0.372%K -0.476%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.64%E -4.70%K -28.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 05:55
SportsBet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -1.71%E -0.372%K -0.476%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -8.00%E -6.84%K -47.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-26 05:05
BetOnline.ag🎯4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV -3.64%E -0.806%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -4.85%E -4.01%K -23.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-26 05:05
LowVig.ag🎯4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV -3.64%E -0.806%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -4.85%E -4.01%K -23.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-26 05:06
Bovada🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.85%E -0.855%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.07%E -3.33%K -18.49%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-26 05:04
Bet Right🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.85%E -0.855%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.85%E -4.01%K -23.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-26 05:13
Coolbet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.85%E -0.855%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.85%E -4.01%K -23.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-26 07:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.85%E -0.855%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.64%E -4.70%K -28.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-26 05:46
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -3.85%E -0.855%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.21%E -6.11%K -40.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-26 05:15
Paddy Power🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -3.85%E -0.855%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.00%E -6.84%K -47.05%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-26 05:05
DraftKings🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -4.92%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -4.85%E -4.01%K -23.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 05:46
Betr (AU)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.99%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.64%E -4.70%K -28.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-26 05:13
BetMGM🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.99%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.64%E -4.70%K -28.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-26 05:31
Winamax (DE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.99%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.64%E -4.70%K -28.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-26 06:00
Betsson🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.99%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.64%E -4.70%K -28.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-26 07:55
NordicBet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.99%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.64%E -4.70%K -28.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-26 07:55
Fanatics🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -7.05%E -1.62%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -4.85%E -4.01%K -23.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-26 05:59
Coral🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -7.48%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.64%E -4.70%K -28.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-26 05:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -7.48%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.64%E -4.70%K -28.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-26 05:49
BetAnything🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -8.12%E -1.89%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.07%E -3.33%K -18.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-26 05:05
Unibet (UK)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -8.12%E -1.89%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.64%E -4.70%K -28.20%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-26 05:59
Betway🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.19%E -2.16%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.07%E -3.33%K -18.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-26 07:16
theScore Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -9.19%E -2.16%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -5.64%E -4.70%K -28.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-26 05:59
PMU (FR)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV -9.19%E -2.16%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 78.56%EV -8.79%E -7.57%K -54.91%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-26 05:05
PlayUp🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.07%E -3.33%K -18.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-26 07:10
888sport🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.07%E -3.33%K -18.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-26 05:25
888sport (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.07%E -3.33%K -18.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-26 05:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.07%E -3.33%K -18.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-26 05:31
William Hill🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.07%E -3.33%K -18.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-26 05:59
TAB🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.64%E -4.70%K -28.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-26 05:05
picklebet_au🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -6.43%E -5.40%K -33.82%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-26 05:24
LeoVegas🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV -11.33%E -2.73%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.57%EV -5.64%E -4.70%K -28.20%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-26 06:00
Neds🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -12.40%E -3.02%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.07%E -3.33%K -18.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-26 05:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -12.40%E -3.02%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.07%E -3.33%K -18.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-26 05:16
ReBet🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.00%EV -15.60%E -3.95%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.00%EV -7.21%E -6.11%K -40.07%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-26 05:59
Unibet (FR)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.08%EV -16.67%E -4.27%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 76.92%EV -8.00%E -6.84%K -47.05%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-26 06:00
Winamax (FR)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.31%EV -17.74%E -4.61%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 76.69%EV -8.00%E -6.84%K -47.05%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-26 05:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig◎5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61%1.22I 81.97%NM 80.39%2.0%2026-10-26 07:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.80I 20.83%NM 20.40%1.23I 81.30%NM 79.60%2.1%2026-10-26 07:16
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.80I 20.83%NM 20.40%1.23I 81.30%NM 79.60%2.1%2026-10-26 07:16
ProphetX◎4.65I 21.51%NM 20.78%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.22%3.5%2026-10-26 07:16
Matchbook◎4.80I 20.83%NM 20.13%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.87%3.5%2026-10-26 05:06