StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Yannick Hanfmann v Alejandro Tabilo

Matchstart: 2026-08-31 19:49 UTC

Slutresultat: Yannick Hanfmann 1–3 Alejandro Tabilo

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

61 spelbolag (20 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Yannick Hanfmann (Hemma)

Prognos 45.34%2.21rättvist odds
EV +1.10%
Fördel +0.492%
Kelly +0.892%
Tillväxt +0.010%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.23

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
43.15%45.22%45.10%46.75%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.982.122.102.2350.51%47.27%47.62%44.84%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Alejandro Tabilo (Borta)

Prognos 54.66%1.83rättvist odds
EV -1.60%
Fördel -0.891%
Kelly -2.00%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.80

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
53.25%54.78%54.90%56.85%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.641.721.721.8060.98%58.23%58.14%55.56%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Yannick Hanfmann (Hemma): 45.34%; Alejandro Tabilo (Borta): 54.66%. För Yannick Hanfmann (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.21. 2 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 2.23, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +1.10%.

Spelbolagsodds (61 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
BetOnline.ag🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV +1.10%E +0.492%K +0.892%G +0.010%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -7.07%E -4.16%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-31 19:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV +1.10%E +0.492%K +0.892%G +0.010%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -7.07%E -4.16%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-31 19:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -0.263%E -0.119%K -0.219%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -7.62%E -4.51%K -11.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-28 16:05
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.263%E -0.119%K -0.219%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.71%E -5.22%K -13.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 19:55
Unibet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -1.17%E -0.536%K -0.991%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -8.16%E -4.86%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 16:04
LiveScore Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -1.17%E -0.536%K -0.991%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -8.16%E -4.86%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 16:04
TABtouch🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -1.17%E -0.536%K -0.991%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -8.16%E -4.86%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 16:05
Casumo🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -1.17%E -0.536%K -0.991%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -8.16%E -4.86%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 16:05
Grosvenor🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -1.17%E -0.536%K -0.991%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -8.16%E -4.86%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 16:04
Unibet (NL)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -1.17%E -0.536%K -0.991%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -8.16%E -4.86%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 16:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -1.17%E -0.536%K -0.991%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -8.16%E -4.86%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 16:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -1.17%E -0.536%K -0.991%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -8.16%E -4.86%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 16:05
Bally Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -1.17%E -0.536%K -0.991%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -8.16%E -4.86%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 16:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -1.17%E -0.536%K -0.991%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -8.16%E -4.86%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 16:05
betPARX🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -1.17%E -0.536%K -0.991%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -8.16%E -4.86%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 16:04
BetRivers🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -1.17%E -0.536%K -0.991%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -8.16%E -4.86%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 16:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -1.17%E -0.536%K -0.991%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -8.16%E -4.86%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 16:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -1.17%E -0.536%K -0.991%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -8.16%E -4.86%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 16:04
Pinnacle🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.78%EV -1.62%E -0.748%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.22%EV -3.79%E -2.15%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-31 19:15
ReBet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -2.98%E -1.39%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -4.34%E -2.48%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-31 16:25
FanDuel🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.98%E -1.39%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.43%E -3.14%K -7.44%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-31 08:59
SportsBet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -3.44%E -1.61%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -5.98%E -3.47%K -8.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 09:00
1xBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.89%E -1.83%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.88%E -2.81%K -6.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-31 19:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -3.89%E -1.83%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -6.52%E -3.81%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 19:30
PMU (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -3.89%E -1.83%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.38%EV -10.35%E -6.31%K -16.17%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-28 16:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -1.60%E -0.891%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-31 19:40
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.24%E -1.83%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-31 19:39
TAB🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.34%E -2.48%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-31 16:49
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.43%E -3.14%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-31 08:55
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.43%E -3.14%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-31 10:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.43%E -3.14%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-31 10:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.43%E -3.14%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-31 10:25
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.43%E -3.14%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-31 09:00
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.43%E -3.14%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-31 09:00
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.43%E -3.14%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-31 09:00
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.43%E -3.14%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-31 15:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.43%E -3.14%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-31 15:55
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.43%E -3.14%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-31 16:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.43%E -3.14%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-31 19:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.98%E -3.47%K -8.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 12:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.52%E -3.81%K -9.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-31 19:11
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.52%E -3.81%K -9.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-31 19:11
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.52%E -3.81%K -9.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-31 15:55
BetAnything🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.52%E -3.81%K -9.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-31 16:45
NetBet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -8.16%E -4.86%K -12.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-31 16:55
PlayUp🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.70%E -2.74%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.34%E -2.48%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 18:35
LeoVegas🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -5.70%E -2.74%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -5.98%E -3.47%K -8.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 19:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -6.61%E -3.21%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -2.70%E -1.51%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 19:40
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -7.06%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.60%E -0.891%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-31 19:45
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -7.06%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -2.70%E -1.51%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-31 19:40
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.06%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.24%E -1.83%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 19:40
MyBookie.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.06%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.34%E -2.48%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 19:44
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.06%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.34%E -2.48%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 19:40
Caesars🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.06%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.88%E -2.81%K -6.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 09:11
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.06%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.88%E -2.81%K -6.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 19:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.06%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.07%E -4.16%K -10.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-31 16:01
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.06%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.07%E -4.16%K -10.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-31 15:55
Betsson🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -7.52%E -3.68%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -4.88%E -2.81%K -6.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-31 19:40
NordicBet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -7.52%E -3.68%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -4.88%E -2.81%K -6.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-31 19:40
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%EV -9.33%E -4.66%K -9.33%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -8.71%E -5.22%K -13.00%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-31 19:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.20%EV -10.24%E -5.17%K -10.45%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -7.07%E -4.16%K -10.10%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-31 19:41
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (8)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%0.4%2026-08-31 19:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%0.4%2026-08-31 19:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%0.4%2026-08-31 19:45
Matchbook◎2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%0.7%2026-08-31 19:45
ProphetX◎2.27I 44.05%NM 43.67%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.33%0.9%2026-08-31 19:45
Kalshi◎2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-08-31 19:00
Novig◎2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%1.9%2026-08-31 19:45
Smarkets◎2.22I 45.05%NM 43.80%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.20%2.8%2026-08-31 19:45