Język:Polski
Yannick Hanfmann v Alejandro Tabilo
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Yannick Hanfmann (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 45.34%2.21kurs godziwy
EV +1.10%
Przewaga +0.492%
Kelly +0.892%
Wzrost +0.010%
przy maksymalnym kursie 2.23
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
43.15%45.22%45.10%46.75%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.982.122.102.2350.51%47.27%47.62%44.84%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Alejandro Tabilo (Goście)
Prognoza 54.66%1.83kurs godziwy
EV -1.60%
Przewaga -0.891%
Kelly -2.00%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.80
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
53.25%54.78%54.90%56.85%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.641.721.721.8060.98%58.23%58.14%55.56%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Yannick Hanfmann (Gospodarze): 45.34%; Alejandro Tabilo (Goście): 54.66%. Dla wyniku Yannick Hanfmann (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.21. 2 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 2.23, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +1.10%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (61 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV +1.10%E +0.492%K +0.892%G +0.010% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -7.07%E -4.16%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-31 19:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV +1.10%E +0.492%K +0.892%G +0.010% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -7.07%E -4.16%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-31 19:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -0.263%E -0.119%K -0.219%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -7.62%E -4.51%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-28 16:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.263%E -0.119%K -0.219%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.71%E -5.22%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 19:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -1.17%E -0.536%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -8.16%E -4.86%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-28 16:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -1.17%E -0.536%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -8.16%E -4.86%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-28 16:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -1.17%E -0.536%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -8.16%E -4.86%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-28 16:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -1.17%E -0.536%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -8.16%E -4.86%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-28 16:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -1.17%E -0.536%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -8.16%E -4.86%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-28 16:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -1.17%E -0.536%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -8.16%E -4.86%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-28 16:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -1.17%E -0.536%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -8.16%E -4.86%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-28 16:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -1.17%E -0.536%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -8.16%E -4.86%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-28 16:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -1.17%E -0.536%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -8.16%E -4.86%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-28 16:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -1.17%E -0.536%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -8.16%E -4.86%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-28 16:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -1.17%E -0.536%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -8.16%E -4.86%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-28 16:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -1.17%E -0.536%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -8.16%E -4.86%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-28 16:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -1.17%E -0.536%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -8.16%E -4.86%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-28 16:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -1.17%E -0.536%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -8.16%E -4.86%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-28 16:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.78%EV -1.62%E -0.748%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.22%EV -3.79%E -2.15%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-31 19:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -2.98%E -1.39%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -4.34%E -2.48%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-31 16:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.98%E -1.39%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.43%E -3.14%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-31 08:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -3.44%E -1.61%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -5.98%E -3.47%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 09:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.89%E -1.83%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.88%E -2.81%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-31 19:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -3.89%E -1.83%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -6.52%E -3.81%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 19:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -3.89%E -1.83%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.38%EV -10.35%E -6.31%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-28 16:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -1.60%E -0.891%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-31 19:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.24%E -1.83%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-31 19:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.34%E -2.48%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-31 16:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.43%E -3.14%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-31 08:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.43%E -3.14%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-31 10:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.43%E -3.14%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-31 10:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.43%E -3.14%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-31 10:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.43%E -3.14%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-31 09:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.43%E -3.14%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-31 09:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.43%E -3.14%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-31 09:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.43%E -3.14%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-31 15:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.43%E -3.14%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-31 15:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.43%E -3.14%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-31 16:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.43%E -3.14%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-31 19:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.98%E -3.47%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 12:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.52%E -3.81%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-31 19:11 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.52%E -3.81%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-31 19:11 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.52%E -3.81%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-31 15:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.52%E -3.81%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-31 16:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -8.16%E -4.86%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-31 16:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.70%E -2.74%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.34%E -2.48%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 18:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -5.70%E -2.74%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -5.98%E -3.47%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 19:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -6.61%E -3.21%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -2.70%E -1.51%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 19:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -7.06%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.60%E -0.891%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-31 19:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -7.06%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -2.70%E -1.51%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-31 19:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.06%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.24%E -1.83%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 19:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.06%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.34%E -2.48%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 19:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.06%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.34%E -2.48%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 19:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.06%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.88%E -2.81%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 09:11 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.06%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.88%E -2.81%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 19:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.06%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.07%E -4.16%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-31 16:01 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.06%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.07%E -4.16%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-31 15:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -7.52%E -3.68%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -4.88%E -2.81%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-31 19:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -7.52%E -3.68%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -4.88%E -2.81%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-31 19:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%EV -9.33%E -4.66%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -8.71%E -5.22%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-31 19:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.20%EV -10.24%E -5.17%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -7.07%E -4.16%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-31 19:41 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (8)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30% | 0.4% | 2026-08-31 19:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30% | 0.4% | 2026-08-31 19:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30% | 0.4% | 2026-08-31 19:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08% | 0.7% | 2026-08-31 19:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.67% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.33% | 0.9% | 2026-08-31 19:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 1.2% | 2026-08-31 19:00 |
| Novig◎ | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39% | 1.9% | 2026-08-31 19:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.80% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.20% | 2.8% | 2026-08-31 19:45 |