Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Yannick Hanfmann v Alejandro Tabilo

Inizio: 2026-08-31 19:49 UTC

Finale: Yannick Hanfmann 1–3 Alejandro Tabilo

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

61 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Yannick Hanfmann (Casa)

Previsione 45.34%2.21quota equa
EV +1.10%
Vantaggio +0.492%
Kelly +0.892%
Crescita +0.010%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.23

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
43.15%45.22%45.10%46.75%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.982.122.102.2350.51%47.27%47.62%44.84%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alejandro Tabilo (Trasferta)

Previsione 54.66%1.83quota equa
EV -1.60%
Vantaggio -0.891%
Kelly -2.00%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
53.25%54.78%54.90%56.85%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.641.721.721.8060.98%58.23%58.14%55.56%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Yannick Hanfmann (Casa): 45.34%; Alejandro Tabilo (Trasferta): 54.66%. Per Yannick Hanfmann (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.21. 2 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 2.23, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +1.10%.

Quote dei bookmaker (61 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
BetOnline.ag🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV +1.10%E +0.492%K +0.892%G +0.010%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -7.07%E -4.16%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-31 19:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV +1.10%E +0.492%K +0.892%G +0.010%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -7.07%E -4.16%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-31 19:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -0.263%E -0.119%K -0.219%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -7.62%E -4.51%K -11.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-28 16:05
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.263%E -0.119%K -0.219%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.71%E -5.22%K -13.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 19:55
Unibet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -1.17%E -0.536%K -0.991%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -8.16%E -4.86%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 16:04
LiveScore Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -1.17%E -0.536%K -0.991%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -8.16%E -4.86%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 16:04
TABtouch🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -1.17%E -0.536%K -0.991%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -8.16%E -4.86%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 16:05
Casumo🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -1.17%E -0.536%K -0.991%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -8.16%E -4.86%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 16:05
Grosvenor🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -1.17%E -0.536%K -0.991%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -8.16%E -4.86%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 16:04
Unibet (NL)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -1.17%E -0.536%K -0.991%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -8.16%E -4.86%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 16:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -1.17%E -0.536%K -0.991%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -8.16%E -4.86%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 16:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -1.17%E -0.536%K -0.991%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -8.16%E -4.86%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 16:05
Bally Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -1.17%E -0.536%K -0.991%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -8.16%E -4.86%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 16:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -1.17%E -0.536%K -0.991%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -8.16%E -4.86%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 16:05
betPARX🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -1.17%E -0.536%K -0.991%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -8.16%E -4.86%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 16:04
BetRivers🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -1.17%E -0.536%K -0.991%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -8.16%E -4.86%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 16:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -1.17%E -0.536%K -0.991%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -8.16%E -4.86%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 16:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -1.17%E -0.536%K -0.991%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -8.16%E -4.86%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 16:04
Pinnacle🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.78%EV -1.62%E -0.748%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.22%EV -3.79%E -2.15%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-31 19:15
ReBet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -2.98%E -1.39%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -4.34%E -2.48%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-31 16:25
FanDuel🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.98%E -1.39%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.43%E -3.14%K -7.44%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-31 08:59
SportsBet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -3.44%E -1.61%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -5.98%E -3.47%K -8.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 09:00
1xBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.89%E -1.83%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.88%E -2.81%K -6.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-31 19:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -3.89%E -1.83%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -6.52%E -3.81%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 19:30
PMU (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -3.89%E -1.83%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.38%EV -10.35%E -6.31%K -16.17%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-28 16:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -1.60%E -0.891%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-31 19:40
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.24%E -1.83%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-31 19:39
TAB🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.34%E -2.48%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-31 16:49
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.43%E -3.14%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-31 08:55
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.43%E -3.14%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-31 10:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.43%E -3.14%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-31 10:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.43%E -3.14%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-31 10:25
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.43%E -3.14%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-31 09:00
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.43%E -3.14%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-31 09:00
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.43%E -3.14%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-31 09:00
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.43%E -3.14%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-31 15:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.43%E -3.14%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-31 15:55
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.43%E -3.14%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-31 16:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.43%E -3.14%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-31 19:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.98%E -3.47%K -8.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 12:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.52%E -3.81%K -9.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-31 19:11
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.52%E -3.81%K -9.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-31 19:11
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.52%E -3.81%K -9.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-31 15:55
BetAnything🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.52%E -3.81%K -9.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-31 16:45
NetBet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -8.16%E -4.86%K -12.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-31 16:55
PlayUp🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.70%E -2.74%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.34%E -2.48%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 18:35
LeoVegas🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -5.70%E -2.74%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -5.98%E -3.47%K -8.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 19:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -6.61%E -3.21%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -2.70%E -1.51%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 19:40
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -7.06%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.60%E -0.891%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-31 19:45
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -7.06%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -2.70%E -1.51%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-31 19:40
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.06%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.24%E -1.83%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 19:40
MyBookie.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.06%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.34%E -2.48%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 19:44
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.06%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.34%E -2.48%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 19:40
Caesars🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.06%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.88%E -2.81%K -6.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 09:11
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.06%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.88%E -2.81%K -6.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 19:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.06%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.07%E -4.16%K -10.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-31 16:01
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.06%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.07%E -4.16%K -10.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-31 15:55
Betsson🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -7.52%E -3.68%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -4.88%E -2.81%K -6.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-31 19:40
NordicBet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -7.52%E -3.68%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -4.88%E -2.81%K -6.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-31 19:40
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%EV -9.33%E -4.66%K -9.33%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -8.71%E -5.22%K -13.00%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-31 19:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.20%EV -10.24%E -5.17%K -10.45%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -7.07%E -4.16%K -10.10%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-31 19:41
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (8)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%0.4%2026-08-31 19:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%0.4%2026-08-31 19:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%0.4%2026-08-31 19:45
Matchbook◎2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%0.7%2026-08-31 19:45
ProphetX◎2.27I 44.05%NM 43.67%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.33%0.9%2026-08-31 19:45
Kalshi◎2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-08-31 19:00
Novig◎2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%1.9%2026-08-31 19:45
Smarkets◎2.22I 45.05%NM 43.80%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.20%2.8%2026-08-31 19:45