Langue:Français
Yannick Hanfmann v Alejandro Tabilo
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Yannick Hanfmann (Local)
Prévision 45.34%2.21cote équitable
EV +1.10%
Avantage +0.492%
Kelly +0.892%
Croissance +0.010%
avec la cote maximale 2.23
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.15%45.22%45.10%46.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.982.122.102.2350.51%47.27%47.62%44.84%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Alejandro Tabilo (Visiteur)
Prévision 54.66%1.83cote équitable
EV -1.60%
Avantage -0.891%
Kelly -2.00%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.80
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.25%54.78%54.90%56.85%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.641.721.721.8060.98%58.23%58.14%55.56%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Yannick Hanfmann (Local) : 45.34% ; Alejandro Tabilo (Visiteur) : 54.66%. Pour Yannick Hanfmann (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.21. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.23, soit une espérance positive de +1.10%.
Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV +1.10%E +0.492%K +0.892%G +0.010% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -7.07%E -4.16%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-31 19:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV +1.10%E +0.492%K +0.892%G +0.010% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -7.07%E -4.16%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-31 19:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -0.263%E -0.119%K -0.219%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -7.62%E -4.51%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-28 16:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.263%E -0.119%K -0.219%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.71%E -5.22%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 19:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -1.17%E -0.536%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -8.16%E -4.86%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-28 16:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -1.17%E -0.536%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -8.16%E -4.86%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-28 16:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -1.17%E -0.536%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -8.16%E -4.86%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-28 16:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -1.17%E -0.536%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -8.16%E -4.86%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-28 16:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -1.17%E -0.536%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -8.16%E -4.86%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-28 16:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -1.17%E -0.536%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -8.16%E -4.86%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-28 16:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -1.17%E -0.536%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -8.16%E -4.86%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-28 16:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -1.17%E -0.536%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -8.16%E -4.86%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-28 16:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -1.17%E -0.536%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -8.16%E -4.86%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-28 16:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -1.17%E -0.536%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -8.16%E -4.86%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-28 16:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -1.17%E -0.536%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -8.16%E -4.86%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-28 16:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -1.17%E -0.536%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -8.16%E -4.86%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-28 16:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -1.17%E -0.536%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -8.16%E -4.86%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-28 16:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -1.17%E -0.536%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -8.16%E -4.86%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-28 16:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.78%EV -1.62%E -0.748%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.22%EV -3.79%E -2.15%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-31 19:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -2.98%E -1.39%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -4.34%E -2.48%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-31 16:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.98%E -1.39%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.43%E -3.14%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-31 08:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -3.44%E -1.61%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -5.98%E -3.47%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 09:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.89%E -1.83%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.88%E -2.81%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-31 19:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -3.89%E -1.83%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -6.52%E -3.81%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 19:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -3.89%E -1.83%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.38%EV -10.35%E -6.31%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-28 16:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -1.60%E -0.891%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-31 19:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.24%E -1.83%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-31 19:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.34%E -2.48%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-31 16:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.43%E -3.14%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-31 08:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.43%E -3.14%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-31 10:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.43%E -3.14%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-31 10:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.43%E -3.14%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-31 10:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.43%E -3.14%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-31 09:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.43%E -3.14%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-31 09:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.43%E -3.14%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-31 09:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.43%E -3.14%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-31 15:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.43%E -3.14%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-31 15:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.43%E -3.14%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-31 16:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.43%E -3.14%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-31 19:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.98%E -3.47%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 12:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.52%E -3.81%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-31 19:11 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.52%E -3.81%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-31 19:11 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.52%E -3.81%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-31 15:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.52%E -3.81%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-31 16:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -8.16%E -4.86%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-31 16:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.70%E -2.74%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.34%E -2.48%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 18:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -5.70%E -2.74%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -5.98%E -3.47%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 19:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -6.61%E -3.21%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -2.70%E -1.51%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 19:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -7.06%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.60%E -0.891%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-31 19:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -7.06%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -2.70%E -1.51%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-31 19:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.06%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.24%E -1.83%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 19:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.06%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.34%E -2.48%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 19:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.06%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.34%E -2.48%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 19:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.06%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.88%E -2.81%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 09:11 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.06%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.88%E -2.81%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 19:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.06%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.07%E -4.16%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-31 16:01 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.06%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.07%E -4.16%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-31 15:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -7.52%E -3.68%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -4.88%E -2.81%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-31 19:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -7.52%E -3.68%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -4.88%E -2.81%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-31 19:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%EV -9.33%E -4.66%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -8.71%E -5.22%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-31 19:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.20%EV -10.24%E -5.17%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -7.07%E -4.16%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-31 19:41 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (8)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30% | 0.4% | 2026-08-31 19:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30% | 0.4% | 2026-08-31 19:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30% | 0.4% | 2026-08-31 19:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08% | 0.7% | 2026-08-31 19:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.67% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.33% | 0.9% | 2026-08-31 19:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 1.2% | 2026-08-31 19:00 |
| Novig◎ | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39% | 1.9% | 2026-08-31 19:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.80% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.20% | 2.8% | 2026-08-31 19:45 |