Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wu Yibing v Adam Walton

Kickoff: 2026-08-30 15:02 UTC

Final: Wu Yibing 3–0 Adam Walton

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

59 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wu Yibing (Local)

Prediction 45.52%2.20fair odd
EV +1.04%
Edge +0.470%
Kelly +0.855%
Growth +0.009%

assuming max odds 2.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.80%45.55%45.43%48.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.082.072.2251.28%48.06%48.31%45.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Adam Walton (Visit)

Prediction 54.48%1.84fair odd
EV -0.293%
Edge -0.160%
Kelly -0.353%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.97%54.45%54.57%56.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.751.751.8358.82%57.19%57.14%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Wu Yibing (Local): 45.52%; Adam Walton (Visit): 54.48%. For Wu Yibing (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.20. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.22, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.04%.

Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.80%EV +1.04%E +0.470%K +0.855%G +0.009%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.20%EV -5.74%E -3.32%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-30 15:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -0.777%E -0.356%K -0.659%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -7.38%E -4.34%K -10.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-30 14:56
BetOnline.ag🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -1.69%E -0.781%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -5.20%E -2.99%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-30 14:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -1.69%E -0.781%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -5.20%E -2.99%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-30 14:45
Coolbet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -2.14%E -0.997%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -3.56%E -2.01%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-30 15:00
FanDuel🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.60%E -1.21%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.74%E -3.32%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-30 15:00
1xBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.51%E -1.65%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.20%E -2.99%K -7.02%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-30 14:50
SportsBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.51%E -1.65%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.74%E -3.32%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 14:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -4.42%E -2.10%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.02%E -1.69%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-30 15:00
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.42%E -2.10%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.56%E -2.01%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-30 08:41
LeoVegas🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.42%E -2.10%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.65%E -2.66%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 15:00
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.42%E -2.10%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.65%E -2.66%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 11:05
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.42%E -2.10%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.65%E -2.66%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 14:54
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.42%E -2.10%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.74%E -3.32%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 05:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.42%E -2.10%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.74%E -3.32%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 05:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.42%E -2.10%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.74%E -3.32%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 12:39
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.42%E -2.10%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.74%E -3.32%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 12:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.42%E -2.10%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.74%E -3.32%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 05:55
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.42%E -2.10%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.74%E -3.32%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 14:55
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.42%E -2.10%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.74%E -3.32%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 08:39
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.42%E -2.10%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.74%E -3.32%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 08:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.42%E -2.10%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.74%E -3.32%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 08:40
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.42%E -2.10%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.74%E -3.32%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 05:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.42%E -2.10%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.29%E -3.65%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 14:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.42%E -2.10%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.29%E -3.65%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 08:40
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.42%E -2.10%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.83%E -3.99%K -9.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 12:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -5.33%E -2.56%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -5.74%E -3.32%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 14:50
Unibet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.78%E -2.79%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.11%E -2.33%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 20:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.78%E -2.79%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.11%E -2.33%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 20:39
TABtouch🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.78%E -2.79%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.11%E -2.33%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 20:39
Casumo🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.78%E -2.79%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.11%E -2.33%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 20:39
Grosvenor🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.78%E -2.79%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.11%E -2.33%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 20:39
Unibet (NL)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.78%E -2.79%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.11%E -2.33%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 20:39
Virgin Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.78%E -2.79%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.11%E -2.33%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 20:39
Svenska Spel🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.78%E -2.79%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.11%E -2.33%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 20:40
Bally Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.78%E -2.79%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.11%E -2.33%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 20:38
ATG (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.78%E -2.79%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.11%E -2.33%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 20:40
betPARX🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.78%E -2.79%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.11%E -2.33%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 20:39
BetRivers🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.78%E -2.79%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.11%E -2.33%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 20:39
Unibet (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.78%E -2.79%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.11%E -2.33%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 20:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.78%E -2.79%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.11%E -2.33%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 15:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.78%E -2.79%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.11%E -2.33%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 20:39
NetBet (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -5.78%E -2.79%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -7.38%E -4.34%K -10.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 15:00
MyBookie.ag🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -6.24%E -3.03%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -3.56%E -2.01%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 08:39
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.69%E -3.27%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.93%E -1.07%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-30 05:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -6.69%E -3.27%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.02%E -1.69%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 15:00
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.69%E -3.27%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.56%E -2.01%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 14:55
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.69%E -3.27%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.56%E -2.01%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 14:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.69%E -3.27%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.56%E -2.01%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 20:40
ReBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.69%E -3.27%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.65%E -2.66%K -6.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 14:59
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.69%E -3.27%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.20%E -2.99%K -7.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 14:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.69%E -3.27%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.38%E -4.34%K -10.54%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-30 12:40
NordicBet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -7.15%E -3.50%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -5.20%E -2.99%K -7.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 15:00
Betsson🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -7.15%E -3.50%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -5.20%E -2.99%K -7.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 15:00
DraftKings🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.44%EV -7.60%E -3.75%K -7.38%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.56%EV -4.11%E -2.33%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 15:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%EV -8.06%E -3.99%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -6.29%E -3.65%K -8.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 20:39
BetAnything🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.97%E -4.48%K -8.97%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.56%E -2.01%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 08:40
GTbets🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -9.88%E -4.99%K -10.08%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -0.293%E -0.160%K -0.353%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 20:10
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -11.25%E -5.77%K -11.84%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -1.93%E -1.07%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 21:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%0.6%2026-08-30 15:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%0.6%2026-08-30 15:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%0.6%2026-08-30 15:00
Novig2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-08-30 15:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%0.9%2026-08-30 15:00
ProphetX2.32I 43.10%NM 42.57%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.43%1.2%2026-08-30 15:00
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 43.14%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.86%1.7%2026-08-30 15:00
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.2%2026-08-30 15:00