Idioma:Español
Wu Yibing v Adam Walton
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Wu Yibing (Local)
Predicción 45.52%2.20momio equitativo
EV +1.04%
Ventaja +0.470%
Kelly +0.855%
Crecimiento +0.009%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.22
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.80%45.55%45.43%48.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.952.082.072.2251.28%48.06%48.31%45.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Adam Walton (Visitante)
Predicción 54.48%1.84momio equitativo
EV -0.293%
Ventaja -0.160%
Kelly -0.353%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.83
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.97%54.45%54.57%56.20%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.701.751.751.8358.82%57.19%57.14%54.64%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Wu Yibing (Local): 45.52%; Adam Walton (Visitante): 54.48%. Para Wu Yibing (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.20. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.22, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.04%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.80%EV +1.04%E +0.470%K +0.855%G +0.009% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.20%EV -5.74%E -3.32%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -0.777%E -0.356%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -7.38%E -4.34%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-30 14:56 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -1.69%E -0.781%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -5.20%E -2.99%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-30 14:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -1.69%E -0.781%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -5.20%E -2.99%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-30 14:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -2.14%E -0.997%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -3.56%E -2.01%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.60%E -1.21%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.74%E -3.32%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.51%E -1.65%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.20%E -2.99%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.51%E -1.65%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.74%E -3.32%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -4.42%E -2.10%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.02%E -1.69%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.42%E -2.10%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.56%E -2.01%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-30 08:41 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.42%E -2.10%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.65%E -2.66%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.42%E -2.10%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.65%E -2.66%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-30 11:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.42%E -2.10%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.65%E -2.66%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-30 14:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.42%E -2.10%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.74%E -3.32%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 05:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.42%E -2.10%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.74%E -3.32%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 05:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.42%E -2.10%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.74%E -3.32%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 12:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.42%E -2.10%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.74%E -3.32%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 12:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.42%E -2.10%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.74%E -3.32%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 05:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.42%E -2.10%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.74%E -3.32%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.42%E -2.10%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.74%E -3.32%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 08:39 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.42%E -2.10%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.74%E -3.32%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 08:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.42%E -2.10%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.74%E -3.32%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 08:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.42%E -2.10%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.74%E -3.32%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 05:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.42%E -2.10%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.29%E -3.65%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.42%E -2.10%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.29%E -3.65%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 08:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.42%E -2.10%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.83%E -3.99%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 12:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -5.33%E -2.56%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -5.74%E -3.32%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.78%E -2.79%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.11%E -2.33%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-29 20:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.78%E -2.79%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.11%E -2.33%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-29 20:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.78%E -2.79%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.11%E -2.33%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-29 20:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.78%E -2.79%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.11%E -2.33%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-29 20:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.78%E -2.79%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.11%E -2.33%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-29 20:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.78%E -2.79%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.11%E -2.33%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-29 20:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.78%E -2.79%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.11%E -2.33%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-29 20:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.78%E -2.79%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.11%E -2.33%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-29 20:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.78%E -2.79%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.11%E -2.33%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-29 20:38 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.78%E -2.79%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.11%E -2.33%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-29 20:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.78%E -2.79%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.11%E -2.33%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-29 20:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.78%E -2.79%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.11%E -2.33%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-29 20:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.78%E -2.79%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.11%E -2.33%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-29 20:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.78%E -2.79%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.11%E -2.33%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.78%E -2.79%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.11%E -2.33%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-29 20:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -5.78%E -2.79%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -7.38%E -4.34%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -6.24%E -3.03%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -3.56%E -2.01%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 08:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.69%E -3.27%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.93%E -1.07%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-30 05:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -6.69%E -3.27%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.02%E -1.69%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.69%E -3.27%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.56%E -2.01%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.69%E -3.27%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.56%E -2.01%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 14:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.69%E -3.27%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.56%E -2.01%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 20:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.69%E -3.27%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.65%E -2.66%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 14:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.69%E -3.27%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.20%E -2.99%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-30 14:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.69%E -3.27%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.38%E -4.34%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-30 12:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -7.15%E -3.50%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -5.20%E -2.99%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -7.15%E -3.50%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -5.20%E -2.99%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.44%EV -7.60%E -3.75%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.56%EV -4.11%E -2.33%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%EV -8.06%E -3.99%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -6.29%E -3.65%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-29 20:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.97%E -4.48%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.56%E -2.01%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-30 08:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -9.88%E -4.99%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -0.293%E -0.160%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-29 20:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -11.25%E -5.77%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -1.93%E -1.07%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-29 21:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 0.6% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 0.6% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 0.6% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Novig◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 0.6% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28% | 0.9% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.57% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.43% | 1.2% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.14% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.86% | 1.7% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89% | 2.2% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |