Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Wu Yibing v Adam Walton

Início: 2026-08-30 15:02 UTC

Final: Wu Yibing 3–0 Adam Walton

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Wu Yibing (Local)

Previsão 45.52%2.20odd justa
EV +1.04%
Vantagem +0.470%
Kelly +0.855%
Crescimento +0.009%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.22

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.80%45.55%45.43%48.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.952.082.072.2251.28%48.06%48.31%45.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Adam Walton (Visitante)

Previsão 54.48%1.84odd justa
EV -0.293%
Vantagem -0.160%
Kelly -0.353%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.83

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.97%54.45%54.57%56.20%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.701.751.751.8358.82%57.19%57.14%54.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Wu Yibing (Local): 45.52%; Adam Walton (Visitante): 54.48%. Para Wu Yibing (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.20. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.22, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.04%.

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.80%EV +1.04%E +0.470%K +0.855%G +0.009%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.20%EV -5.74%E -3.32%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-30 15:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -0.777%E -0.356%K -0.659%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -7.38%E -4.34%K -10.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-30 14:56
BetOnline.ag🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -1.69%E -0.781%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -5.20%E -2.99%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-30 14:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -1.69%E -0.781%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -5.20%E -2.99%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-30 14:45
Coolbet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -2.14%E -0.997%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -3.56%E -2.01%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-30 15:00
FanDuel🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.60%E -1.21%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.74%E -3.32%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-30 15:00
1xBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.51%E -1.65%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.20%E -2.99%K -7.02%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-30 14:50
SportsBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.51%E -1.65%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.74%E -3.32%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 14:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -4.42%E -2.10%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.02%E -1.69%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-30 15:00
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.42%E -2.10%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.56%E -2.01%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-30 08:41
LeoVegas🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.42%E -2.10%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.65%E -2.66%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 15:00
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.42%E -2.10%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.65%E -2.66%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 11:05
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.42%E -2.10%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.65%E -2.66%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 14:54
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.42%E -2.10%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.74%E -3.32%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 05:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.42%E -2.10%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.74%E -3.32%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 05:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.42%E -2.10%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.74%E -3.32%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 12:39
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.42%E -2.10%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.74%E -3.32%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 12:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.42%E -2.10%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.74%E -3.32%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 05:55
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.42%E -2.10%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.74%E -3.32%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 14:55
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.42%E -2.10%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.74%E -3.32%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 08:39
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.42%E -2.10%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.74%E -3.32%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 08:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.42%E -2.10%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.74%E -3.32%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 08:40
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.42%E -2.10%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.74%E -3.32%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 05:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.42%E -2.10%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.29%E -3.65%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 14:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.42%E -2.10%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.29%E -3.65%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 08:40
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.42%E -2.10%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.83%E -3.99%K -9.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 12:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -5.33%E -2.56%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -5.74%E -3.32%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 14:50
Unibet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.78%E -2.79%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.11%E -2.33%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 20:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.78%E -2.79%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.11%E -2.33%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 20:39
TABtouch🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.78%E -2.79%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.11%E -2.33%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 20:39
Casumo🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.78%E -2.79%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.11%E -2.33%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 20:39
Grosvenor🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.78%E -2.79%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.11%E -2.33%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 20:39
Unibet (NL)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.78%E -2.79%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.11%E -2.33%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 20:39
Virgin Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.78%E -2.79%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.11%E -2.33%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 20:39
Svenska Spel🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.78%E -2.79%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.11%E -2.33%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 20:40
Bally Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.78%E -2.79%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.11%E -2.33%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 20:38
ATG (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.78%E -2.79%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.11%E -2.33%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 20:40
betPARX🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.78%E -2.79%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.11%E -2.33%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 20:39
BetRivers🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.78%E -2.79%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.11%E -2.33%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 20:39
Unibet (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.78%E -2.79%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.11%E -2.33%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 20:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.78%E -2.79%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.11%E -2.33%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 15:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.78%E -2.79%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.11%E -2.33%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 20:39
NetBet (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -5.78%E -2.79%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -7.38%E -4.34%K -10.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 15:00
MyBookie.ag🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -6.24%E -3.03%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -3.56%E -2.01%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 08:39
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.69%E -3.27%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.93%E -1.07%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-30 05:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -6.69%E -3.27%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.02%E -1.69%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 15:00
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.69%E -3.27%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.56%E -2.01%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 14:55
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.69%E -3.27%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.56%E -2.01%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 14:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.69%E -3.27%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.56%E -2.01%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 20:40
ReBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.69%E -3.27%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.65%E -2.66%K -6.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 14:59
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.69%E -3.27%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.20%E -2.99%K -7.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 14:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.69%E -3.27%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.38%E -4.34%K -10.54%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-30 12:40
NordicBet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -7.15%E -3.50%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -5.20%E -2.99%K -7.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 15:00
Betsson🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -7.15%E -3.50%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -5.20%E -2.99%K -7.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 15:00
DraftKings🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.44%EV -7.60%E -3.75%K -7.38%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.56%EV -4.11%E -2.33%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 15:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%EV -8.06%E -3.99%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -6.29%E -3.65%K -8.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 20:39
BetAnything🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.97%E -4.48%K -8.97%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.56%E -2.01%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 08:40
GTbets🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -9.88%E -4.99%K -10.08%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -0.293%E -0.160%K -0.353%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 20:10
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -11.25%E -5.77%K -11.84%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -1.93%E -1.07%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 21:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%0.6%2026-08-30 15:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%0.6%2026-08-30 15:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%0.6%2026-08-30 15:00
Novig◎2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-08-30 15:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%0.9%2026-08-30 15:00
ProphetX◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.57%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.43%1.2%2026-08-30 15:00
Smarkets◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.14%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.86%1.7%2026-08-30 15:00
Kalshi◎2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.2%2026-08-30 15:00