Idioma:Português
Tomas Martin Etcheverry v Mariano Navone
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Local)
Previsão 50.76%1.97odd justa
EV +1.52%
Vantagem +0.760%
Kelly +1.52%
Crescimento +0.023%
pressupondo odds máximas de 2.00
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.00%50.60%51.03%52.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.801.861.852.0055.56%53.64%54.05%50.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Mariano Navone (Visitante)
Previsão 49.24%2.03odd justa
EV -1.03%
Vantagem -0.511%
Kelly -1.02%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 2.01
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.37%49.40%48.97%52.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.801.931.952.0155.56%51.79%51.28%49.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Local): 50.76%; Mariano Navone (Visitante): 49.24%. Para Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.97. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.52%.
Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV +1.52%E +0.760%K +1.52%G +0.023% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -8.91%E -4.81%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-03 20:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -0.003%E -0.002%K -0.003%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -10.38%E -5.70%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 10:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -1.02%E -0.522%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -11.37%E -6.32%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -2.03%E -1.05%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -5.46%E -2.84%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-04 13:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -2.03%E -1.05%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -8.91%E -4.81%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 09:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -3.05%E -1.60%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.52%E -0.760%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.05%E -1.60%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.95%E -3.12%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-04 11:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.05%E -1.60%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.95%E -3.12%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-04 09:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.05%E -1.60%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.95%E -3.12%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-04 10:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.05%E -1.60%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.95%E -3.12%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.05%E -1.60%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.95%E -3.12%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-04 10:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -3.05%E -1.60%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -6.44%E -3.39%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 11:25 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -3.05%E -1.60%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -6.44%E -3.39%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 11:29 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -3.05%E -1.60%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -6.44%E -3.39%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -3.05%E -1.60%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -9.89%E -5.40%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-03 13:33 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.03%EV -3.56%E -1.87%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.97%EV -2.50%E -1.26%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-04 13:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -3.56%E -1.87%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -8.41%E -4.52%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 10:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -3.56%E -1.87%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -8.41%E -4.52%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.30%EV -4.57%E -2.43%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.70%EV -2.50%E -1.26%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-04 11:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.30%EV -4.57%E -2.43%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.70%EV -2.50%E -1.26%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-04 13:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -4.57%E -2.43%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -3.49%E -1.78%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-04 13:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.57%E -2.43%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.97%E -2.57%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 11:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -4.57%E -2.43%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -6.44%E -3.39%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 13:01 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -5.08%E -2.72%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -5.46%E -2.84%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 09:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -5.08%E -2.72%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -5.46%E -2.84%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 09:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.08%E -2.72%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -6.44%E -3.39%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-04 11:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.09%E -3.29%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.98%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 12:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.09%E -3.29%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.98%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 09:14 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.09%E -3.29%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.98%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 09:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.09%E -3.29%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.98%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 09:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.09%E -3.29%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.98%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 09:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.09%E -3.29%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.98%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 09:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.09%E -3.29%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.97%E -2.57%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 13:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.09%E -3.29%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.97%E -2.57%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -6.09%E -3.29%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.46%E -2.84%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.09%E -3.29%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.95%E -3.12%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 09:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.09%E -3.29%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.44%E -3.39%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 12:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -6.09%E -3.29%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -6.94%E -3.67%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 12:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -6.60%E -3.59%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -3.49%E -1.78%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 11:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -6.60%E -3.59%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -3.49%E -1.78%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 11:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -6.60%E -3.59%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -3.49%E -1.78%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 11:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -7.11%E -3.89%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -1.03%E -0.511%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-04 11:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.11%E -3.89%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.52%E -0.760%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-04 11:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.11%E -3.89%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.52%E -0.760%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-04 13:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.11%E -3.89%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.52%E -0.760%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-04 13:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.11%E -3.89%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.98%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 09:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.11%E -3.89%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.98%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 11:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.11%E -3.89%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.98%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 11:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.11%E -3.89%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.98%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 11:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.11%E -3.89%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.98%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 11:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.11%E -3.89%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.98%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 11:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.11%E -3.89%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.98%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 11:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.11%E -3.89%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.98%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 11:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.11%E -3.89%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.98%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 11:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.11%E -3.89%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.98%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 11:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.11%E -3.89%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.98%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 11:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.11%E -3.89%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.98%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 11:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.11%E -3.89%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.98%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 11:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.11%E -3.89%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.95%E -3.12%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 09:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.11%E -3.89%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.95%E -3.12%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 09:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.11%E -3.89%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.95%E -3.12%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 13:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.63%E -4.80%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.52%E -0.760%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 11:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.63%E -4.80%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.52%E -0.760%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 11:24 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -8.63%E -4.80%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -5.46%E -2.84%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-04 11:25 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (8)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74% | 0.6% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24% | 0.6% | 2026-09-04 14:31 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24% | 0.6% | 2026-09-04 14:31 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24% | 0.6% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24% | 0.6% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.1% | 2026-09-04 14:26 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60% | 1.9% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02% | 2.1% | 2026-09-04 04:00 |