Idioma:Español
Tomas Martin Etcheverry v Mariano Navone
Resultado del partido
Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Local)
Predicción 47.26%2.12momio equitativo
EV +1.60%
Ventaja +0.746%
Kelly +1.39%
Crecimiento +0.022%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.15
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.59%47.25%47.17%49.21%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.821.981.982.1554.95%50.49%50.51%46.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Mariano Navone (Visitante)
Predicción 52.74%1.90momio equitativo
EV -1.90%
Ventaja -1.02%
Kelly -2.21%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.86
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.79%52.75%52.83%55.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.721.791.801.8658.14%55.73%55.56%53.76%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Local): 47.26%; Mariano Navone (Visitante): 52.74%. Para Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.12. 1 corredor ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 2.15, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +1.60%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV +1.60%E +0.746%K +1.39%G +0.022% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -8.76%E -5.06%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-03 05:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.12%E -1.52%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.06%E -2.81%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-03 04:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -3.60%E -1.76%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -8.23%E -4.73%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-03 04:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.27%EV -4.07%E -2.00%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.73%EV -4.01%E -2.20%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-03 05:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -4.54%E -2.25%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -6.65%E -3.75%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 05:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -5.01%E -2.49%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -4.54%E -2.51%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 04:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.49%E -2.74%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.48%E -1.90%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-03 05:17 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.49%E -2.74%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.48%E -1.90%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-03 08:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.49%E -2.74%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.54%E -2.51%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 05:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.49%E -2.74%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.54%E -2.51%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 05:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.49%E -2.74%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.54%E -2.51%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 05:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.49%E -2.74%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.54%E -2.51%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 05:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.49%E -2.74%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.06%E -2.81%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 05:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.49%E -2.74%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.06%E -2.81%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 04:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.49%E -2.74%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.06%E -2.81%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 04:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.49%E -2.74%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.06%E -2.81%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 05:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.49%E -2.74%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.06%E -2.81%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 06:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -5.49%E -2.74%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -5.59%E -3.12%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 04:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.49%E -2.74%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.12%E -3.44%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 04:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.49%E -2.74%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.65%E -3.75%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-03 04:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.49%E -2.74%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.65%E -3.75%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-03 04:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.49%E -2.74%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.65%E -3.75%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-03 06:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -5.96%E -2.99%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -5.59%E -3.12%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 05:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -6.43%E -3.25%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.01%E -2.20%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 08:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -6.43%E -3.25%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.01%E -2.20%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 08:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -6.43%E -3.25%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.01%E -2.20%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 07:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.76%EV -6.43%E -3.25%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.24%EV -4.54%E -2.51%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 04:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.06%EV -6.43%E -3.25%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.94%EV -7.17%E -4.08%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-03 04:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.90%E -3.50%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.01%E -2.20%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 08:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.90%E -3.50%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.01%E -2.20%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 08:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.90%E -3.50%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.01%E -2.20%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 08:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.90%E -3.50%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.01%E -2.20%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 08:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.90%E -3.50%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.01%E -2.20%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 08:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.90%E -3.50%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.01%E -2.20%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 07:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.90%E -3.50%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.01%E -2.20%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 08:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.85%E -4.02%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.06%E -2.81%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-03 04:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -7.85%E -4.02%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -6.65%E -3.75%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-03 05:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.85%E -4.02%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.70%E -4.40%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-03 04:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.85%EV -8.32%E -4.29%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.15%EV -6.12%E -3.44%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-03 08:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.27%EV -8.79%E -4.56%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.73%EV -8.76%E -5.06%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-03 04:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -9.27%E -4.83%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -1.90%E -1.02%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 05:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.25%EV -9.27%E -4.83%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.75%EV -9.28%E -5.40%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-03 04:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.25%EV -9.27%E -4.83%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.75%EV -9.28%E -5.40%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-03 04:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.16%EV -13.99%E -7.69%K -17.06%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.84%EV -7.17%E -4.08%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-03 05:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 07:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.27% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73% | 9.9% | 2026-09-03 07:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.34% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 52.66% | 12.4% | 2026-09-03 04:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.41% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 52.59% | 15.3% | 2026-09-03 05:35 |