Idioma:Español
Tomas Martin Etcheverry v Mariano Navone
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Local)
Predicción 50.76%1.97momio equitativo
EV +1.52%
Ventaja +0.760%
Kelly +1.52%
Crecimiento +0.023%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.00%50.60%51.03%52.63%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.801.861.852.0055.56%53.64%54.05%50.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Mariano Navone (Visitante)
Predicción 49.24%2.03momio equitativo
EV -1.03%
Ventaja -0.511%
Kelly -1.02%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.01
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.37%49.40%48.97%52.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.801.931.952.0155.56%51.79%51.28%49.75%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Local): 50.76%; Mariano Navone (Visitante): 49.24%. Para Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.97. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.00, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.52%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV +1.52%E +0.760%K +1.52%G +0.023% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -8.91%E -4.81%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-03 20:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -0.003%E -0.002%K -0.003%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -10.38%E -5.70%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 10:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -1.02%E -0.522%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -11.37%E -6.32%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -2.03%E -1.05%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -5.46%E -2.84%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-04 13:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -2.03%E -1.05%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -8.91%E -4.81%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 09:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -3.05%E -1.60%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.52%E -0.760%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.05%E -1.60%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.95%E -3.12%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-04 11:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.05%E -1.60%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.95%E -3.12%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-04 09:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.05%E -1.60%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.95%E -3.12%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-04 10:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.05%E -1.60%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.95%E -3.12%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.05%E -1.60%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.95%E -3.12%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-04 10:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -3.05%E -1.60%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -6.44%E -3.39%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 11:25 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -3.05%E -1.60%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -6.44%E -3.39%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 11:29 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -3.05%E -1.60%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -6.44%E -3.39%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -3.05%E -1.60%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -9.89%E -5.40%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-03 13:33 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.03%EV -3.56%E -1.87%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.97%EV -2.50%E -1.26%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-04 13:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -3.56%E -1.87%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -8.41%E -4.52%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 10:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -3.56%E -1.87%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -8.41%E -4.52%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.30%EV -4.57%E -2.43%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.70%EV -2.50%E -1.26%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-04 11:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.30%EV -4.57%E -2.43%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.70%EV -2.50%E -1.26%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-04 13:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -4.57%E -2.43%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -3.49%E -1.78%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-04 13:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.57%E -2.43%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.97%E -2.57%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 11:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -4.57%E -2.43%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -6.44%E -3.39%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 13:01 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -5.08%E -2.72%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -5.46%E -2.84%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 09:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -5.08%E -2.72%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -5.46%E -2.84%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 09:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.08%E -2.72%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -6.44%E -3.39%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-04 11:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.09%E -3.29%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.98%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 12:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.09%E -3.29%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.98%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 09:14 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.09%E -3.29%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.98%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 09:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.09%E -3.29%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.98%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 09:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.09%E -3.29%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.98%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 09:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.09%E -3.29%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.98%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 09:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.09%E -3.29%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.97%E -2.57%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 13:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.09%E -3.29%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.97%E -2.57%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -6.09%E -3.29%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.46%E -2.84%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.09%E -3.29%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.95%E -3.12%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 09:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.09%E -3.29%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.44%E -3.39%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 12:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -6.09%E -3.29%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -6.94%E -3.67%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 12:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -6.60%E -3.59%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -3.49%E -1.78%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 11:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -6.60%E -3.59%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -3.49%E -1.78%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 11:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -6.60%E -3.59%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -3.49%E -1.78%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 11:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -7.11%E -3.89%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -1.03%E -0.511%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-04 11:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.11%E -3.89%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.52%E -0.760%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-04 11:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.11%E -3.89%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.52%E -0.760%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-04 13:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.11%E -3.89%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.52%E -0.760%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-04 13:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.11%E -3.89%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.98%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 09:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.11%E -3.89%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.98%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 11:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.11%E -3.89%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.98%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 11:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.11%E -3.89%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.98%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 11:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.11%E -3.89%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.98%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 11:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.11%E -3.89%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.98%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 11:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.11%E -3.89%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.98%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 11:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.11%E -3.89%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.98%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 11:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.11%E -3.89%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.98%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 11:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.11%E -3.89%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.98%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 11:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.11%E -3.89%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.98%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 11:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.11%E -3.89%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.98%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 11:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.11%E -3.89%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.98%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 11:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.11%E -3.89%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.95%E -3.12%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 09:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.11%E -3.89%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.95%E -3.12%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 09:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.11%E -3.89%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.95%E -3.12%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 13:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.63%E -4.80%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.52%E -0.760%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 11:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.63%E -4.80%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.52%E -0.760%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 11:24 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -8.63%E -4.80%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -5.46%E -2.84%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-04 11:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74% | 0.6% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24% | 0.6% | 2026-09-04 14:31 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24% | 0.6% | 2026-09-04 14:31 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24% | 0.6% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24% | 0.6% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.1% | 2026-09-04 14:26 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60% | 1.9% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02% | 2.1% | 2026-09-04 04:00 |