Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Tomas Martin Etcheverry v Mariano Navone

Inizio: 2026-09-04 20:00 UTC

Finale: Tomas Martin Etcheverry 3–0 Mariano Navone

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

64 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Casa)

Previsione 50.76%1.97quota equa
EV +1.52%
Vantaggio +0.760%
Kelly +1.52%
Crescita +0.023%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
48.00%50.60%51.03%52.63%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.801.861.852.0055.56%53.64%54.05%50.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Mariano Navone (Trasferta)

Previsione 49.24%2.03quota equa
EV -1.03%
Vantaggio -0.511%
Kelly -1.02%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.01

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
47.37%49.40%48.97%52.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.801.931.952.0155.56%51.79%51.28%49.75%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Casa): 50.76%; Mariano Navone (Trasferta): 49.24%. Per Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 1.97. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 2.00, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +1.52%.

Quote dei bookmaker (64 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV +1.52%E +0.760%K +1.52%G +0.023%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -8.91%E -4.81%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-03 20:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -0.003%E -0.002%K -0.003%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -10.38%E -5.70%K -12.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-03 10:59
Fliff🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -1.02%E -0.522%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -11.37%E -6.32%K -14.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 14:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -2.03%E -1.05%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -5.46%E -2.84%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-04 13:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -2.03%E -1.05%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -8.91%E -4.81%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 09:59
Pinnacle🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -3.05%E -1.60%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.52%E -0.760%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-04 14:00
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.05%E -1.60%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.95%E -3.12%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 11:25
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.05%E -1.60%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.95%E -3.12%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 09:15
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.05%E -1.60%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.95%E -3.12%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 10:30
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.05%E -1.60%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.95%E -3.12%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 14:05
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.05%E -1.60%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.95%E -3.12%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 10:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -3.05%E -1.60%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -6.44%E -3.39%K -7.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 11:25
MyBookie.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -3.05%E -1.60%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -6.44%E -3.39%K -7.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 11:29
ReBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -3.05%E -1.60%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -6.44%E -3.39%K -7.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 14:15
Caesars🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -3.05%E -1.60%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -9.89%E -5.40%K -11.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 13:33
Coolbet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.03%EV -3.56%E -1.87%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.97%EV -2.50%E -1.26%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-04 13:05
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -3.56%E -1.87%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -8.41%E -4.52%K -9.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 10:39
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -3.56%E -1.87%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -8.41%E -4.52%K -9.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 10:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.30%EV -4.57%E -2.43%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.70%EV -2.50%E -1.26%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-04 11:24
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.30%EV -4.57%E -2.43%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.70%EV -2.50%E -1.26%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-04 13:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -4.57%E -2.43%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -3.49%E -1.78%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-04 13:00
GTbets🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.57%E -2.43%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.97%E -2.57%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 11:25
LeoVegas🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -4.57%E -2.43%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -6.44%E -3.39%K -7.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 13:01
Neds🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -5.08%E -2.72%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -5.46%E -2.84%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 09:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -5.08%E -2.72%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -5.46%E -2.84%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 09:30
betano_uk🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.08%E -2.72%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -6.44%E -3.39%K -7.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-04 11:24
Betway🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.09%E -3.29%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.98%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 12:35
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.09%E -3.29%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.98%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 09:14
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.09%E -3.29%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.98%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 09:14
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.09%E -3.29%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.98%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 09:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.09%E -3.29%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.98%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 09:14
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.09%E -3.29%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.98%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 09:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.09%E -3.29%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.97%E -2.57%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 13:04
PlayUp🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.09%E -3.29%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.97%E -2.57%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 14:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -6.09%E -3.29%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.46%E -2.84%K -5.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-04 14:35
BetMGM🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.09%E -3.29%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.95%E -3.12%K -6.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 09:30
NetBet (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.09%E -3.29%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.44%E -3.39%K -7.16%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 12:30
BetUS🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -6.09%E -3.29%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -6.94%E -3.67%K -7.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 12:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -6.60%E -3.59%K -7.86%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -3.49%E -1.78%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 11:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -6.60%E -3.59%K -7.86%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -3.49%E -1.78%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 11:25
Unibet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -6.60%E -3.59%K -7.86%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -3.49%E -1.78%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 11:25
SportsBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -7.11%E -3.89%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -1.03%E -0.511%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-04 11:25
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.11%E -3.89%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.52%E -0.760%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 11:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.11%E -3.89%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.52%E -0.760%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 13:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.11%E -3.89%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.52%E -0.760%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 13:49
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.11%E -3.89%K -8.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.98%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 09:15
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.11%E -3.89%K -8.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.98%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 11:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.11%E -3.89%K -8.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.98%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 11:25
Grosvenor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.11%E -3.89%K -8.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.98%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 11:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.11%E -3.89%K -8.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.98%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 11:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.11%E -3.89%K -8.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.98%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 11:25
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.11%E -3.89%K -8.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.98%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 11:25
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.11%E -3.89%K -8.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.98%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 11:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.11%E -3.89%K -8.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.98%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 11:25
Bally Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.11%E -3.89%K -8.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.98%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 11:25
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.11%E -3.89%K -8.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.98%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 11:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.11%E -3.89%K -8.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.98%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 11:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.11%E -3.89%K -8.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.98%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 11:25
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.11%E -3.89%K -8.57%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.95%E -3.12%K -6.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 09:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.11%E -3.89%K -8.57%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.95%E -3.12%K -6.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 09:30
BetAnything🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.11%E -3.89%K -8.57%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.95%E -3.12%K -6.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 13:49
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.63%E -4.80%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.52%E -0.760%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 11:25
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.63%E -4.80%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.52%E -0.760%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 11:24
PMU (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -8.63%E -4.80%K -10.79%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -5.46%E -2.84%K -5.93%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 11:25
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (8)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Novig◎1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-09-04 14:20
Matchbook◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-09-04 14:31
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-09-04 14:31
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-09-04 14:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-09-04 14:35
ProphetX◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-09-04 14:26
Smarkets◎1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60%1.9%2026-09-04 14:15
Kalshi◎2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.1%2026-09-04 04:00