语言:简体中文
Toby Samuel v Tomas Machac
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Toby Samuel (主队)
预测 60.08%1.66公平赔率
EV +3.93%
优势 +2.27%
Kelly +5.39%
增长率 +0.212%
假设最高赔率为 1.73
博彩公司预测分布
54.83%59.65%60.10%62.28%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.521.601.601.7365.79%62.47%62.50%57.80%最小值均值中位数最大值
Tomas Machac (客队)
预测 39.92%2.50公平赔率
EV +0.604%
优势 +0.240%
Kelly +0.398%
增长率 +0.002%
假设最高赔率为 2.52
博彩公司预测分布
37.72%40.35%39.90%45.17%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.102.342.352.5247.62%42.71%42.55%39.68%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Toby Samuel (主队)：60.08%；Tomas Machac (客队)：39.92%。 对于“Toby Samuel (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.66。 当时有6家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为1.73，对应+3.93%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (58 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV +3.93%E +2.27%K +5.39%G +0.212% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -16.16%E -7.70%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 08:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV +0.330%E +0.197%K +0.492%G +0.002% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -12.17%E -5.53%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 11:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV +0.330%E +0.197%K +0.492%G +0.002% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -12.17%E -5.53%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 11:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV +0.330%E +0.197%K +0.492%G +0.002% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -12.17%E -5.53%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 11:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV +0.330%E +0.197%K +0.492%G +0.002% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -12.17%E -5.53%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 11:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV +0.330%E +0.197%K +0.492%G +0.002% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -14.17%E -6.59%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-29 04:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -0.872%E -0.528%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -10.17%E -4.52%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 17:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -0.872%E -0.528%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -10.97%E -4.92%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -0.872%E -0.528%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -10.97%E -4.92%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -0.872%E -0.528%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -10.97%E -4.92%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -0.872%E -0.528%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -10.97%E -4.92%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -0.872%E -0.528%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -10.97%E -4.92%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -0.872%E -0.528%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -10.97%E -4.92%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -0.872%E -0.528%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -10.97%E -4.92%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -0.872%E -0.528%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -10.97%E -4.92%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -0.872%E -0.528%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -10.97%E -4.92%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -0.872%E -0.528%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -10.97%E -4.92%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -0.872%E -0.528%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -10.97%E -4.92%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -0.872%E -0.528%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -10.97%E -4.92%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -0.872%E -0.528%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -10.97%E -4.92%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -2.07%E -1.27%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -6.58%E -2.81%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-30 18:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.60%EV -2.67%E -1.65%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.40%EV -4.59%E -1.92%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-30 19:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -2.67%E -1.65%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -7.78%E -3.37%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 17:59 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -2.67%E -1.65%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -7.78%E -3.37%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 18:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.52%EV -3.28%E -2.03%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -12.97%E -5.95%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -3.88%E -2.42%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -2.19%E -0.894%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.88%E -2.42%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.19%E -1.74%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-30 17:58 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.88%E -2.42%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.19%E -1.74%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-30 17:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.18%EV -3.88%E -2.42%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -7.38%E -3.18%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 19:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.88%E -2.42%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.18%E -3.56%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 19:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -4.48%E -2.82%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -0.194%E -0.078%K -0.129%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-30 18:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -4.48%E -2.82%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -0.194%E -0.078%K -0.129%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -4.48%E -2.82%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -0.194%E -0.078%K -0.129%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.48%E -2.82%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.19%E -1.74%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.48%E -2.82%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -8.18%E -3.56%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-30 18:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.08%E -3.21%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.19%E -1.74%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 17:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.08%E -3.21%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.19%E -1.74%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.68%E -3.62%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.19%E -0.894%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-30 19:03 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.68%E -3.62%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.19%E -0.894%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-30 19:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.68%E -3.62%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.98%E -2.09%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.68%E -3.62%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.18%E -2.63%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 18:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.68%E -3.62%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.18%E -2.63%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 19:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.28%E -4.02%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.18%E -2.63%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 18:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.88%E -4.44%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.19%E -0.894%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.88%E -4.44%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.19%E -0.894%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.88%E -4.44%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.19%E -1.74%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 18:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.88%E -4.44%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.19%E -1.74%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 17:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -7.48%E -4.86%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV +0.604%E +0.240%K +0.398%G +0.002% | 4.6% | 2026-08-30 17:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -7.48%E -4.86%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -0.194%E -0.078%K -0.129%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -8.08%E -5.28%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -0.194%E -0.078%K -0.129%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -8.08%E -5.28%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -0.194%E -0.078%K -0.129%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -8.08%E -5.28%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -0.194%E -0.078%K -0.129%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -8.08%E -5.28%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -2.19%E -0.894%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.08%E -5.28%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -4.19%E -1.74%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 18:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.08%E -5.28%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -4.19%E -1.74%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.08%E -5.28%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -4.19%E -1.74%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.08%E -5.28%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -4.19%E -1.74%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 18:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.28%EV -8.68%E -5.71%K -16.70%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 37.72%EV +0.205%E +0.082%K +0.136%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 19:00 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (8)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 0.5% | 2026-08-30 19:06 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 0.5% | 2026-08-30 19:06 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76% | 0.8% | 2026-08-30 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76% | 0.8% | 2026-08-30 19:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42% | 0.9% | 2026-08-30 19:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.82% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 39.18% | 0.9% | 2026-08-30 19:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 0.9% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.31% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.69% | 2.6% | 2026-08-30 19:06 |