Langue:Français
Toby Samuel v Tomas Machac
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Toby Samuel (Local)
Prévision 60.08%1.66cote équitable
EV +3.93%
Avantage +2.27%
Kelly +5.39%
Croissance +0.212%
avec la cote maximale 1.73
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.83%59.65%60.10%62.28%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.521.601.601.7365.79%62.47%62.50%57.80%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Tomas Machac (Visiteur)
Prévision 39.92%2.50cote équitable
EV +0.604%
Avantage +0.240%
Kelly +0.398%
Croissance +0.002%
avec la cote maximale 2.52
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.72%40.35%39.90%45.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.102.342.352.5247.62%42.71%42.55%39.68%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Toby Samuel (Local) : 60.08% ; Tomas Machac (Visiteur) : 39.92%. Pour Toby Samuel (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 1.66. 6 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 1.73, soit une espérance positive de +3.93%.
Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV +3.93%E +2.27%K +5.39%G +0.212% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -16.16%E -7.70%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 08:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV +0.330%E +0.197%K +0.492%G +0.002% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -12.17%E -5.53%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 11:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV +0.330%E +0.197%K +0.492%G +0.002% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -12.17%E -5.53%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 11:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV +0.330%E +0.197%K +0.492%G +0.002% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -12.17%E -5.53%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 11:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV +0.330%E +0.197%K +0.492%G +0.002% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -12.17%E -5.53%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 11:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV +0.330%E +0.197%K +0.492%G +0.002% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -14.17%E -6.59%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-29 04:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -0.872%E -0.528%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -10.17%E -4.52%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 17:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -0.872%E -0.528%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -10.97%E -4.92%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -0.872%E -0.528%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -10.97%E -4.92%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -0.872%E -0.528%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -10.97%E -4.92%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -0.872%E -0.528%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -10.97%E -4.92%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -0.872%E -0.528%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -10.97%E -4.92%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -0.872%E -0.528%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -10.97%E -4.92%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -0.872%E -0.528%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -10.97%E -4.92%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -0.872%E -0.528%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -10.97%E -4.92%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -0.872%E -0.528%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -10.97%E -4.92%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -0.872%E -0.528%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -10.97%E -4.92%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -0.872%E -0.528%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -10.97%E -4.92%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -0.872%E -0.528%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -10.97%E -4.92%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -0.872%E -0.528%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -10.97%E -4.92%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -2.07%E -1.27%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -6.58%E -2.81%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-30 18:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.60%EV -2.67%E -1.65%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.40%EV -4.59%E -1.92%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-30 19:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -2.67%E -1.65%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -7.78%E -3.37%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 17:59 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -2.67%E -1.65%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -7.78%E -3.37%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 18:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.52%EV -3.28%E -2.03%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -12.97%E -5.95%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -3.88%E -2.42%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -2.19%E -0.894%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.88%E -2.42%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.19%E -1.74%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-30 17:58 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.88%E -2.42%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.19%E -1.74%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-30 17:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.18%EV -3.88%E -2.42%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -7.38%E -3.18%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 19:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.88%E -2.42%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.18%E -3.56%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 19:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -4.48%E -2.82%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -0.194%E -0.078%K -0.129%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-30 18:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -4.48%E -2.82%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -0.194%E -0.078%K -0.129%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -4.48%E -2.82%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -0.194%E -0.078%K -0.129%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.48%E -2.82%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.19%E -1.74%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.48%E -2.82%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -8.18%E -3.56%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-30 18:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.08%E -3.21%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.19%E -1.74%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 17:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.08%E -3.21%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.19%E -1.74%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.68%E -3.62%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.19%E -0.894%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-30 19:03 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.68%E -3.62%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.19%E -0.894%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-30 19:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.68%E -3.62%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.98%E -2.09%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.68%E -3.62%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.18%E -2.63%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 18:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.68%E -3.62%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.18%E -2.63%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 19:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.28%E -4.02%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.18%E -2.63%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 18:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.88%E -4.44%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.19%E -0.894%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.88%E -4.44%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.19%E -0.894%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.88%E -4.44%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.19%E -1.74%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 18:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.88%E -4.44%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.19%E -1.74%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 17:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -7.48%E -4.86%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV +0.604%E +0.240%K +0.398%G +0.002% | 4.6% | 2026-08-30 17:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -7.48%E -4.86%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -0.194%E -0.078%K -0.129%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -8.08%E -5.28%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -0.194%E -0.078%K -0.129%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -8.08%E -5.28%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -0.194%E -0.078%K -0.129%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -8.08%E -5.28%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -0.194%E -0.078%K -0.129%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -8.08%E -5.28%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -2.19%E -0.894%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.08%E -5.28%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -4.19%E -1.74%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 18:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.08%E -5.28%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -4.19%E -1.74%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.08%E -5.28%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -4.19%E -1.74%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.08%E -5.28%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -4.19%E -1.74%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 18:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.28%EV -8.68%E -5.71%K -16.70%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 37.72%EV +0.205%E +0.082%K +0.136%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 19:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (8)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 0.5% | 2026-08-30 19:06 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 0.5% | 2026-08-30 19:06 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76% | 0.8% | 2026-08-30 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76% | 0.8% | 2026-08-30 19:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42% | 0.9% | 2026-08-30 19:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.82% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 39.18% | 0.9% | 2026-08-30 19:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 0.9% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.31% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.69% | 2.6% | 2026-08-30 19:06 |