Language:English
Sho Shimabukuro v Arthur Rinderknech
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sho Shimabukuro (Local)
Prediction 24.94%4.01fair odd
EV +2.27%
Edge +0.554%
Kelly +0.732%
Growth +0.017%
assuming max odds 4.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.22%25.18%24.76%27.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.783.804.1029.41%26.49%26.32%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Arthur Rinderknech (Visit)
Prediction 75.06%1.33fair odd
EV -0.926%
Edge -0.701%
Kelly -2.89%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.32
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.03%74.82%75.24%76.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.271.261.3281.97%78.83%79.37%75.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sho Shimabukuro (Local): 24.94%; Arthur Rinderknech (Visit): 75.06%. For Sho Shimabukuro (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.01. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.27%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +2.27%E +0.554%K +0.732%G +0.017% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.93%E -5.59%K -28.88%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 12:32 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.02I 24.88%NM 23.72%EV +0.274%E +0.068%K +0.091%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.28%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.72%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV +0.025%E +0.006%K +0.008%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.72%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -0.224%E -0.056%K -0.075%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -0.224%E -0.056%K -0.075%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -0.224%E -0.056%K -0.075%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-30 12:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.224%E -0.056%K -0.075%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.224%E -0.056%K -0.075%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 12:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -0.224%E -0.056%K -0.075%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.43%E -6.91%K -38.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.76%EV -2.22%E -0.566%K -0.760%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.24%EV -3.18%E -2.46%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.86%EV -2.72%E -0.697%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.14%EV -3.18%E -2.46%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.86%EV -2.72%E -0.697%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.14%EV -3.18%E -2.46%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.72%E -0.697%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-30 14:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -2.72%E -0.697%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.72%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 14:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -2.72%E -0.697%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.72%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -3.97%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -3.93%E -3.07%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-30 13:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -3.97%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-30 12:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -3.97%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-30 12:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -3.97%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 14:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -3.97%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.72%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 14:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.61%EV -4.46%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.39%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.72%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.61%EV -4.46%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.39%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.72%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -5.21%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.18%E -2.46%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-30 11:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.21%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.21%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.21%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.21%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.21%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.21%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.21%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.21%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.21%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.21%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.21%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.21%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.21%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.72%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-30 11:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.21%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.72%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-30 12:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -5.21%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -6.93%E -5.59%K -28.88%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.49%EV -5.96%E -1.58%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.51%EV -3.18%E -2.46%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-30 12:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.49%EV -5.96%E -1.58%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.51%EV -3.18%E -2.46%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-30 12:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -6.46%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.18%E -2.46%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-30 13:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -6.46%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.18%E -2.46%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-30 12:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.46%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -6.46%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -6.46%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.46%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 12:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.46%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 12:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -7.71%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -6.93%E -5.59%K -28.88%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -8.95%E -2.45%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -3.93%E -3.07%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 13:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.02%EV -9.20%E -2.53%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.98%EV -3.93%E -3.07%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.18%E -2.46%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 11:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.18%E -2.46%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 11:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.18%E -2.46%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 12:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.18%E -2.46%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 11:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.18%E -2.46%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 11:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -12.70%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -2.43%E -1.87%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 12:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -12.70%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -2.43%E -1.87%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 12:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -12.70%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.93%E -3.07%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 12:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -12.70%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.93%E -3.07%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 12:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -15.19%E -4.47%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -0.926%E -0.701%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-28 16:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -15.19%E -4.47%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -0.926%E -0.701%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-28 16:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -15.19%E -4.47%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -3.18%E -2.46%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 12:51 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 0.8% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 0.8% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 0.8% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 0.8% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23% | 0.9% | 2026-08-30 14:35 |
| Novig◎ | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23% | 0.9% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06% | 1.4% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.20% | 2.0% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |