Langue:Français
Sho Shimabukuro v Arthur Rinderknech
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Sho Shimabukuro (Local)
Prévision 24.94%4.01cote équitable
EV +2.27%
Avantage +0.554%
Kelly +0.732%
Croissance +0.017%
avec la cote maximale 4.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.22%25.18%24.76%27.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.403.783.804.1029.41%26.49%26.32%24.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Arthur Rinderknech (Visiteur)
Prévision 75.06%1.33cote équitable
EV -0.926%
Avantage -0.701%
Kelly -2.89%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.32
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
72.03%74.82%75.24%76.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.221.271.261.3281.97%78.83%79.37%75.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Sho Shimabukuro (Local) : 24.94% ; Arthur Rinderknech (Visiteur) : 75.06%. Pour Sho Shimabukuro (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.01. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.10, soit une espérance positive de +2.27%.
Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +2.27%E +0.554%K +0.732%G +0.017% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.93%E -5.59%K -28.88%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 12:32 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.02I 24.88%NM 23.72%EV +0.274%E +0.068%K +0.091%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.28%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.72%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV +0.025%E +0.006%K +0.008%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.72%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -0.224%E -0.056%K -0.075%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -0.224%E -0.056%K -0.075%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -0.224%E -0.056%K -0.075%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-30 12:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.224%E -0.056%K -0.075%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.224%E -0.056%K -0.075%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 12:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -0.224%E -0.056%K -0.075%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.43%E -6.91%K -38.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.76%EV -2.22%E -0.566%K -0.760%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.24%EV -3.18%E -2.46%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.86%EV -2.72%E -0.697%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.14%EV -3.18%E -2.46%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.86%EV -2.72%E -0.697%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.14%EV -3.18%E -2.46%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.72%E -0.697%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-30 14:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -2.72%E -0.697%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.72%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 14:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -2.72%E -0.697%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.72%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -3.97%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -3.93%E -3.07%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-30 13:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -3.97%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-30 12:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -3.97%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-30 12:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -3.97%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 14:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -3.97%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.72%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 14:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.61%EV -4.46%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.39%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.72%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.61%EV -4.46%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.39%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.72%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -5.21%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.18%E -2.46%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-30 11:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.21%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.21%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.21%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.21%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.21%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.21%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.21%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.21%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.21%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.21%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.21%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.21%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.21%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.72%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-30 11:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.21%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.72%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-30 12:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -5.21%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -6.93%E -5.59%K -28.88%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.49%EV -5.96%E -1.58%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.51%EV -3.18%E -2.46%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-30 12:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.49%EV -5.96%E -1.58%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.51%EV -3.18%E -2.46%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-30 12:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -6.46%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.18%E -2.46%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-30 13:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -6.46%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.18%E -2.46%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-30 12:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.46%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -6.46%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -6.46%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.46%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 12:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.46%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 12:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -7.71%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -6.93%E -5.59%K -28.88%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -8.95%E -2.45%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -3.93%E -3.07%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 13:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.02%EV -9.20%E -2.53%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.98%EV -3.93%E -3.07%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.18%E -2.46%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 11:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.18%E -2.46%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 11:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.18%E -2.46%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 12:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.18%E -2.46%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 11:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.18%E -2.46%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 11:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -12.70%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -2.43%E -1.87%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 12:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -12.70%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -2.43%E -1.87%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 12:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -12.70%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.93%E -3.07%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 12:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -12.70%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.93%E -3.07%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 12:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -15.19%E -4.47%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -0.926%E -0.701%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-28 16:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -15.19%E -4.47%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -0.926%E -0.701%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-28 16:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -15.19%E -4.47%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -3.18%E -2.46%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 12:51 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (8)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 0.8% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 0.8% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 0.8% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 0.8% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23% | 0.9% | 2026-08-30 14:35 |
| Novig◎ | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23% | 0.9% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06% | 1.4% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.20% | 2.0% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |