Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Sho Shimabukuro v Arthur Rinderknech

Inizio: 2026-08-30 15:01 UTC

Finale: Sho Shimabukuro 1–3 Arthur Rinderknech

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

63 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Sho Shimabukuro (Casa)

Previsione 24.94%4.01quota equa
EV +2.27%
Vantaggio +0.554%
Kelly +0.732%
Crescita +0.017%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.22%25.18%24.76%27.97%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.403.783.804.1029.41%26.49%26.32%24.39%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Arthur Rinderknech (Trasferta)

Previsione 75.06%1.33quota equa
EV -0.926%
Vantaggio -0.701%
Kelly -2.89%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.32

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
72.03%74.82%75.24%76.78%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.221.271.261.3281.97%78.83%79.37%75.76%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Sho Shimabukuro (Casa): 24.94%; Arthur Rinderknech (Trasferta): 75.06%. Per Sho Shimabukuro (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 4.01. 3 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 4.10, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +2.27%.

Quote dei bookmaker (63 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
SportsBet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +2.27%E +0.554%K +0.732%G +0.017%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.93%E -5.59%K -28.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 12:32
DraftKings🎯4.02I 24.88%NM 23.72%EV +0.274%E +0.068%K +0.091%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.28%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 15:00
1xBet🎯4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV +0.025%E +0.006%K +0.008%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 14:50
Winamax (DE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -0.224%E -0.056%K -0.075%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.33%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-30 15:00
Winamax (FR)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -0.224%E -0.056%K -0.075%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.88%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-30 15:00
FanDuel🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -0.224%E -0.056%K -0.075%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.88%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-30 12:40
Bovada🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.224%E -0.056%K -0.075%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 15:00
Sky Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.224%E -0.056%K -0.075%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 12:35
Paddy Power🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -0.224%E -0.056%K -0.075%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.43%E -6.91%K -38.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 15:00
Pinnacle🎯3.92I 25.51%NM 24.76%EV -2.22%E -0.566%K -0.760%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 75.24%EV -3.18%E -2.46%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-30 15:00
GTbets🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.86%EV -2.72%E -0.697%K -0.938%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 75.14%EV -3.18%E -2.46%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-30 15:00
Coolbet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.86%EV -2.72%E -0.697%K -0.938%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 75.14%EV -3.18%E -2.46%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-30 15:00
Betclic (FR)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.72%E -0.697%K -0.938%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.33%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-30 14:49
Fanatics🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -2.72%E -0.697%K -0.938%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 14:45
Unibet (UK)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -2.72%E -0.697%K -0.938%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 15:00
Unibet (FR)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -3.97%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -3.93%E -3.07%K -14.03%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-30 13:40
MyBookie.ag🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -3.97%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-30 12:35
BetAnything🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -3.97%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-30 12:30
theScore Bet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -3.97%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 14:59
ReBet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -3.97%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 14:59
Betsson🎯3.83I 26.11%NM 24.61%EV -4.46%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.39%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 15:00
NordicBet🎯3.83I 26.11%NM 24.61%EV -4.46%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.39%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 15:00
Betway🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -5.21%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.18%E -2.46%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-30 11:40
Unibet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.21%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.88%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 15:00
LiveScore Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.21%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.88%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 15:00
TABtouch🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.21%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.88%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 15:00
Casumo🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.21%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.88%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 15:00
Grosvenor🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.21%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.88%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 15:00
Unibet (NL)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.21%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.88%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 15:00
Virgin Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.21%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.88%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 15:00
Svenska Spel🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.21%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.88%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 15:00
ATG (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.21%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.88%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 15:00
betPARX🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.21%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.88%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 15:00
Unibet (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.21%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.88%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 15:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.21%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.88%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 15:00
TAB🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.21%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 11:34
Tipico (DE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.21%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 12:30
NetBet (FR)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -5.21%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -6.93%E -5.59%K -28.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 15:00
BetOnline.ag🎯3.77I 26.53%NM 25.49%EV -5.96%E -1.58%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.51%EV -3.18%E -2.46%K -10.96%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-30 12:35
LowVig.ag🎯3.77I 26.53%NM 25.49%EV -5.96%E -1.58%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.51%EV -3.18%E -2.46%K -10.96%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-30 12:35
BoyleSports🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -6.46%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.18%E -2.46%K -10.96%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-30 13:00
betano_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -6.46%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.18%E -2.46%K -10.96%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-30 12:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.46%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 15:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -6.46%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 14:55
Betr (AU)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -6.46%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 14:55
betfred_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.46%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 12:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.46%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 12:35
PMU (FR)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -7.71%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -6.93%E -5.59%K -28.88%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-30 15:00
PlayUp🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -8.95%E -2.45%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -3.93%E -3.07%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 13:10
Marathon Bet🎯3.64I 27.47%NM 26.02%EV -9.20%E -2.53%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.98%EV -3.93%E -3.07%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 15:00
888sport🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.18%E -2.46%K -10.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 11:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.18%E -2.46%K -10.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 11:35
BetMGM🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.18%E -2.46%K -10.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 12:00
888sport (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.18%E -2.46%K -10.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 11:35
William Hill🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.18%E -2.46%K -10.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 11:34
LeoVegas🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 15:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -12.70%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -2.43%E -1.87%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 12:00
Neds🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -12.70%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -2.43%E -1.87%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 12:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -12.70%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.93%E -3.07%K -14.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 12:00
Coral🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -12.70%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.93%E -3.07%K -14.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 12:00
Bally Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -15.19%E -4.47%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -0.926%E -0.701%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 16:00
BetRivers🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -15.19%E -4.47%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -0.926%E -0.701%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 16:00
Caesars🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -15.19%E -4.47%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -3.18%E -2.46%K -10.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 12:51
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (8)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-08-30 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-08-30 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-08-30 15:00
Matchbook◎4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-08-30 14:55
Kalshi◎4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23%0.9%2026-08-30 14:35
Novig◎4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23%0.9%2026-08-30 14:50
ProphetX◎4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06%1.4%2026-08-30 14:55
Smarkets◎4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.20%2.0%2026-08-30 14:50