Language:English
Michael Zheng v Arthur Gea
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Michael Zheng (Local)
Prediction 57.07%1.75fair odd
EV -1.84%
Edge -1.07%
Kelly -2.56%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.72
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.90%57.10%57.14%58.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.581.661.671.7263.29%60.26%59.88%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Arthur Gea (Visit)
Prediction 42.93%2.33fair odd
EV +0.028%
Edge +0.012%
Kelly +0.021%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.16%42.90%42.86%44.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.202.202.3348.78%45.46%45.45%42.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Michael Zheng (Local): 57.07%; Arthur Gea (Visit): 42.93%. For Arthur Gea (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.329. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.330, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.028%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -6.98%E -4.28%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV +0.028%E +0.012%K +0.021%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-04 07:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -8.12%E -5.04%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -1.26%E -0.548%K -0.969%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 07:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -2.98%E -1.75%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -2.55%E -1.12%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-04 09:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -2.41%E -1.41%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -2.98%E -1.32%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -5.26%E -3.17%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -2.98%E -1.32%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-04 08:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.69%E -2.81%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.41%E -1.51%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-04 10:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.69%E -2.81%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.41%E -1.51%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-04 07:41 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.55%E -4.66%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.41%E -1.51%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 11:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -5.84%E -3.54%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV -5.12%E -2.32%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 08:34 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -5.84%E -3.54%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV -5.12%E -2.32%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 07:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.85%EV -8.12%E -5.04%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.15%EV -5.12%E -2.32%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-04 07:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.98%E -1.75%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-04 09:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.69%E -2.81%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 07:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.69%E -2.81%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 07:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.69%E -2.81%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 07:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.69%E -2.81%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 07:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.69%E -2.81%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 07:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.69%E -2.81%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 07:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.69%E -2.81%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 07:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.69%E -2.81%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 07:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.69%E -2.81%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 07:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.69%E -2.81%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 07:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.69%E -2.81%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 07:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.69%E -2.81%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 07:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.69%E -2.81%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 07:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.69%E -2.81%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 07:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.69%E -2.81%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 07:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.69%E -2.81%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 07:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.69%E -2.81%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 07:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.69%E -2.81%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 07:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.69%E -2.81%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 07:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.69%E -2.81%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 07:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.69%E -2.81%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 07:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.69%E -2.81%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 07:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.69%E -2.81%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 13:53 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.69%E -2.81%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 08:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.69%E -2.81%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 08:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.69%E -2.81%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 09:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.69%E -2.81%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 09:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.26%E -3.17%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 10:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.26%E -3.17%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 07:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.84%E -3.54%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-04 07:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.84%E -3.54%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-04 12:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.84%E -3.54%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-04 10:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.84%E -3.54%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-04 07:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.84%E -3.54%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-04 07:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.41%E -3.91%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 07:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.41%E -3.91%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 07:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.55%E -4.66%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-04 07:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.55%E -4.66%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-04 07:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.55%E -4.66%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-04 11:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -1.84%E -1.07%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -6.41%E -2.94%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-04 12:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -1.84%E -1.07%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -6.41%E -2.94%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-04 12:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.12%E -2.45%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.84%E -3.15%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 13:17 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.12%E -2.45%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.70%E -3.58%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 07:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.12%E -2.45%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.70%E -3.58%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.84%E -3.54%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.70%E -3.58%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 07:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.84%E -3.54%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.70%E -3.58%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 07:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -6.98%E -4.28%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -7.70%E -3.58%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-04 07:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.55%E -4.66%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.70%E -3.58%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-04 07:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.03%EV -9.26%E -5.82%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 42.97%EV -9.42%E -4.46%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-04 07:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.47%EV -9.83%E -6.22%K -16.95%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -11.99%E -5.85%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-04 07:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 0.5% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 0.7% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 0.7% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 0.7% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 0.7% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07% | 0.9% | 2026-09-04 13:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58% | 2.4% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |