StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Michael Zheng v Arthur Gea

Matchstart: 2026-09-05 21:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Michael Zheng 2–3 Arthur Gea

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

62 spelbolag (21 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Michael Zheng (Hemma)

Prognos 57.07%1.75rättvist odds
EV -1.84%
Fördel -1.07%
Kelly -2.56%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.72

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
55.90%57.10%57.14%58.84%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.581.661.671.7263.29%60.26%59.88%58.14%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Arthur Gea (Borta)

Prognos 42.93%2.33rättvist odds
EV +0.028%
Fördel +0.012%
Kelly +0.021%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.33

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
41.16%42.90%42.86%44.10%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.052.202.202.3348.78%45.46%45.45%42.92%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Michael Zheng (Hemma): 57.07%; Arthur Gea (Borta): 42.93%. För Arthur Gea (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.329. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 2.330, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +0.028%.

Spelbolagsodds (62 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
1xBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -6.98%E -4.28%K -11.07%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV +0.028%E +0.012%K +0.021%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-04 07:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -8.12%E -5.04%K -13.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -1.26%E -0.548%K -0.969%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 07:10
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -2.98%E -1.75%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -2.55%E -1.12%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-04 09:05
Pinnacle🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -2.41%E -1.41%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -2.98%E -1.32%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-04 14:15
FanDuel🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -5.26%E -3.17%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -2.98%E -1.32%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-04 08:40
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.69%E -2.81%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.41%E -1.51%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-04 10:55
Bovada🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.69%E -2.81%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.41%E -1.51%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-04 07:41
Tipico (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.55%E -4.66%K -12.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.41%E -1.51%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 11:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -5.84%E -3.54%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV -5.12%E -2.32%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 08:34
MyBookie.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -5.84%E -3.54%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV -5.12%E -2.32%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 07:35
GTbets🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.85%EV -8.12%E -5.04%K -13.31%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.15%EV -5.12%E -2.32%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-04 07:40
Betway🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.98%E -1.75%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-04 09:05
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.69%E -2.81%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 07:35
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.69%E -2.81%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 07:35
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.69%E -2.81%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 07:40
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.69%E -2.81%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 07:30
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.69%E -2.81%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 07:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.69%E -2.81%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 07:55
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.69%E -2.81%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 07:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.69%E -2.81%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 07:35
Unibet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.69%E -2.81%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 07:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.69%E -2.81%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 07:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.69%E -2.81%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 07:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.69%E -2.81%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 07:34
BetRivers🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.69%E -2.81%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 07:35
Casumo🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.69%E -2.81%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 07:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.69%E -2.81%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 07:35
TABtouch🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.69%E -2.81%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 07:35
Grosvenor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.69%E -2.81%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 07:35
betPARX🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.69%E -2.81%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 07:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.69%E -2.81%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 07:35
Bally Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.69%E -2.81%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 07:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.69%E -2.81%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 07:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.69%E -2.81%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 07:35
Caesars🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.69%E -2.81%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 13:53
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.69%E -2.81%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 08:45
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.69%E -2.81%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 08:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.69%E -2.81%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 09:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.69%E -2.81%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 09:44
Betr (AU)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.26%E -3.17%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 10:34
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.26%E -3.17%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 07:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.84%E -3.54%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-04 07:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.84%E -3.54%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-04 12:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.84%E -3.54%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-04 10:15
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.84%E -3.54%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-04 07:55
NetBet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.84%E -3.54%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-04 07:40
NordicBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.41%E -3.91%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 07:30
Betsson🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.41%E -3.91%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 07:30
SportsBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.55%E -4.66%K -12.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 07:30
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.55%E -4.66%K -12.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 07:25
TAB🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.55%E -4.66%K -12.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 11:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -1.84%E -1.07%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -6.41%E -2.94%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-04 12:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -1.84%E -1.07%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -6.41%E -2.94%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-04 12:15
BetUS🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.12%E -2.45%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.84%E -3.15%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 13:17
DraftKings🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.12%E -2.45%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.70%E -3.58%K -6.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 07:30
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.12%E -2.45%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.70%E -3.58%K -6.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 14:05
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.84%E -3.54%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.70%E -3.58%K -6.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 07:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.84%E -3.54%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.70%E -3.58%K -6.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 07:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -6.98%E -4.28%K -11.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -7.70%E -3.58%K -6.70%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-04 07:34
LeoVegas🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.55%E -4.66%K -12.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.70%E -3.58%K -6.70%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-04 07:30
ReBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 57.03%EV -9.26%E -5.82%K -15.69%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 42.97%EV -9.42%E -4.46%K -8.48%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-04 07:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 56.47%EV -9.83%E -6.22%K -16.95%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -11.99%E -5.85%K -11.42%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-04 07:30
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
ProphetX◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-09-04 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-09-04 14:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-09-04 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-09-04 14:05
Matchbook◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-09-04 14:00
Novig◎1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-09-04 13:15
Smarkets◎1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%2.4%2026-09-04 14:00