預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Matteo Arnaldi v James Duckworth

開賽時間: 2026-08-31 17:07 UTC

最終賽果: Matteo Arnaldi 1–3 James Duckworth

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

64 家博彩公司 (21 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Matteo Arnaldi (主隊)

預測 60.18%1.66公平賠率
EV -2.50%
優勢 -1.55%
Kelly -4.04%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.62

博彩公司預測分布
58.14%60.09%60.25%60.91%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.531.581.571.6265.36%63.45%63.69%61.73%最小值平均值中位數最大值

James Duckworth (客隊)

預測 39.82%2.51公平賠率
EV -2.45%
優勢 -0.999%
Kelly -1.69%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 2.45

博彩公司預測分布
39.09%39.91%39.75%41.86%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.252.382.392.4544.44%42.07%41.84%40.82%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Matteo Arnaldi (主隊):60.18%;James Duckworth (客隊):39.82%。 對於「James Duckworth (客隊)」,該估計相當於2.51的公平十進位賠率。 當時沒有符合條件的博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率:最佳賠率為2.45,期望值為-2.45%,未產生正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (64 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊 ▼客隊利潤率更新時間
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.50%E -1.55%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -4.44%E -1.85%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-31 14:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.50%E -1.55%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -10.41%E -4.63%K -8.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 13:20
Coolbet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.11%E -1.93%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.45%E -0.999%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-31 07:35
Pinnacle🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.11%E -1.93%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.45%E -0.999%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-31 16:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.11%E -1.93%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.44%E -1.85%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-30 09:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.11%E -1.93%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.44%E -1.85%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-30 09:45
Bovada🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.11%E -1.93%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.43%E -2.74%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 07:39
BetAnything🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.11%E -1.93%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.43%E -2.74%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 07:40
ReBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -3.71%E -2.32%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -3.64%E -1.50%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-31 15:10
Betway🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.71%E -2.32%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.44%E -1.85%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-29 17:05
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.71%E -2.32%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.44%E -1.85%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-29 22:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.71%E -2.32%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.43%E -2.74%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 21:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.71%E -2.32%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.43%E -2.74%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 21:05
TAB🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.71%E -2.32%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.43%E -2.74%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 16:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.71%E -2.32%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.43%E -2.74%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 02:45
Neds🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.71%E -2.32%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.43%E -2.74%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 02:45
DraftKings🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.08%EV -3.71%E -2.32%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.92%EV -8.02%E -3.47%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 19:24
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.31%E -2.71%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -8.42%E -3.66%K -6.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-31 16:43
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.31%E -2.71%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -8.42%E -3.66%K -6.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 23:42
FanDuel🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -4.91%E -3.11%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -3.64%E -1.50%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-31 13:20
1xBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.91%E -3.11%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.44%E -1.85%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-31 16:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -4.91%E -3.11%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -4.84%E -2.02%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 14:44
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.91%E -3.11%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.23%E -2.20%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 07:00
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.91%E -3.11%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.43%E -2.74%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 16:05
SportsBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -5.51%E -3.51%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -4.04%E -1.68%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 13:18
Unibet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.51%E -3.51%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.44%E -1.85%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-31 11:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.51%E -3.51%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.44%E -1.85%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-31 11:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.51%E -3.51%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.44%E -1.85%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-31 11:05
theScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.51%E -3.51%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.44%E -1.85%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-31 05:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.51%E -3.51%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.44%E -1.85%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-31 11:04
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.51%E -3.51%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.44%E -1.85%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 16:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV -5.51%E -3.51%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV -4.84%E -2.02%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 16:45
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.51%E -3.51%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.23%E -2.20%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-31 16:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.51%E -3.51%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.23%E -2.20%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-31 16:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.51%E -3.51%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.23%E -2.20%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-31 16:05
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.51%E -3.51%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.23%E -2.20%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 16:30
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.51%E -3.51%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.23%E -2.20%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 15:06
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.51%E -3.51%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.23%E -2.20%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 18:56
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.51%E -3.51%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.23%E -2.20%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-31 16:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.51%E -3.51%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.43%E -2.74%K -4.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 07:35
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.51%E -3.51%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.43%E -2.74%K -4.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 16:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.51%E -3.51%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.43%E -2.74%K -4.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 16:10
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.51%E -3.51%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.43%E -2.74%K -4.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 02:45
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.12%E -3.92%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.44%E -1.85%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 11:05
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.12%E -3.92%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.44%E -1.85%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 11:05
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.12%E -3.92%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.44%E -1.85%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 11:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.12%E -3.92%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.44%E -1.85%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 11:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.12%E -3.92%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.44%E -1.85%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 11:05
Bally Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.12%E -3.92%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.44%E -1.85%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 11:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.12%E -3.92%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.44%E -1.85%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 11:05
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.12%E -3.92%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.44%E -1.85%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 11:05
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.12%E -3.92%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.44%E -1.85%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 11:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.12%E -3.92%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.44%E -1.85%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 11:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.12%E -3.92%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.44%E -1.85%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 11:05
Betsson🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.20%EV -6.12%E -3.92%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.80%EV -6.03%E -2.56%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-31 14:35
NordicBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.20%EV -6.12%E -3.92%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.80%EV -6.03%E -2.56%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-31 14:40
Fliff🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.12%E -3.92%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.43%E -2.74%K -4.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-31 11:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.86%EV -6.72%E -4.33%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.14%EV -4.04%E -1.68%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 16:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.72%E -4.33%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.44%E -1.85%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 06:05
NetBet (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.72%E -4.33%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.43%E -2.74%K -4.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-31 15:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.72%E -4.33%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.42%E -3.66%K -6.48%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-30 02:45
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.72%E -4.33%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.42%E -3.66%K -6.48%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-30 02:45
GTbets🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -7.32%E -4.75%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -4.44%E -1.85%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 13:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.92%E -5.18%K -14.94%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -6.43%E -2.74%K -4.76%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-31 11:05
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (8)

博彩公司主隊客隊利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%0.5%2026-08-31 17:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%0.5%2026-08-31 17:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%0.5%2026-08-31 17:01
Matchbook◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%0.5%2026-08-31 17:01
ProphetX◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%0.7%2026-08-31 17:01
Novig◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.82%2.53I 39.53%NM 39.18%0.9%2026-08-31 16:55
Kalshi◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-08-31 06:15
Smarkets◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.35%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65%1.9%2026-08-31 17:01