Lingua:Italiano
Matteo Arnaldi v James Duckworth
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Matteo Arnaldi (Casa)
Previsione 60.18%1.66quota equa
EV -2.50%
Vantaggio -1.55%
Kelly -4.04%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.62
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
58.14%60.09%60.25%60.91%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.531.581.571.6265.36%63.45%63.69%61.73%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
James Duckworth (Trasferta)
Previsione 39.82%2.51quota equa
EV -2.45%
Vantaggio -0.999%
Kelly -1.69%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.45
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
39.09%39.91%39.75%41.86%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.252.382.392.4544.44%42.07%41.84%40.82%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Matteo Arnaldi (Casa): 60.18%; James Duckworth (Trasferta): 39.82%. Per James Duckworth (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.51. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 2.45, con un valore atteso del -2.45%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.
Quote dei bookmaker (64 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.50%E -1.55%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -4.44%E -1.85%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-31 14:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.50%E -1.55%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -10.41%E -4.63%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 13:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.11%E -1.93%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.45%E -0.999%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-31 07:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.11%E -1.93%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.45%E -0.999%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-31 16:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.11%E -1.93%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.44%E -1.85%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-30 09:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.11%E -1.93%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.44%E -1.85%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-30 09:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.11%E -1.93%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.43%E -2.74%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 07:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.11%E -1.93%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.43%E -2.74%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 07:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -3.71%E -2.32%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -3.64%E -1.50%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-31 15:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.71%E -2.32%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.44%E -1.85%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-29 17:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.71%E -2.32%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.44%E -1.85%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-29 22:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.71%E -2.32%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.43%E -2.74%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-29 21:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.71%E -2.32%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.43%E -2.74%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-29 21:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.71%E -2.32%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.43%E -2.74%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 16:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.71%E -2.32%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.43%E -2.74%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 02:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.71%E -2.32%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.43%E -2.74%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 02:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.08%EV -3.71%E -2.32%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.92%EV -8.02%E -3.47%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 19:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.31%E -2.71%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -8.42%E -3.66%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-31 16:43 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.31%E -2.71%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -8.42%E -3.66%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-29 23:42 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -4.91%E -3.11%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -3.64%E -1.50%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-31 13:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.91%E -3.11%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.44%E -1.85%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-31 16:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -4.91%E -3.11%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -4.84%E -2.02%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 14:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.91%E -3.11%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.23%E -2.20%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 07:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.91%E -3.11%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.43%E -2.74%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 16:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -5.51%E -3.51%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -4.04%E -1.68%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 13:18 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.51%E -3.51%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.44%E -1.85%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-31 11:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.51%E -3.51%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.44%E -1.85%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-31 11:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.51%E -3.51%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.44%E -1.85%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-31 11:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.51%E -3.51%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.44%E -1.85%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-31 05:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.51%E -3.51%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.44%E -1.85%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-31 11:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.51%E -3.51%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.44%E -1.85%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 16:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV -5.51%E -3.51%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV -4.84%E -2.02%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 16:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.51%E -3.51%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.23%E -2.20%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-31 16:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.51%E -3.51%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.23%E -2.20%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-31 16:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.51%E -3.51%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.23%E -2.20%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-31 16:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.51%E -3.51%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.23%E -2.20%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 16:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.51%E -3.51%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.23%E -2.20%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-29 15:06 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.51%E -3.51%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.23%E -2.20%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-29 18:56 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.51%E -3.51%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.23%E -2.20%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-31 16:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.51%E -3.51%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.43%E -2.74%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 07:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.51%E -3.51%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.43%E -2.74%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 16:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.51%E -3.51%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.43%E -2.74%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 16:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.51%E -3.51%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.43%E -2.74%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 02:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.12%E -3.92%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.44%E -1.85%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 11:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.12%E -3.92%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.44%E -1.85%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 11:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.12%E -3.92%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.44%E -1.85%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 11:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.12%E -3.92%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.44%E -1.85%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 11:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.12%E -3.92%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.44%E -1.85%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 11:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.12%E -3.92%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.44%E -1.85%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 11:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.12%E -3.92%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.44%E -1.85%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 11:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.12%E -3.92%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.44%E -1.85%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 11:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.12%E -3.92%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.44%E -1.85%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 11:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.12%E -3.92%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.44%E -1.85%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 11:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.12%E -3.92%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.44%E -1.85%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 11:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.20%EV -6.12%E -3.92%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.80%EV -6.03%E -2.56%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-31 14:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.20%EV -6.12%E -3.92%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.80%EV -6.03%E -2.56%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-31 14:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.12%E -3.92%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.43%E -2.74%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-31 11:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.86%EV -6.72%E -4.33%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.14%EV -4.04%E -1.68%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 16:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.72%E -4.33%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.44%E -1.85%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-29 06:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.72%E -4.33%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.43%E -2.74%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-31 15:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.72%E -4.33%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.42%E -3.66%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-30 02:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.72%E -4.33%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.42%E -3.66%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-30 02:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -7.32%E -4.75%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -4.44%E -1.85%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-29 13:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.92%E -5.18%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -6.43%E -2.74%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-31 11:05 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (8)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 0.5% | 2026-08-31 17:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 0.5% | 2026-08-31 17:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 0.5% | 2026-08-31 17:01 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 0.5% | 2026-08-31 17:01 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09% | 0.7% | 2026-08-31 17:01 |
| Novig◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.82% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 39.18% | 0.9% | 2026-08-31 16:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.2% | 2026-08-31 06:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.35% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65% | 1.9% | 2026-08-31 17:01 |