语言:简体中文
Marcos Giron v Ignacio Buse
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Marcos Giron (主队)
预测 39.80%2.51公平赔率
EV -0.489%
优势 -0.196%
Kelly -0.326%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.50
博彩公司预测分布
37.66%39.73%39.75%42.56%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.242.372.372.5044.64%42.15%42.19%40.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
Ignacio Buse (客队)
预测 60.20%1.66公平赔率
EV -0.075%
优势 -0.045%
Kelly -0.114%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.66
博彩公司预测分布
57.44%60.27%60.25%62.34%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.511.581.571.6666.23%63.42%63.69%60.24%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Marcos Giron (主队)：39.80%；Ignacio Buse (客队)：60.20%。 对于“Ignacio Buse (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.661。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为1.660，期望值为-0.075%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (64 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -0.489%E -0.196%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -9.10%E -6.03%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 16:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%EV -2.08%E -0.846%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%EV -3.09%E -1.92%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-02 15:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.48%E -1.01%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.09%E -1.92%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-02 16:28 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -2.48%E -1.01%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.89%E -3.10%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-02 11:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.48%E -1.01%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.09%E -3.91%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-02 11:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.48%E -1.01%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.09%E -3.91%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-02 11:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -2.48%E -1.01%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.90%E -5.16%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 16:28 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -3.67%E -1.52%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -2.48%E -1.53%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-02 16:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -3.67%E -1.52%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -2.48%E -1.53%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-02 16:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.47%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.69%E -2.30%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-02 03:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.47%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.29%E -2.70%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-02 02:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.47%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.89%E -3.10%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 14:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.47%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.49%E -3.50%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 15:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.47%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.49%E -3.50%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 05:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.47%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.49%E -3.50%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 14:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.47%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.49%E -3.50%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 05:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.47%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.49%E -3.50%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 14:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.47%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.09%E -3.91%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 05:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.47%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.70%E -4.32%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 09:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.47%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.70%E -4.32%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 11:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.95%EV -4.87%E -2.04%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.05%EV -4.29%E -2.70%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-02 16:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -4.87%E -2.04%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -4.89%E -3.10%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 09:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV -4.87%E -2.04%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV -5.49%E -3.50%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 16:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.27%E -2.21%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.89%E -3.10%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 09:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.27%E -2.21%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.49%E -3.50%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 14:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.27%E -2.21%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.49%E -3.50%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 15:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.27%E -2.21%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.49%E -3.50%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 15:01 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.27%E -2.21%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.49%E -3.50%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 14:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.27%E -2.21%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.49%E -3.50%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 03:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.27%E -2.21%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.49%E -3.50%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 05:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.27%E -2.21%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.49%E -3.50%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 15:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -5.66%E -2.39%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -6.70%E -4.32%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 05:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -5.66%E -2.39%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -6.70%E -4.32%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 05:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.80%EV -6.06%E -2.57%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.20%EV -6.09%E -3.91%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-02 09:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.80%EV -6.06%E -2.57%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.20%EV -6.09%E -3.91%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-02 09:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.46%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.09%E -1.92%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-02 09:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.46%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.09%E -1.92%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-02 16:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -6.46%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.29%E -2.70%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 16:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.46%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.89%E -3.10%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 16:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.46%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.89%E -3.10%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 16:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.46%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.89%E -3.10%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 16:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.46%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.89%E -3.10%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 16:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.46%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.89%E -3.10%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 16:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.46%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.49%E -3.50%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 14:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.46%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.49%E -3.50%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 16:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.46%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.49%E -3.50%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 16:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.46%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.49%E -3.50%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 16:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.46%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.49%E -3.50%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 16:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.46%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.49%E -3.50%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 16:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.46%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.49%E -3.50%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 16:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.46%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.49%E -3.50%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 16:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.46%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.49%E -3.50%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 16:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.46%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.49%E -3.50%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 16:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.46%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.49%E -3.50%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 16:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.46%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.49%E -3.50%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 16:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.46%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.49%E -3.50%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 16:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -6.86%E -2.93%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -3.69%E -2.30%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 22:31 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.46%EV -6.86%E -2.93%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.54%EV -4.29%E -2.70%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 02:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.45%E -3.67%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.69%E -2.30%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 16:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -8.45%E -3.67%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.29%E -2.70%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 14:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.45%E -3.67%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.49%E -3.50%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-02 16:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -8.45%E -3.67%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.09%E -3.91%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-02 16:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -10.44%E -4.64%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.48%E -1.53%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 05:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -10.84%E -4.84%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -0.075%E -0.045%K -0.114%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-02 16:40 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (8)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43% | 0.3% | 2026-09-02 16:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43% | 0.3% | 2026-09-02 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 0.7% | 2026-09-02 16:41 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 0.7% | 2026-09-02 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 0.7% | 2026-09-02 16:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 1.2% | 2026-09-02 16:26 |
| Novig◎ | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.89% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.11% | 1.6% | 2026-09-02 16:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29% | 2.4% | 2026-09-02 16:40 |