Sprache:Deutsch
Marcos Giron v Ignacio Buse
Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →
Direkter Vergleich
Marcos Giron (Heim)
Prognose 39.80%2.51faire Quote
EV -0.489%
Vorteil -0.196%
Kelly -0.326%
Wachstum +0.000%
bei einer Höchstquote von 2.50
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
37.66%39.73%39.75%42.56%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.242.372.372.5044.64%42.15%42.19%40.00%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Ignacio Buse (Auswärts)
Prognose 60.20%1.66faire Quote
EV -0.075%
Vorteil -0.045%
Kelly -0.114%
Wachstum +0.000%
bei einer Höchstquote von 1.66
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
57.44%60.27%60.25%62.34%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.511.581.571.6666.23%63.42%63.69%60.24%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Marcos Giron (Heim): 39.80%; Ignacio Buse (Auswärts): 60.20%. Für Ignacio Buse (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 1.661. Kein geeigneter Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an: Die beste betrug 1.660, bei einem Erwartungswert von -0.075%; sie ergab keinen positiven Erwartungswert.
Wettanbieterquoten (64 Wettanbieter)
Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.
| Wettanbieter | Heim ▼ | Auswärts | Marge | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -0.489%E -0.196%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -9.10%E -6.03%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 16:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%EV -2.08%E -0.846%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%EV -3.09%E -1.92%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-02 15:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.48%E -1.01%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.09%E -1.92%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-02 16:28 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -2.48%E -1.01%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.89%E -3.10%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-02 11:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.48%E -1.01%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.09%E -3.91%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-02 11:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.48%E -1.01%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.09%E -3.91%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-02 11:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -2.48%E -1.01%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.90%E -5.16%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 16:28 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -3.67%E -1.52%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -2.48%E -1.53%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-02 16:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -3.67%E -1.52%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -2.48%E -1.53%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-02 16:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.47%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.69%E -2.30%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-02 03:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.47%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.29%E -2.70%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-02 02:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.47%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.89%E -3.10%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 14:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.47%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.49%E -3.50%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 15:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.47%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.49%E -3.50%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 05:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.47%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.49%E -3.50%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 14:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.47%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.49%E -3.50%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 05:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.47%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.49%E -3.50%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 14:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.47%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.09%E -3.91%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 05:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.47%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.70%E -4.32%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 09:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.47%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.70%E -4.32%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 11:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.95%EV -4.87%E -2.04%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.05%EV -4.29%E -2.70%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-02 16:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -4.87%E -2.04%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -4.89%E -3.10%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 09:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV -4.87%E -2.04%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV -5.49%E -3.50%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 16:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.27%E -2.21%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.89%E -3.10%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 09:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.27%E -2.21%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.49%E -3.50%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 14:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.27%E -2.21%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.49%E -3.50%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 15:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.27%E -2.21%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.49%E -3.50%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 15:01 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.27%E -2.21%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.49%E -3.50%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 14:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.27%E -2.21%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.49%E -3.50%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 03:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.27%E -2.21%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.49%E -3.50%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 05:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.27%E -2.21%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.49%E -3.50%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 15:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -5.66%E -2.39%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -6.70%E -4.32%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 05:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -5.66%E -2.39%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -6.70%E -4.32%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 05:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.80%EV -6.06%E -2.57%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.20%EV -6.09%E -3.91%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-02 09:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.80%EV -6.06%E -2.57%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.20%EV -6.09%E -3.91%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-02 09:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.46%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.09%E -1.92%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-02 09:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.46%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.09%E -1.92%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-02 16:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -6.46%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.29%E -2.70%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 16:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.46%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.89%E -3.10%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 16:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.46%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.89%E -3.10%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 16:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.46%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.89%E -3.10%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 16:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.46%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.89%E -3.10%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 16:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.46%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.89%E -3.10%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 16:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.46%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.49%E -3.50%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 14:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.46%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.49%E -3.50%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 16:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.46%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.49%E -3.50%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 16:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.46%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.49%E -3.50%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 16:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.46%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.49%E -3.50%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 16:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.46%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.49%E -3.50%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 16:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.46%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.49%E -3.50%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 16:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.46%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.49%E -3.50%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 16:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.46%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.49%E -3.50%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 16:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.46%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.49%E -3.50%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 16:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.46%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.49%E -3.50%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 16:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.46%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.49%E -3.50%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 16:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.46%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.49%E -3.50%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 16:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -6.86%E -2.93%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -3.69%E -2.30%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 22:31 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.46%EV -6.86%E -2.93%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.54%EV -4.29%E -2.70%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 02:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.45%E -3.67%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.69%E -2.30%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 16:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -8.45%E -3.67%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.29%E -2.70%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 14:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.45%E -3.67%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.49%E -3.50%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-02 16:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -8.45%E -3.67%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.09%E -3.91%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-02 16:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -10.44%E -4.64%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.48%E -1.53%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 05:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -10.84%E -4.84%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -0.075%E -0.045%K -0.114%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-02 16:40 |
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals
Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.
Wettbörsen (8)
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts | Marge ▲ | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43% | 0.3% | 2026-09-02 16:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43% | 0.3% | 2026-09-02 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 0.7% | 2026-09-02 16:41 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 0.7% | 2026-09-02 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 0.7% | 2026-09-02 16:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 1.2% | 2026-09-02 16:26 |
| Novig◎ | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.89% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.11% | 1.6% | 2026-09-02 16:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29% | 2.4% | 2026-09-02 16:40 |