StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Marcos Giron v Ignacio Buse

Matchstart: 2026-09-02 16:44 UTC

Slutresultat: Marcos Giron 2–3 Ignacio Buse

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

64 spelbolag (21 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Marcos Giron (Hemma)

Prognos 39.80%2.51rättvist odds
EV -0.489%
Fördel -0.196%
Kelly -0.326%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.50

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
37.66%39.73%39.75%42.56%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.242.372.372.5044.64%42.15%42.19%40.00%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Ignacio Buse (Borta)

Prognos 60.20%1.66rättvist odds
EV -0.075%
Fördel -0.045%
Kelly -0.114%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.66

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
57.44%60.27%60.25%62.34%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.511.581.571.6666.23%63.42%63.69%60.24%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Marcos Giron (Hemma): 39.80%; Ignacio Buse (Borta): 60.20%. För Ignacio Buse (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 1.661. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 1.660, med väntevärdet -0.075%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (64 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
Betclic (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -0.489%E -0.196%K -0.326%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -9.10%E -6.03%K -17.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 16:35
Pinnacle🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%EV -2.08%E -0.846%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%EV -3.09%E -1.92%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-02 15:45
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.48%E -1.01%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.09%E -1.92%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-02 16:28
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -2.48%E -1.01%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.89%E -3.10%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-02 11:35
Unibet (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.48%E -1.01%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.09%E -3.91%K -10.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-02 11:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.48%E -1.01%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.09%E -3.91%K -10.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-02 11:35
TAB🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -2.48%E -1.01%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.90%E -5.16%K -14.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 16:28
BetOnline.ag🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -3.67%E -1.52%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -2.48%E -1.53%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-02 16:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -3.67%E -1.52%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -2.48%E -1.53%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-02 16:05
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.47%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.69%E -2.30%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-02 03:50
Bovada🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.47%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.29%E -2.70%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-02 02:39
FanDuel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.47%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.89%E -3.10%K -8.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 14:40
LeoVegas🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.47%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.49%E -3.50%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 15:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.47%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.49%E -3.50%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 05:20
SportsBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.47%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.49%E -3.50%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 14:40
Neds🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.47%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.49%E -3.50%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 05:20
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.47%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.49%E -3.50%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 14:40
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.47%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.09%E -3.91%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 05:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.47%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.70%E -4.32%K -12.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 09:40
NetBet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.47%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.70%E -4.32%K -12.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 11:45
BetUS🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 39.95%EV -4.87%E -2.04%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.05%EV -4.29%E -2.70%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 16:40
MyBookie.ag🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -4.87%E -2.04%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -4.89%E -3.10%K -8.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 09:44
Marathon Bet🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV -4.87%E -2.04%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV -5.49%E -3.50%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 16:34
Unibet (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.27%E -2.21%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.89%E -3.10%K -8.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 09:10
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.27%E -2.21%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.49%E -3.50%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 14:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.27%E -2.21%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.49%E -3.50%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 15:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.27%E -2.21%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.49%E -3.50%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 15:01
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.27%E -2.21%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.49%E -3.50%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 14:40
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.27%E -2.21%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.49%E -3.50%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 03:45
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.27%E -2.21%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.49%E -3.50%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 05:20
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.27%E -2.21%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.49%E -3.50%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 15:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -5.66%E -2.39%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -6.70%E -4.32%K -12.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 05:20
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -5.66%E -2.39%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -6.70%E -4.32%K -12.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 05:20
NordicBet🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.80%EV -6.06%E -2.57%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.20%EV -6.09%E -3.91%K -10.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-02 09:39
Betsson🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.80%EV -6.06%E -2.57%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.20%EV -6.09%E -3.91%K -10.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-02 09:25
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.46%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.09%E -1.92%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 09:25
BetAnything🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.46%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.09%E -1.92%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 16:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -6.46%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.29%E -2.70%K -7.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 16:30
Unibet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.46%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.89%E -3.10%K -8.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 16:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.46%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.89%E -3.10%K -8.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 16:30
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.46%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.89%E -3.10%K -8.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 16:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.46%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.89%E -3.10%K -8.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 16:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.46%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.89%E -3.10%K -8.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 16:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.46%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.49%E -3.50%K -9.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 14:35
TABtouch🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.46%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.49%E -3.50%K -9.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 16:30
Casumo🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.46%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.49%E -3.50%K -9.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 16:30
Grosvenor🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.46%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.49%E -3.50%K -9.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 16:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.46%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.49%E -3.50%K -9.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 16:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.46%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.49%E -3.50%K -9.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 16:30
Bally Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.46%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.49%E -3.50%K -9.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 16:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.46%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.49%E -3.50%K -9.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 16:30
betPARX🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.46%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.49%E -3.50%K -9.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 16:30
BetRivers🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.46%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.49%E -3.50%K -9.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 16:30
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.46%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.49%E -3.50%K -9.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 16:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.46%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.49%E -3.50%K -9.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.46%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.49%E -3.50%K -9.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 16:30
GTbets🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -6.86%E -2.93%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -3.69%E -2.30%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 22:31
DraftKings🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.46%EV -6.86%E -2.93%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.54%EV -4.29%E -2.70%K -7.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 02:20
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.45%E -3.67%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.69%E -2.30%K -6.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 16:40
Caesars🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -8.45%E -3.67%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.29%E -2.70%K -7.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 14:50
Fliff🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.45%E -3.67%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.49%E -3.50%K -9.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-02 16:40
PMU (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -8.45%E -3.67%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.09%E -3.91%K -10.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-02 16:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -10.44%E -4.64%K -8.35%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.48%E -1.53%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 05:25
1xBet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -10.84%E -4.84%K -8.74%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -0.075%E -0.045%K -0.114%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-02 16:40
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (8)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43%0.3%2026-09-02 16:40
ProphetX◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43%0.3%2026-09-02 16:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%0.7%2026-09-02 16:41
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%0.7%2026-09-02 16:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%0.7%2026-09-02 16:40
Kalshi◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-09-02 16:26
Novig◎2.53I 39.53%NM 38.89%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.11%1.6%2026-09-02 16:40
Smarkets◎2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%2.4%2026-09-02 16:40