语言:简体中文
Luciano Darderi v Dane Sweeny
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Luciano Darderi (主队)
预测 75.10%1.33公平赔率
EV -2.37%
优势 -1.82%
Kelly -7.90%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.30
博彩公司预测分布
73.62%75.33%75.00%82.43%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.141.261.261.3087.72%79.68%79.37%76.92%最小值均值中位数最大值
Dane Sweeny (客队)
预测 24.90%4.02公平赔率
EV +33.21%
优势 +6.21%
Kelly +7.63%
增长率 +2.54%
假设最高赔率为 5.35
博彩公司预测分布
17.57%24.67%25.00%26.38%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.453.843.805.3528.99%26.03%26.32%18.69%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Luciano Darderi (主队)：75.10%；Dane Sweeny (客队)：24.90%。 对于“Dane Sweeny (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.02。 当时有5家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为5.35，对应+33.21%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (63 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fliff🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.43%EV -14.38%E -12.62%K -102.75%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.57%EV +33.21%E +6.21%K +7.63%G +2.54% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 23:02 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.19%EV -7.63%E -6.20%K -33.16%G +0.000% | 4.41I 22.68%NM 21.81%EV +9.80%E +2.22%K +2.88%G +0.282% | 4.0% | 2026-09-04 09:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -9.13%E -7.54%K -43.47%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV +8.31%E +1.91%K +2.48%G +0.206% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 09:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -8.38%E -6.87%K -38.08%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV +7.81%E +1.80%K +2.35%G +0.183% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 13:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -8.38%E -6.87%K -38.08%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV +2.09%E +0.509%K +0.673%G +0.014% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 12:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%EV -3.87%E -3.02%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%EV -0.404%E -0.101%K -0.135%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-04 13:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.62%E -3.64%K -17.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -0.404%E -0.101%K -0.135%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-04 13:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.49%EV -8.38%E -6.87%K -38.08%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 23.51%EV -1.15%E -0.290%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-04 12:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.62%E -3.64%K -17.12%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.89%E -0.742%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-04 12:28 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.37%E -4.26%K -20.66%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -2.89%E -0.742%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 13:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.37%E -4.26%K -20.66%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -2.89%E -0.742%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 13:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.37%E -4.26%K -20.66%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -2.89%E -0.742%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 13:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.37%E -4.26%K -20.66%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -2.89%E -0.742%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 13:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.37%E -4.26%K -20.66%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -2.89%E -0.742%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 13:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.37%E -4.26%K -20.66%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -2.89%E -0.742%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 13:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.37%E -4.26%K -20.66%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -2.89%E -0.742%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 13:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.37%E -4.26%K -20.66%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -2.89%E -0.742%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 13:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.37%E -4.26%K -20.66%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -2.89%E -0.742%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 13:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.37%E -4.26%K -20.66%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -2.89%E -0.742%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 13:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.37%E -4.26%K -20.66%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -2.89%E -0.742%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 13:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.37%E -4.26%K -20.66%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -2.89%E -0.742%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 13:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.37%E -4.26%K -20.66%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -2.89%E -0.742%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 13:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.37%E -4.26%K -20.66%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -2.89%E -0.742%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 13:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -6.12%E -4.90%K -24.50%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -2.89%E -0.742%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 12:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -6.12%E -4.90%K -24.50%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -2.89%E -0.742%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 13:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.15%EV -3.87%E -3.02%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.85%EV -3.64%E -0.941%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-04 12:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.15%EV -3.87%E -3.02%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.85%EV -3.64%E -0.941%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-04 12:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.81%EV -2.37%E -1.82%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 25.19%EV -3.89%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-04 12:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -6.12%E -4.90%K -24.50%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -4.14%E -1.07%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 13:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.39%EV -6.12%E -4.90%K -24.50%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.61%EV -4.64%E -1.21%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-04 13:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.39%EV -6.12%E -4.90%K -24.50%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.61%EV -4.64%E -1.21%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-04 13:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.12%E -2.42%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -5.38%E -1.42%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.12%E -4.90%K -24.50%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.38%E -1.42%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-04 13:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -6.87%E -5.54%K -28.65%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -5.38%E -1.42%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 12:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -7.63%E -6.20%K -33.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -5.38%E -1.42%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-04 13:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.00%EV -9.88%E -8.23%K -49.39%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -5.38%E -1.42%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.12%E -2.42%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -6.63%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-04 12:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.62%E -3.64%K -17.12%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.63%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 12:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.37%E -4.26%K -20.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -6.63%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 13:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.37%E -4.26%K -20.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -6.63%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.12%E -4.90%K -24.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.63%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 13:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.12%E -4.90%K -24.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.63%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 12:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.12%E -4.90%K -24.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.63%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 12:34 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.12%E -4.90%K -24.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.63%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.12%E -4.90%K -24.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.63%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 12:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.12%E -4.90%K -24.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.63%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 12:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.55%EV -4.62%E -3.64%K -17.12%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.45%EV -7.38%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 12:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.87%E -3.02%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -7.87%E -2.13%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 12:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.87%E -3.02%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -7.87%E -2.13%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 12:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.62%E -3.64%K -17.12%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -7.87%E -2.13%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 14:31 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.12%E -4.90%K -24.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.87%E -2.13%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 12:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.12%E -4.90%K -24.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.87%E -2.13%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 12:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.12%E -2.42%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.36%E -2.88%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 12:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.12%E -2.42%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.36%E -2.88%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 12:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.12%E -2.42%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.36%E -2.88%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 12:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.12%E -2.42%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.36%E -2.88%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 12:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.87%E -3.02%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -10.36%E -2.88%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 12:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.37%E -4.26%K -20.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.36%E -2.88%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 12:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.37%E -4.26%K -20.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.36%E -2.88%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 13:53 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.38%EV -6.87%E -5.54%K -28.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -10.36%E -2.88%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-04 13:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.27%EV -7.63%E -6.20%K -33.16%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.73%EV -11.61%E -3.27%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-04 13:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.27%EV -7.63%E -6.20%K -33.16%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.73%EV -11.61%E -3.27%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-04 13:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 74.03%EV -9.13%E -7.54%K -43.47%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.97%EV -14.10%E -4.09%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-04 13:55 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (8)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Novig◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67% | 1.3% | 2026-09-04 13:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67% | 1.3% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67% | 1.3% | 2026-09-04 13:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.71% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29% | 1.4% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.24% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.76% | 2.2% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.72% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.28% | 3.3% | 2026-09-04 04:00 |