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Luciano Darderi v Dane Sweeny
Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →
Direkter Vergleich
Luciano Darderi (Heim)
Prognose 75.10%1.33faire Quote
EV -2.37%
Vorteil -1.82%
Kelly -7.90%
Wachstum +0.000%
bei einer Höchstquote von 1.30
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
73.62%75.33%75.00%82.43%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.141.261.261.3087.72%79.68%79.37%76.92%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Dane Sweeny (Auswärts)
Prognose 24.90%4.02faire Quote
EV +33.21%
Vorteil +6.21%
Kelly +7.63%
Wachstum +2.54%
bei einer Höchstquote von 5.35
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
17.57%24.67%25.00%26.38%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.453.843.805.3528.99%26.03%26.32%18.69%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Luciano Darderi (Heim): 75.10%; Dane Sweeny (Auswärts): 24.90%. Für Dane Sweeny (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 4.02. 5 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 5.35 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +33.21%.
Wettanbieterquoten (63 Wettanbieter)
Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts ▼ | Marge | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fliff🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.43%EV -14.38%E -12.62%K -102.75%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.57%EV +33.21%E +6.21%K +7.63%G +2.54% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 23:02 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.19%EV -7.63%E -6.20%K -33.16%G +0.000% | 4.41I 22.68%NM 21.81%EV +9.80%E +2.22%K +2.88%G +0.282% | 4.0% | 2026-09-04 09:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -9.13%E -7.54%K -43.47%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV +8.31%E +1.91%K +2.48%G +0.206% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 09:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -8.38%E -6.87%K -38.08%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV +7.81%E +1.80%K +2.35%G +0.183% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 13:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -8.38%E -6.87%K -38.08%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV +2.09%E +0.509%K +0.673%G +0.014% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 12:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%EV -3.87%E -3.02%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%EV -0.404%E -0.101%K -0.135%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-04 13:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.62%E -3.64%K -17.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -0.404%E -0.101%K -0.135%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-04 13:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.49%EV -8.38%E -6.87%K -38.08%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 23.51%EV -1.15%E -0.290%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-04 12:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.62%E -3.64%K -17.12%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.89%E -0.742%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-04 12:28 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.37%E -4.26%K -20.66%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -2.89%E -0.742%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 13:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.37%E -4.26%K -20.66%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -2.89%E -0.742%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 13:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.37%E -4.26%K -20.66%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -2.89%E -0.742%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 13:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.37%E -4.26%K -20.66%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -2.89%E -0.742%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 13:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.37%E -4.26%K -20.66%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -2.89%E -0.742%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 13:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.37%E -4.26%K -20.66%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -2.89%E -0.742%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 13:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.37%E -4.26%K -20.66%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -2.89%E -0.742%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 13:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.37%E -4.26%K -20.66%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -2.89%E -0.742%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 13:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.37%E -4.26%K -20.66%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -2.89%E -0.742%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 13:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.37%E -4.26%K -20.66%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -2.89%E -0.742%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 13:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.37%E -4.26%K -20.66%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -2.89%E -0.742%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 13:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.37%E -4.26%K -20.66%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -2.89%E -0.742%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 13:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.37%E -4.26%K -20.66%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -2.89%E -0.742%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 13:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.37%E -4.26%K -20.66%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -2.89%E -0.742%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 13:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -6.12%E -4.90%K -24.50%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -2.89%E -0.742%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 12:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -6.12%E -4.90%K -24.50%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -2.89%E -0.742%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 13:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.15%EV -3.87%E -3.02%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.85%EV -3.64%E -0.941%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-04 12:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.15%EV -3.87%E -3.02%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.85%EV -3.64%E -0.941%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-04 12:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.81%EV -2.37%E -1.82%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 25.19%EV -3.89%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-04 12:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -6.12%E -4.90%K -24.50%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -4.14%E -1.07%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 13:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.39%EV -6.12%E -4.90%K -24.50%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.61%EV -4.64%E -1.21%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-04 13:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.39%EV -6.12%E -4.90%K -24.50%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.61%EV -4.64%E -1.21%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-04 13:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.12%E -2.42%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -5.38%E -1.42%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.12%E -4.90%K -24.50%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.38%E -1.42%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-04 13:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -6.87%E -5.54%K -28.65%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -5.38%E -1.42%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 12:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -7.63%E -6.20%K -33.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -5.38%E -1.42%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-04 13:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.00%EV -9.88%E -8.23%K -49.39%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -5.38%E -1.42%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.12%E -2.42%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -6.63%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-04 12:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.62%E -3.64%K -17.12%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.63%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 12:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.37%E -4.26%K -20.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -6.63%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 13:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.37%E -4.26%K -20.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -6.63%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.12%E -4.90%K -24.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.63%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 13:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.12%E -4.90%K -24.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.63%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 12:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.12%E -4.90%K -24.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.63%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 12:34 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.12%E -4.90%K -24.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.63%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.12%E -4.90%K -24.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.63%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 12:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.12%E -4.90%K -24.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.63%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 12:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.55%EV -4.62%E -3.64%K -17.12%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.45%EV -7.38%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 12:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.87%E -3.02%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -7.87%E -2.13%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 12:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.87%E -3.02%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -7.87%E -2.13%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 12:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.62%E -3.64%K -17.12%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -7.87%E -2.13%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 14:31 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.12%E -4.90%K -24.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.87%E -2.13%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 12:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.12%E -4.90%K -24.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.87%E -2.13%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 12:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.12%E -2.42%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.36%E -2.88%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 12:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.12%E -2.42%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.36%E -2.88%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 12:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.12%E -2.42%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.36%E -2.88%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 12:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.12%E -2.42%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.36%E -2.88%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 12:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.87%E -3.02%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -10.36%E -2.88%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 12:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.37%E -4.26%K -20.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.36%E -2.88%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 12:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.37%E -4.26%K -20.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.36%E -2.88%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 13:53 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.38%EV -6.87%E -5.54%K -28.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -10.36%E -2.88%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-04 13:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.27%EV -7.63%E -6.20%K -33.16%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.73%EV -11.61%E -3.27%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-04 13:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.27%EV -7.63%E -6.20%K -33.16%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.73%EV -11.61%E -3.27%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-04 13:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 74.03%EV -9.13%E -7.54%K -43.47%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.97%EV -14.10%E -4.09%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-04 13:55 |
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals
Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.
Wettbörsen (8)
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts | Marge ▲ | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Novig◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67% | 1.3% | 2026-09-04 13:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67% | 1.3% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67% | 1.3% | 2026-09-04 13:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.71% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29% | 1.4% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.24% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.76% | 2.2% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.72% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.28% | 3.3% | 2026-09-04 04:00 |