Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kamil Majchrzak v Hamad Medjedovic

2026-08-30 15:00 UTC — ATP US Open

Head to Head

31 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kamil Majchrzak (Local)

Prediction 53.07%1.88fair odd
EV -1.28%
Edge -0.690%
Kelly -1.49%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.86

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.63%53.06%53.10%53.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.661.781.781.8660.24%56.30%56.18%53.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hamad Medjedovic (Visit)

Prediction 46.93%2.13fair odd
EV -1.92%
Edge -0.920%
Kelly -1.76%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.09

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.42%46.94%46.90%47.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.862.012.022.0953.76%49.79%49.50%47.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Kamil Majchrzak (Local): 53.07%; Hamad Medjedovic (Visit): 46.93%. For Kamil Majchrzak (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.88. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.86, with an expected value of -1.28%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.91%EV -1.28%E -0.690%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 47.09%EV -1.92%E -0.920%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-27 23:55
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.47%E -2.48%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.80%E -1.85%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-27 22:01
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.47%E -2.48%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.15%E -3.07%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-27 22:06
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.47%E -2.48%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.15%E -3.07%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-27 22:01
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.47%E -2.48%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.15%E -3.07%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-28 00:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.89%EV -5.00%E -2.79%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.11%EV -5.68%E -2.82%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-27 23:50
Unibet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.53%E -3.11%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.21%E -2.58%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-27 22:01
LiveScore Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.53%E -3.11%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.21%E -2.58%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-27 22:00
TABtouch🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.53%E -3.11%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.21%E -2.58%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-27 22:00
Casumo🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.53%E -3.11%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.21%E -2.58%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-27 22:01
PMU (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.53%E -3.11%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.21%E -2.58%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-27 22:01
Grosvenor🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.53%E -3.11%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.21%E -2.58%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-27 22:01
Unibet (NL)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.53%E -3.11%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.21%E -2.58%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-27 22:01
Virgin Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.53%E -3.11%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.21%E -2.58%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-27 22:01
Svenska Spel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.53%E -3.11%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.21%E -2.58%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-27 22:00
Bally Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.53%E -3.11%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.21%E -2.58%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-27 22:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.53%E -3.11%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.21%E -2.58%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-27 22:01
betPARX🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.53%E -3.11%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.21%E -2.58%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-27 22:01
BetRivers🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.53%E -3.11%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.21%E -2.58%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-27 23:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.53%E -3.11%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.15%E -3.07%K -6.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-27 23:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.53%E -3.11%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.15%E -3.07%K -6.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-27 23:50
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.42%EV -6.06%E -3.42%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.58%EV -4.74%E -2.33%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-27 23:45
Betsson🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.17%EV -6.06%E -3.42%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.83%EV -5.68%E -2.82%K -5.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-27 22:23
NordicBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.17%EV -6.06%E -3.42%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.83%EV -5.68%E -2.82%K -5.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-27 22:25
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.06%E -3.42%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.15%E -3.07%K -6.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-27 22:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.06%E -3.42%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.15%E -3.07%K -6.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-27 22:00
SportsBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -5.21%E -2.58%K -5.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-28 00:50
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.50%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -7.09%E -3.58%K -7.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-27 22:25
GTbets🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.50%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -7.55%E -3.83%K -7.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-27 23:45
MyBookie.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.50%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -7.55%E -3.83%K -7.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-27 22:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 52.84%EV -11.90%E -7.17%K -18.03%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 47.16%EV -12.72%E -6.84%K -14.79%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-27 22:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 52.35%1.89I 52.91%NM 47.65%11.0%2026-08-27 22:25