Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Kamil Majchrzak v Hamad Medjedovic

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-30 15:02 UTC

Score final : Kamil Majchrzak 3–0 Hamad Medjedovic

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Kamil Majchrzak (Local)

Prévision 54.11%1.85cote équitable
EV -2.59%
Avantage -1.44%
Kelly -3.24%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.05%54.07%54.09%55.12%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.711.761.771.8058.48%56.87%56.50%55.56%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Hamad Medjedovic (Visiteur)

Prévision 45.89%2.18cote équitable
EV -2.26%
Avantage -1.06%
Kelly -2.00%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.13

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.88%45.93%45.91%46.95%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.972.062.052.1350.76%48.54%48.78%46.95%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Kamil Majchrzak (Local) : 54.11% ; Hamad Medjedovic (Visiteur) : 45.89%. Pour Hamad Medjedovic (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.18. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.13, pour une espérance de -2.26% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.59%E -1.44%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.93%E -2.89%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-30 15:00
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.59%E -1.44%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.93%E -2.89%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-29 08:20
Coolbet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.48%EV -3.68%E -2.07%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.52%EV -2.26%E -1.06%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-30 14:50
Pinnacle🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.48%EV -3.68%E -2.07%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.52%EV -2.26%E -1.06%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-30 13:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.68%E -2.07%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.93%E -2.89%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 15:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.68%E -2.07%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.93%E -2.89%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 15:00
Unibet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -3.68%E -2.07%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -6.39%E -3.13%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 10:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -3.68%E -2.07%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -6.39%E -3.13%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 10:30
TABtouch🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -3.68%E -2.07%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -6.39%E -3.13%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 10:30
Casumo🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -3.68%E -2.07%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -6.39%E -3.13%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 10:29
Grosvenor🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -3.68%E -2.07%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -6.39%E -3.13%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 10:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -3.68%E -2.07%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -6.39%E -3.13%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 10:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -3.68%E -2.07%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -6.39%E -3.13%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 10:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -3.68%E -2.07%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -6.39%E -3.13%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 10:30
Bally Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -3.68%E -2.07%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -6.39%E -3.13%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 10:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -3.68%E -2.07%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -6.39%E -3.13%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 10:30
betPARX🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -3.68%E -2.07%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -6.39%E -3.13%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 10:30
BetRivers🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -3.68%E -2.07%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -6.39%E -3.13%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 10:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -3.68%E -2.07%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -6.39%E -3.13%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 10:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -3.68%E -2.07%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -6.39%E -3.13%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 10:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -3.68%E -2.07%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -7.31%E -3.62%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 14:55
SportsBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.22%E -2.38%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.64%E -1.73%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-30 14:40
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.22%E -2.38%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.64%E -1.73%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-30 14:03
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.22%E -2.38%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.56%E -2.19%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-30 14:39
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.22%E -2.38%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.93%E -2.89%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 14:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.22%E -2.38%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.93%E -2.89%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 10:29
TAB🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.22%E -2.38%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.93%E -2.89%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 13:23
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.22%E -2.38%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.93%E -2.89%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 13:25
Neds🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.22%E -2.38%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.93%E -2.89%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 13:25
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -4.22%E -2.38%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -7.31%E -3.62%K -7.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 15:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.22%E -2.38%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.23%E -4.11%K -8.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 14:50
BetAnything🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.22%E -2.38%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.23%E -4.11%K -8.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 14:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -4.76%E -2.70%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV -3.18%E -1.51%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-30 14:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -4.76%E -2.70%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV -3.18%E -1.51%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-30 14:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.30%E -3.03%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.64%E -1.73%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 14:00
Betway🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.30%E -3.03%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.64%E -1.73%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 13:50
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.30%E -3.03%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.64%E -1.73%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 14:54
GTbets🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -5.30%E -3.03%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -4.10%E -1.96%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 14:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.30%E -3.03%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.56%E -2.19%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 14:05
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.30%E -3.03%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.56%E -2.19%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 15:00
ReBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.30%E -3.03%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.93%E -2.89%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 14:59
1xBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.84%E -3.36%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -2.72%E -1.28%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-30 14:50
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -5.84%E -3.36%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -5.02%E -2.42%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 15:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.84%E -3.36%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.93%E -2.89%K -5.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 15:00
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.84%E -3.36%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.93%E -2.89%K -5.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 13:25
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.84%E -3.36%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.93%E -2.89%K -5.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 14:05
Fanatics🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.84%E -3.36%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.93%E -2.89%K -5.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 14:55
Betsson🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -5.84%E -3.36%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -6.39%E -3.13%K -6.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 15:00
NordicBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -5.84%E -3.36%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -6.39%E -3.13%K -6.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 15:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.10%EV -5.84%E -3.36%K -7.89%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.90%EV -9.61%E -4.88%K -9.90%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-30 10:30
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.38%E -3.69%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.64%E -1.73%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 13:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.38%E -3.69%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.64%E -1.73%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 13:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.38%E -3.69%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.64%E -1.73%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 13:25
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.38%E -3.69%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.64%E -1.73%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 14:40
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.38%E -3.69%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.64%E -1.73%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 13:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.38%E -3.69%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.64%E -1.73%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 14:40
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.38%E -3.69%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.64%E -1.73%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 13:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -6.38%E -3.69%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -4.56%E -2.19%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 15:00
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.38%E -3.69%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.23%E -4.11%K -8.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-30 13:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.38%E -3.69%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.23%E -4.11%K -8.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-30 13:30
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.38%E -3.69%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.23%E -4.11%K -8.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-30 13:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.46%E -4.37%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.64%E -1.73%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 14:49
NetBet (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.76%EV -7.46%E -4.37%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.24%EV -5.02%E -2.42%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 14:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-08-30 15:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-08-30 15:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-08-30 15:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-08-30 15:00
ProphetX◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.50%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.50%1.2%2026-08-30 15:00
Kalshi◎1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.9%2026-08-30 14:10
Novig◎1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%2.1%2026-08-30 14:55
Smarkets◎1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67%2.7%2026-08-30 15:00