Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Kamil Majchrzak v Hamad Medjedovic

Início: 2026-08-30 15:02 UTC

Final: Kamil Majchrzak 3–0 Hamad Medjedovic

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Kamil Majchrzak (Local)

Previsão 54.11%1.85odd justa
EV -2.59%
Vantagem -1.44%
Kelly -3.24%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.05%54.07%54.09%55.12%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.711.761.771.8058.48%56.87%56.50%55.56%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Hamad Medjedovic (Visitante)

Previsão 45.89%2.18odd justa
EV -2.26%
Vantagem -1.06%
Kelly -2.00%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.13

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.88%45.93%45.91%46.95%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.972.062.052.1350.76%48.54%48.78%46.95%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Kamil Majchrzak (Local): 54.11%; Hamad Medjedovic (Visitante): 45.89%. Para Hamad Medjedovic (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.18. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.13, com valor esperado de -2.26%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.59%E -1.44%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.93%E -2.89%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-30 15:00
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.59%E -1.44%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.93%E -2.89%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-29 08:20
Coolbet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.48%EV -3.68%E -2.07%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.52%EV -2.26%E -1.06%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-30 14:50
Pinnacle🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.48%EV -3.68%E -2.07%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.52%EV -2.26%E -1.06%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-30 13:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.68%E -2.07%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.93%E -2.89%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 15:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.68%E -2.07%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.93%E -2.89%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 15:00
Unibet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -3.68%E -2.07%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -6.39%E -3.13%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 10:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -3.68%E -2.07%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -6.39%E -3.13%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 10:30
TABtouch🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -3.68%E -2.07%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -6.39%E -3.13%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 10:30
Casumo🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -3.68%E -2.07%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -6.39%E -3.13%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 10:29
Grosvenor🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -3.68%E -2.07%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -6.39%E -3.13%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 10:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -3.68%E -2.07%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -6.39%E -3.13%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 10:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -3.68%E -2.07%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -6.39%E -3.13%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 10:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -3.68%E -2.07%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -6.39%E -3.13%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 10:30
Bally Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -3.68%E -2.07%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -6.39%E -3.13%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 10:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -3.68%E -2.07%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -6.39%E -3.13%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 10:30
betPARX🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -3.68%E -2.07%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -6.39%E -3.13%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 10:30
BetRivers🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -3.68%E -2.07%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -6.39%E -3.13%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 10:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -3.68%E -2.07%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -6.39%E -3.13%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 10:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -3.68%E -2.07%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -6.39%E -3.13%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 10:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -3.68%E -2.07%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -7.31%E -3.62%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 14:55
SportsBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.22%E -2.38%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.64%E -1.73%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-30 14:40
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.22%E -2.38%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.64%E -1.73%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-30 14:03
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.22%E -2.38%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.56%E -2.19%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-30 14:39
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.22%E -2.38%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.93%E -2.89%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 14:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.22%E -2.38%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.93%E -2.89%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 10:29
TAB🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.22%E -2.38%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.93%E -2.89%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 13:23
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.22%E -2.38%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.93%E -2.89%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 13:25
Neds🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.22%E -2.38%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.93%E -2.89%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 13:25
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -4.22%E -2.38%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -7.31%E -3.62%K -7.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 15:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.22%E -2.38%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.23%E -4.11%K -8.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 14:50
BetAnything🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.22%E -2.38%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.23%E -4.11%K -8.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 14:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -4.76%E -2.70%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV -3.18%E -1.51%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-30 14:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -4.76%E -2.70%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV -3.18%E -1.51%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-30 14:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.30%E -3.03%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.64%E -1.73%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 14:00
Betway🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.30%E -3.03%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.64%E -1.73%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 13:50
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.30%E -3.03%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.64%E -1.73%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 14:54
GTbets🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -5.30%E -3.03%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -4.10%E -1.96%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 14:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.30%E -3.03%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.56%E -2.19%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 14:05
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.30%E -3.03%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.56%E -2.19%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 15:00
ReBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.30%E -3.03%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.93%E -2.89%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 14:59
1xBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.84%E -3.36%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -2.72%E -1.28%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-30 14:50
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -5.84%E -3.36%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -5.02%E -2.42%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 15:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.84%E -3.36%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.93%E -2.89%K -5.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 15:00
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.84%E -3.36%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.93%E -2.89%K -5.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 13:25
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.84%E -3.36%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.93%E -2.89%K -5.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 14:05
Fanatics🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.84%E -3.36%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.93%E -2.89%K -5.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 14:55
Betsson🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -5.84%E -3.36%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -6.39%E -3.13%K -6.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 15:00
NordicBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -5.84%E -3.36%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -6.39%E -3.13%K -6.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 15:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.10%EV -5.84%E -3.36%K -7.89%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.90%EV -9.61%E -4.88%K -9.90%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-30 10:30
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.38%E -3.69%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.64%E -1.73%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 13:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.38%E -3.69%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.64%E -1.73%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 13:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.38%E -3.69%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.64%E -1.73%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 13:25
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.38%E -3.69%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.64%E -1.73%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 14:40
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.38%E -3.69%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.64%E -1.73%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 13:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.38%E -3.69%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.64%E -1.73%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 14:40
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.38%E -3.69%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.64%E -1.73%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 13:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -6.38%E -3.69%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -4.56%E -2.19%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 15:00
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.38%E -3.69%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.23%E -4.11%K -8.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-30 13:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.38%E -3.69%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.23%E -4.11%K -8.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-30 13:30
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.38%E -3.69%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.23%E -4.11%K -8.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-30 13:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.46%E -4.37%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.64%E -1.73%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 14:49
NetBet (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.76%EV -7.46%E -4.37%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.24%EV -5.02%E -2.42%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 14:29
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-08-30 15:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-08-30 15:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-08-30 15:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-08-30 15:00
ProphetX◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.50%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.50%1.2%2026-08-30 15:00
Kalshi◎1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.9%2026-08-30 14:10
Novig◎1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%2.1%2026-08-30 14:55
Smarkets◎1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67%2.7%2026-08-30 15:00