Language:English
Juncheng Shang v Marco Trungelliti
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Juncheng Shang (Local)
Prediction 65.23%1.53fair odd
EV -2.16%
Edge -1.44%
Kelly -4.32%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.50%65.16%65.19%67.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.461.471.5071.43%68.56%68.03%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Marco Trungelliti (Visit)
Prediction 34.77%2.88fair odd
EV +0.840%
Edge +0.290%
Kelly +0.442%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 2.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.56%34.84%34.81%37.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.722.702.9040.00%36.82%37.04%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Juncheng Shang (Local): 65.23%; Marco Trungelliti (Visit): 34.77%. For Marco Trungelliti (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.88. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.840%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.68%E -6.20%K -21.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +0.840%E +0.290%K +0.442%G +0.004% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 21:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.68%E -6.20%K -21.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +0.840%E +0.290%K +0.442%G +0.004% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 21:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -2.81%E -1.89%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -2.64%E -0.942%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-31 15:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.42%E -3.74%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.64%E -0.942%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 21:26 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.38%E -5.19%K -17.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -2.64%E -0.942%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-31 15:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.19%EV -2.81%E -1.89%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.81%EV -2.99%E -1.07%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-31 21:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.33%EV -4.12%E -2.80%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.67%EV -3.68%E -1.33%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-31 16:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -4.77%E -3.27%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -3.68%E -1.33%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-31 21:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.71%EV -6.07%E -4.22%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.29%EV -4.03%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-31 21:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -2.16%E -1.44%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -4.38%E -1.59%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-31 21:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -2.16%E -1.44%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -4.38%E -1.59%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-31 21:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -2.16%E -1.44%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -4.38%E -1.59%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-31 21:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -2.81%E -1.89%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -4.38%E -1.59%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-28 11:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.12%E -2.80%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.38%E -1.59%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-31 21:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.12%E -2.80%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.38%E -1.59%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-31 15:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.07%E -4.22%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.38%E -1.59%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 21:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.07%E -4.22%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.38%E -1.59%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 15:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.07%E -4.22%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.38%E -1.59%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 21:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.07%E -4.22%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.38%E -1.59%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 21:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.07%E -4.22%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.38%E -1.59%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 15:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.07%E -4.22%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.38%E -1.59%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 19:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.07%E -4.22%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.38%E -1.59%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 21:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.72%E -4.70%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -4.38%E -1.59%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 21:19 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.16%EV -4.77%E -3.27%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.84%EV -5.07%E -1.86%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 15:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.31%EV -5.42%E -3.74%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.69%EV -5.07%E -1.86%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 21:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.76%EV -3.46%E -2.34%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.24%EV -5.42%E -1.99%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-31 06:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -4.12%E -2.80%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.17%EV -5.77%E -2.13%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-31 06:44 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.46%E -2.34%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-28 13:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.46%E -2.34%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-31 19:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.12%E -2.80%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-28 13:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.12%E -2.80%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 15:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.12%E -2.80%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-28 13:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.12%E -2.80%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-28 13:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.12%E -2.80%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-28 13:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.12%E -2.80%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-28 13:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.12%E -2.80%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-28 13:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.12%E -2.80%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-28 13:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.12%E -2.80%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-28 13:24 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.12%E -2.80%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-28 13:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.12%E -2.80%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-28 13:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.12%E -2.80%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-28 13:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.12%E -2.80%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-28 13:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.12%E -2.80%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-28 13:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.12%E -2.80%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-28 13:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.42%E -3.74%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 15:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.42%E -3.74%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 21:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.42%E -3.74%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 15:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.42%E -3.74%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 15:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.07%E -4.22%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-31 06:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.07%E -4.22%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-31 21:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.72%E -4.70%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 21:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.98%EV -5.42%E -3.74%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.02%EV -6.46%E -2.40%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-31 21:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.98%EV -5.42%E -3.74%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.02%EV -6.46%E -2.40%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-31 21:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.46%E -2.34%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.85%E -2.96%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 15:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.46%E -2.34%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.85%E -2.96%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 15:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.07%E -4.22%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.85%E -2.96%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-31 21:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -8.68%E -6.20%K -21.70%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -7.85%E -2.96%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-31 21:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -2.16%E -1.44%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -8.55%E -3.25%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 20:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -6.07%E -4.22%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -8.55%E -3.25%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-31 06:44 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.78%EV -6.72%E -4.70%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.22%EV -8.55%E -3.25%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-28 13:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.07%E -4.22%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.90%E -3.40%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-31 15:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.07%E -4.22%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.90%E -3.40%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-31 15:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -2.16%E -1.44%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -13.07%E -5.23%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-31 15:11 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85% | 0.3% | 2026-08-31 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55% | 0.5% | 2026-08-31 21:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55% | 0.5% | 2026-08-31 21:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55% | 0.5% | 2026-08-31 21:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55% | 0.5% | 2026-08-31 21:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 0.9% | 2026-08-31 21:25 |
| Novig◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.50% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.50% | 1.3% | 2026-08-31 21:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41% | 2.3% | 2026-08-31 21:30 |