Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Juncheng Shang v Marco Trungelliti

Początek: 2026-08-31 21:31 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Juncheng Shang 2–3 Marco Trungelliti

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

63 bukmacherów (21 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Juncheng Shang (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 65.23%1.53kurs godziwy
EV -2.16%
Przewaga -1.44%
Kelly -4.32%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.50

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
62.50%65.16%65.19%67.44%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.401.461.471.5071.43%68.56%68.03%66.67%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Marco Trungelliti (Goście)

Prognoza 34.77%2.88kurs godziwy
EV +0.840%
Przewaga +0.290%
Kelly +0.442%
Wzrost +0.004%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.90

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
32.56%34.84%34.81%37.50%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.502.722.702.9040.00%36.82%37.04%34.48%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Juncheng Shang (Gospodarze): 65.23%; Marco Trungelliti (Goście): 34.77%. Dla wyniku Marco Trungelliti (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.88. 2 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 2.90, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +0.840%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (63 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
PlayUp🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.68%E -6.20%K -21.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +0.840%E +0.290%K +0.442%G +0.004%5.9%2026-08-31 21:10
TAB🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.68%E -6.20%K -21.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +0.840%E +0.290%K +0.442%G +0.004%5.9%2026-08-31 21:10
Coolbet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -2.81%E -1.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -2.64%E -0.942%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-31 15:25
Bovada🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.42%E -3.74%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.64%E -0.942%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 21:26
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.38%E -5.19%K -17.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -2.64%E -0.942%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-31 15:45
Pinnacle🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.19%EV -2.81%E -1.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.81%EV -2.99%E -1.07%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-31 21:15
ReBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.33%EV -4.12%E -2.80%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.67%EV -3.68%E -1.33%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-31 16:15
1xBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -4.77%E -3.27%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -3.68%E -1.33%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-31 21:25
DraftKings🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.71%EV -6.07%E -4.22%K -13.80%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.29%EV -4.03%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-31 21:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -2.16%E -1.44%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -4.38%E -1.59%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-31 21:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -2.16%E -1.44%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -4.38%E -1.59%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-31 21:05
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -2.16%E -1.44%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -4.38%E -1.59%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-31 21:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -2.81%E -1.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -4.38%E -1.59%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-28 11:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.12%E -2.80%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.38%E -1.59%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-31 21:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.12%E -2.80%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.38%E -1.59%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-31 15:20
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.07%E -4.22%K -13.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.38%E -1.59%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 21:00
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.07%E -4.22%K -13.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.38%E -1.59%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 15:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.07%E -4.22%K -13.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.38%E -1.59%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 21:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.07%E -4.22%K -13.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.38%E -1.59%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 21:00
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.07%E -4.22%K -13.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.38%E -1.59%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 15:20
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.07%E -4.22%K -13.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.38%E -1.59%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 19:50
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.07%E -4.22%K -13.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.38%E -1.59%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 21:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.72%E -4.70%K -15.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -4.38%E -1.59%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 21:19
MyBookie.ag🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.16%EV -4.77%E -3.27%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.84%EV -5.07%E -1.86%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 15:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.31%EV -5.42%E -3.74%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.69%EV -5.07%E -1.86%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 21:29
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.76%EV -3.46%E -2.34%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.24%EV -5.42%E -1.99%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-31 06:45
SportsBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -4.12%E -2.80%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.17%EV -5.77%E -2.13%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-31 06:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.46%E -2.34%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-28 13:25
BetAnything🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.46%E -2.34%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-31 19:05
Unibet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.12%E -2.80%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 13:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.12%E -2.80%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 15:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.12%E -2.80%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 13:24
TABtouch🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.12%E -2.80%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 13:25
Casumo🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.12%E -2.80%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 13:25
Grosvenor🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.12%E -2.80%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 13:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.12%E -2.80%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 13:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.12%E -2.80%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 13:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.12%E -2.80%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 13:24
Bally Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.12%E -2.80%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 13:24
ATG (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.12%E -2.80%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 13:25
betPARX🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.12%E -2.80%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 13:25
BetRivers🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.12%E -2.80%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 13:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.12%E -2.80%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 13:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.12%E -2.80%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 13:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.42%E -3.74%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 15:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.42%E -3.74%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 21:00
theScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.42%E -3.74%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 15:20
BetMGM🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.42%E -3.74%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 15:25
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.07%E -4.22%K -13.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-31 06:45
Fanatics🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.07%E -4.22%K -13.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-31 21:25
NetBet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.72%E -4.70%K -15.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 21:05
Betsson🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.98%EV -5.42%E -3.74%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.02%EV -6.46%E -2.40%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-31 21:30
NordicBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.98%EV -5.42%E -3.74%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.02%EV -6.46%E -2.40%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-31 21:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.46%E -2.34%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.85%E -2.96%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 15:25
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.46%E -2.34%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.85%E -2.96%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 15:25
LeoVegas🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.07%E -4.22%K -13.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.85%E -2.96%K -4.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 21:30
Fliff🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -8.68%E -6.20%K -21.70%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -7.85%E -2.96%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-31 21:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -2.16%E -1.44%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -8.55%E -3.25%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 20:15
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -6.07%E -4.22%K -13.80%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -8.55%E -3.25%K -5.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-31 06:44
PMU (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.78%EV -6.72%E -4.70%K -15.64%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.22%EV -8.55%E -3.25%K -5.24%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-28 13:25
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.07%E -4.22%K -13.80%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.90%E -3.40%K -5.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-31 15:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.07%E -4.22%K -13.80%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.90%E -3.40%K -5.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-31 15:25
Caesars🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -2.16%E -1.44%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -13.07%E -5.23%K -8.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-31 15:11
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (8)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
ProphetX◎1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85%0.3%2026-08-31 21:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%0.5%2026-08-31 21:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%0.5%2026-08-31 21:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%0.5%2026-08-31 21:30
Matchbook◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%0.5%2026-08-31 21:25
Kalshi◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-08-31 21:25
Novig◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.50%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.50%1.3%2026-08-31 21:30
Smarkets◎1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41%2.3%2026-08-31 21:30