Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Juncheng Shang v Marco Trungelliti

Inizio: 2026-08-31 21:31 UTC

Finale: Juncheng Shang 2–3 Marco Trungelliti

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

63 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Juncheng Shang (Casa)

Previsione 65.23%1.53quota equa
EV -2.16%
Vantaggio -1.44%
Kelly -4.32%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
62.50%65.16%65.19%67.44%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.401.461.471.5071.43%68.56%68.03%66.67%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Marco Trungelliti (Trasferta)

Previsione 34.77%2.88quota equa
EV +0.840%
Vantaggio +0.290%
Kelly +0.442%
Crescita +0.004%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.90

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
32.56%34.84%34.81%37.50%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.502.722.702.9040.00%36.82%37.04%34.48%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Juncheng Shang (Casa): 65.23%; Marco Trungelliti (Trasferta): 34.77%. Per Marco Trungelliti (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.88. 2 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 2.90, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +0.840%.

Quote dei bookmaker (63 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
PlayUp🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.68%E -6.20%K -21.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +0.840%E +0.290%K +0.442%G +0.004%5.9%2026-08-31 21:10
TAB🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.68%E -6.20%K -21.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +0.840%E +0.290%K +0.442%G +0.004%5.9%2026-08-31 21:10
Coolbet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -2.81%E -1.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -2.64%E -0.942%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-31 15:25
Bovada🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.42%E -3.74%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.64%E -0.942%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 21:26
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.38%E -5.19%K -17.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -2.64%E -0.942%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-31 15:45
Pinnacle🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.19%EV -2.81%E -1.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.81%EV -2.99%E -1.07%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-31 21:15
ReBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.33%EV -4.12%E -2.80%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.67%EV -3.68%E -1.33%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-31 16:15
1xBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -4.77%E -3.27%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -3.68%E -1.33%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-31 21:25
DraftKings🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.71%EV -6.07%E -4.22%K -13.80%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.29%EV -4.03%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-31 21:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -2.16%E -1.44%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -4.38%E -1.59%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-31 21:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -2.16%E -1.44%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -4.38%E -1.59%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-31 21:05
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -2.16%E -1.44%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -4.38%E -1.59%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-31 21:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -2.81%E -1.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -4.38%E -1.59%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-28 11:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.12%E -2.80%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.38%E -1.59%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-31 21:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.12%E -2.80%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.38%E -1.59%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-31 15:20
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.07%E -4.22%K -13.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.38%E -1.59%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 21:00
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.07%E -4.22%K -13.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.38%E -1.59%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 15:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.07%E -4.22%K -13.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.38%E -1.59%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 21:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.07%E -4.22%K -13.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.38%E -1.59%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 21:00
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.07%E -4.22%K -13.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.38%E -1.59%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 15:20
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.07%E -4.22%K -13.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.38%E -1.59%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 19:50
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.07%E -4.22%K -13.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.38%E -1.59%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 21:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.72%E -4.70%K -15.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -4.38%E -1.59%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 21:19
MyBookie.ag🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.16%EV -4.77%E -3.27%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.84%EV -5.07%E -1.86%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 15:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.31%EV -5.42%E -3.74%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.69%EV -5.07%E -1.86%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 21:29
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.76%EV -3.46%E -2.34%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.24%EV -5.42%E -1.99%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-31 06:45
SportsBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -4.12%E -2.80%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.17%EV -5.77%E -2.13%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-31 06:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.46%E -2.34%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-28 13:25
BetAnything🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.46%E -2.34%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-31 19:05
Unibet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.12%E -2.80%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 13:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.12%E -2.80%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 15:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.12%E -2.80%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 13:24
TABtouch🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.12%E -2.80%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 13:25
Casumo🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.12%E -2.80%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 13:25
Grosvenor🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.12%E -2.80%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 13:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.12%E -2.80%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 13:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.12%E -2.80%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 13:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.12%E -2.80%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 13:24
Bally Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.12%E -2.80%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 13:24
ATG (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.12%E -2.80%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 13:25
betPARX🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.12%E -2.80%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 13:25
BetRivers🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.12%E -2.80%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 13:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.12%E -2.80%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 13:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.12%E -2.80%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 13:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.42%E -3.74%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 15:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.42%E -3.74%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 21:00
theScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.42%E -3.74%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 15:20
BetMGM🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.42%E -3.74%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 15:25
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.07%E -4.22%K -13.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-31 06:45
Fanatics🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.07%E -4.22%K -13.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-31 21:25
NetBet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.72%E -4.70%K -15.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 21:05
Betsson🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.98%EV -5.42%E -3.74%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.02%EV -6.46%E -2.40%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-31 21:30
NordicBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.98%EV -5.42%E -3.74%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.02%EV -6.46%E -2.40%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-31 21:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.46%E -2.34%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.85%E -2.96%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 15:25
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.46%E -2.34%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.85%E -2.96%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 15:25
LeoVegas🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.07%E -4.22%K -13.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.85%E -2.96%K -4.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 21:30
Fliff🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -8.68%E -6.20%K -21.70%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -7.85%E -2.96%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-31 21:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -2.16%E -1.44%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -8.55%E -3.25%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 20:15
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -6.07%E -4.22%K -13.80%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -8.55%E -3.25%K -5.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-31 06:44
PMU (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.78%EV -6.72%E -4.70%K -15.64%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.22%EV -8.55%E -3.25%K -5.24%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-28 13:25
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.07%E -4.22%K -13.80%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.90%E -3.40%K -5.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-31 15:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.07%E -4.22%K -13.80%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.90%E -3.40%K -5.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-31 15:25
Caesars🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -2.16%E -1.44%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -13.07%E -5.23%K -8.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-31 15:11
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (8)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
ProphetX◎1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85%0.3%2026-08-31 21:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%0.5%2026-08-31 21:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%0.5%2026-08-31 21:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%0.5%2026-08-31 21:30
Matchbook◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%0.5%2026-08-31 21:25
Kalshi◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-08-31 21:25
Novig◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.50%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.50%1.3%2026-08-31 21:30
Smarkets◎1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41%2.3%2026-08-31 21:30