Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 3.06
assuming max odds 1.62
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Local): 38.32%; Casper Ruud (Visit): 61.68%. For Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.61. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.06, corresponding to a positive expected value of +17.25%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.06I 32.68%NM 32.15%EV +17.25%E +5.64%K +8.37%G +1.44% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.85%EV -10.56%E -7.28%K -23.46%G +0.000% | 1.6% | 2026-08-28 15:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +11.12%E +3.83%K +5.85%G +0.650% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -13.64%E -9.74%K -34.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-28 11:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.49%EV +10.35%E +3.59%K +5.50%G +0.570% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.51%EV -10.56%E -7.28%K -23.46%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-29 16:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV +9.20%E +3.23%K +4.97%G +0.457% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -13.64%E -9.74%K -34.10%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-28 21:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV +9.20%E +3.23%K +4.97%G +0.457% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -13.64%E -9.74%K -34.10%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-28 21:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +5.37%E +1.95%K +3.07%G +0.165% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -11.17%E -7.76%K -25.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-28 21:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +0.770%E +0.293%K +0.472%G +0.004% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -8.71%E -5.88%K -18.14%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 16:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.14%EV -1.15%E -0.444%K -0.725%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.86%EV -9.94%E -6.81%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-29 18:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -2.30%E -0.900%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -3.16%E -2.01%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.30%E -0.900%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.77%E -2.42%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-30 08:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.30%E -0.900%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.62%E -3.68%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-29 18:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -2.30%E -0.900%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.24%E -4.11%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-29 18:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -2.30%E -0.900%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.24%E -4.11%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-29 18:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -2.30%E -0.900%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.24%E -4.11%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-29 18:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.30%E -0.900%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.86%E -4.54%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 19:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.30%E -0.900%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.86%E -4.54%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 18:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.30%E -0.900%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.86%E -4.54%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 18:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.30%E -0.900%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.86%E -4.54%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 18:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.30%E -0.900%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.86%E -4.54%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 18:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.30%E -0.900%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.86%E -4.54%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 18:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.30%E -0.900%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.86%E -4.54%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 18:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.30%E -0.900%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.86%E -4.54%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 18:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.30%E -0.900%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.86%E -4.54%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 18:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.30%E -0.900%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.86%E -4.54%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 18:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.30%E -0.900%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.86%E -4.54%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 18:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -3.44%E -1.37%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -2.54%E -1.61%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-30 09:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -3.44%E -1.37%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -5.01%E -3.25%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-30 08:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.00%EV -3.44%E -1.37%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.00%EV -8.71%E -5.88%K -18.14%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-30 08:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.21%E -1.68%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.39%E -2.83%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-30 06:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.21%E -1.68%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.01%E -3.25%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 15:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.21%E -1.68%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.01%E -3.25%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 08:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.21%E -1.68%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.62%E -3.68%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 18:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.21%E -1.68%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.62%E -3.68%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 18:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.21%E -1.68%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.62%E -3.68%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 18:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.21%E -1.68%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.62%E -3.68%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 00:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.21%E -1.68%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.62%E -3.68%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 18:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.21%E -1.68%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.62%E -3.68%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 02:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.21%E -1.68%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.47%E -4.98%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-29 18:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.53%EV -4.98%E -2.01%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.47%EV -8.09%E -5.43%K -16.51%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-29 18:34 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -6.13%E -2.50%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -1.92%E -1.21%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-30 15:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.13%E -2.50%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.62%E -3.68%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 06:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.13%E -2.50%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.62%E -3.68%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.13%E -2.50%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.62%E -3.68%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 08:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.13%E -2.50%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -6.86%E -4.54%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 15:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.48%EV -6.89%E -2.84%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.52%EV -6.24%E -4.11%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 08:19 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.04%EV -7.28%E -3.01%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.96%EV -4.39%E -2.83%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 15:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -8.04%E -3.35%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -0.071%E -0.044%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-30 16:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -8.04%E -3.35%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -0.071%E -0.044%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-30 16:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -8.04%E -3.35%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -1.92%E -1.21%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-30 15:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.04%E -3.35%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.16%E -2.01%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 18:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.04%E -3.35%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.16%E -2.01%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 18:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.04%E -3.35%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.77%E -2.42%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 18:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.04%E -3.35%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.39%E -2.83%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-29 18:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.04%E -3.35%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.39%E -2.83%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 08:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.04%E -3.35%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.62%E -3.68%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 15:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.04%E -3.35%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.47%E -4.98%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-30 08:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -8.81%E -3.70%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -3.77%E -2.42%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 15:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -8.81%E -3.70%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.34%EV -7.47%E -4.98%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-30 02:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -9.19%E -3.88%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -4.39%E -2.83%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-29 18:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -9.19%E -3.88%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -4.39%E -2.83%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-29 18:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -9.96%E -4.24%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.20%EV -8.09%E -5.43%K -16.51%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-30 08:20 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90% | 0.6% | 2026-08-30 16:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 0.6% | 2026-08-30 16:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 0.6% | 2026-08-30 16:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 0.6% | 2026-08-30 16:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29% | 2.4% | 2026-08-30 16:10 |
| Novig◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25% | 3.1% | 2026-08-30 16:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 44.72% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.28% | 12.4% | 2026-08-30 16:01 |