Langue:Français
Juan Manuel Cerundolo v Casper Ruud
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Local)
Prévision 38.32%2.61cote équitable
EV +17.25%
Avantage +5.64%
Kelly +8.37%
Croissance +1.44%
avec la cote maximale 3.06
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.15%38.11%38.36%40.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.352.522.503.0642.55%39.65%40.00%32.68%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Casper Ruud (Visiteur)
Prévision 61.68%1.62cote équitable
EV -0.071%
Avantage -0.044%
Kelly -0.115%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.62
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.70%61.89%61.64%67.85%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.401.521.531.6271.43%65.75%65.36%61.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Local) : 38.32% ; Casper Ruud (Visiteur) : 61.68%. Pour Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.61. 7 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.06, soit une espérance positive de +17.25%.
Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.06I 32.68%NM 32.15%EV +17.25%E +5.64%K +8.37%G +1.44% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.85%EV -10.56%E -7.28%K -23.46%G +0.000% | 1.6% | 2026-08-28 15:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +11.12%E +3.83%K +5.85%G +0.650% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -13.64%E -9.74%K -34.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-28 11:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.49%EV +10.35%E +3.59%K +5.50%G +0.570% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.51%EV -10.56%E -7.28%K -23.46%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-29 16:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV +9.20%E +3.23%K +4.97%G +0.457% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -13.64%E -9.74%K -34.10%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-28 21:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV +9.20%E +3.23%K +4.97%G +0.457% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -13.64%E -9.74%K -34.10%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-28 21:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +5.37%E +1.95%K +3.07%G +0.165% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -11.17%E -7.76%K -25.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-28 21:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +0.770%E +0.293%K +0.472%G +0.004% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -8.71%E -5.88%K -18.14%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 16:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.14%EV -1.15%E -0.444%K -0.725%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.86%EV -9.94%E -6.81%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-29 18:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -2.30%E -0.900%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -3.16%E -2.01%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.30%E -0.900%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.77%E -2.42%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-30 08:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.30%E -0.900%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.62%E -3.68%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-29 18:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -2.30%E -0.900%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.24%E -4.11%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-29 18:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -2.30%E -0.900%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.24%E -4.11%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-29 18:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -2.30%E -0.900%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.24%E -4.11%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-29 18:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.30%E -0.900%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.86%E -4.54%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 19:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.30%E -0.900%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.86%E -4.54%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 18:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.30%E -0.900%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.86%E -4.54%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 18:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.30%E -0.900%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.86%E -4.54%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 18:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.30%E -0.900%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.86%E -4.54%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 18:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.30%E -0.900%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.86%E -4.54%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 18:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.30%E -0.900%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.86%E -4.54%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 18:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.30%E -0.900%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.86%E -4.54%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 18:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.30%E -0.900%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.86%E -4.54%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 18:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.30%E -0.900%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.86%E -4.54%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 18:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.30%E -0.900%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.86%E -4.54%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 18:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -3.44%E -1.37%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -2.54%E -1.61%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-30 09:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -3.44%E -1.37%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -5.01%E -3.25%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-30 08:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.00%EV -3.44%E -1.37%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.00%EV -8.71%E -5.88%K -18.14%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-30 08:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.21%E -1.68%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.39%E -2.83%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-30 06:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.21%E -1.68%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.01%E -3.25%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 15:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.21%E -1.68%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.01%E -3.25%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 08:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.21%E -1.68%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.62%E -3.68%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 18:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.21%E -1.68%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.62%E -3.68%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 18:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.21%E -1.68%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.62%E -3.68%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 18:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.21%E -1.68%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.62%E -3.68%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 00:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.21%E -1.68%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.62%E -3.68%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 18:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.21%E -1.68%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.62%E -3.68%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 02:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.21%E -1.68%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.47%E -4.98%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-29 18:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.53%EV -4.98%E -2.01%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.47%EV -8.09%E -5.43%K -16.51%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-29 18:34 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -6.13%E -2.50%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -1.92%E -1.21%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-30 15:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.13%E -2.50%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.62%E -3.68%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 06:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.13%E -2.50%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.62%E -3.68%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.13%E -2.50%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.62%E -3.68%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 08:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.13%E -2.50%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -6.86%E -4.54%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 15:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.48%EV -6.89%E -2.84%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.52%EV -6.24%E -4.11%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 08:19 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.04%EV -7.28%E -3.01%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.96%EV -4.39%E -2.83%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 15:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -8.04%E -3.35%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -0.071%E -0.044%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-30 16:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -8.04%E -3.35%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -0.071%E -0.044%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-30 16:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -8.04%E -3.35%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -1.92%E -1.21%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-30 15:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.04%E -3.35%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.16%E -2.01%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 18:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.04%E -3.35%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.16%E -2.01%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 18:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.04%E -3.35%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.77%E -2.42%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 18:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.04%E -3.35%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.39%E -2.83%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-29 18:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.04%E -3.35%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.39%E -2.83%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 08:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.04%E -3.35%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.62%E -3.68%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 15:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.04%E -3.35%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.47%E -4.98%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-30 08:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -8.81%E -3.70%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -3.77%E -2.42%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 15:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -8.81%E -3.70%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.34%EV -7.47%E -4.98%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-30 02:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -9.19%E -3.88%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -4.39%E -2.83%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-29 18:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -9.19%E -3.88%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -4.39%E -2.83%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-29 18:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -9.96%E -4.24%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.20%EV -8.09%E -5.43%K -16.51%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-30 08:20 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90% | 0.6% | 2026-08-30 16:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 0.6% | 2026-08-30 16:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 0.6% | 2026-08-30 16:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 0.6% | 2026-08-30 16:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29% | 2.4% | 2026-08-30 16:10 |
| Novig◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25% | 3.1% | 2026-08-30 16:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 44.72% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.28% | 12.4% | 2026-08-30 16:01 |