Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Juan Manuel Cerundolo v Casper Ruud

Início: 2026-09-01 15:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Local)

Previsão 38.32%2.61odd justa
EV +17.25%
Vantagem +5.64%
Kelly +8.37%
Crescimento +1.44%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.06

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.15%38.11%38.36%40.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.352.522.503.0642.55%39.65%40.00%32.68%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Casper Ruud (Visitante)

Previsão 61.68%1.62odd justa
EV -0.071%
Vantagem -0.044%
Kelly -0.115%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.62

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
59.70%61.89%61.64%67.85%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.401.521.531.6271.43%65.75%65.36%61.73%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Local): 38.32%; Casper Ruud (Visitante): 61.68%. Para Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.61. 7 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.06, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +17.25%.

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯3.06I 32.68%NM 32.15%EV +17.25%E +5.64%K +8.37%G +1.44%1.45I 68.97%NM 67.85%EV -10.56%E -7.28%K -23.46%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-28 15:10
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +11.12%E +3.83%K +5.85%G +0.650%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -13.64%E -9.74%K -34.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-28 11:05
betano_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.49%EV +10.35%E +3.59%K +5.50%G +0.570%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.51%EV -10.56%E -7.28%K -23.46%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-29 16:00
Betsson🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV +9.20%E +3.23%K +4.97%G +0.457%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -13.64%E -9.74%K -34.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-28 21:15
NordicBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV +9.20%E +3.23%K +4.97%G +0.457%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -13.64%E -9.74%K -34.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-28 21:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +5.37%E +1.95%K +3.07%G +0.165%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -11.17%E -7.76%K -25.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-28 21:35
DraftKings🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +0.770%E +0.293%K +0.472%G +0.004%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -8.71%E -5.88%K -18.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 16:05
GTbets🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.14%EV -1.15%E -0.444%K -0.725%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 63.86%EV -9.94%E -6.81%K -21.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 18:44
Coolbet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -2.30%E -0.900%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -3.16%E -2.01%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-30 14:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.30%E -0.900%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.77%E -2.42%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-30 08:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.30%E -0.900%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.62%E -3.68%K -10.61%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-29 18:35
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -2.30%E -0.900%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.24%E -4.11%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 18:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -2.30%E -0.900%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.24%E -4.11%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 18:34
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -2.30%E -0.900%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.24%E -4.11%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 18:34
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.30%E -0.900%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.86%E -4.54%K -13.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 19:35
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.30%E -0.900%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.86%E -4.54%K -13.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 18:34
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.30%E -0.900%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.86%E -4.54%K -13.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 18:34
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.30%E -0.900%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.86%E -4.54%K -13.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 18:34
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.30%E -0.900%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.86%E -4.54%K -13.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 18:35
Bally Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.30%E -0.900%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.86%E -4.54%K -13.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 18:34
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.30%E -0.900%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.86%E -4.54%K -13.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 18:35
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.30%E -0.900%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.86%E -4.54%K -13.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 18:34
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.30%E -0.900%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.86%E -4.54%K -13.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 18:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.30%E -0.900%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.86%E -4.54%K -13.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 18:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.30%E -0.900%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.86%E -4.54%K -13.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 18:34
Pinnacle🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -3.44%E -1.37%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -2.54%E -1.61%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-30 09:15
FanDuel🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -3.44%E -1.37%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -5.01%E -3.25%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-30 08:20
SportsBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.00%EV -3.44%E -1.37%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.00%EV -8.71%E -5.88%K -18.14%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-30 08:19
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.21%E -1.68%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.39%E -2.83%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-30 06:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.21%E -1.68%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.01%E -3.25%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 15:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.21%E -1.68%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.01%E -3.25%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 08:55
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.21%E -1.68%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.62%E -3.68%K -10.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 18:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.21%E -1.68%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.62%E -3.68%K -10.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 18:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.21%E -1.68%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.62%E -3.68%K -10.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 18:25
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.21%E -1.68%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.62%E -3.68%K -10.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 00:54
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.21%E -1.68%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.62%E -3.68%K -10.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 18:25
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.21%E -1.68%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.62%E -3.68%K -10.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 02:05
Caesars🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.21%E -1.68%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.47%E -4.98%K -14.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 18:29
PMU (FR)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.53%EV -4.98%E -2.01%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.47%EV -8.09%E -5.43%K -16.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-29 18:34
BetAnything🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -6.13%E -2.50%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -1.92%E -1.21%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-30 15:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.13%E -2.50%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.62%E -3.68%K -10.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 06:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.13%E -2.50%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.62%E -3.68%K -10.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 14:50
Fanatics🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.13%E -2.50%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.62%E -3.68%K -10.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 08:20
NetBet (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.13%E -2.50%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -6.86%E -4.54%K -13.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 15:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.48%EV -6.89%E -2.84%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.52%EV -6.24%E -4.11%K -12.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 08:19
MyBookie.ag🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.04%EV -7.28%E -3.01%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.96%EV -4.39%E -2.83%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 15:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -8.04%E -3.35%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -0.071%E -0.044%K -0.115%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-30 16:04
LowVig.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -8.04%E -3.35%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -0.071%E -0.044%K -0.115%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-30 16:04
Bovada🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -8.04%E -3.35%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -1.92%E -1.21%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-30 15:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.04%E -3.35%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.16%E -2.01%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 18:30
Neds🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.04%E -3.35%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.16%E -2.01%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 18:25
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.04%E -3.35%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.77%E -2.42%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 18:25
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.04%E -3.35%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.39%E -2.83%K -7.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 18:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.04%E -3.35%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.39%E -2.83%K -7.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 08:20
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.04%E -3.35%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.62%E -3.68%K -10.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 15:50
LeoVegas🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.04%E -3.35%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.47%E -4.98%K -14.95%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-30 08:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -8.81%E -3.70%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -3.77%E -2.42%K -6.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 15:19
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -8.81%E -3.70%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.34%EV -7.47%E -4.98%K -14.95%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-30 02:05
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -9.19%E -3.88%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -4.39%E -2.83%K -7.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 18:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -9.19%E -3.88%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -4.39%E -2.83%K -7.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 18:25
ReBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -9.96%E -4.24%K -7.38%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.20%EV -8.09%E -5.43%K -16.51%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-30 08:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%0.6%2026-08-30 16:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%0.6%2026-08-30 16:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%0.6%2026-08-30 16:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%0.6%2026-08-30 16:05
Smarkets◎2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%2.4%2026-08-30 16:10
Novig◎2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%3.1%2026-08-30 16:10
ProphetX◎1.99I 50.25%NM 44.72%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.28%12.4%2026-08-30 16:01