Language:English
James Duckworth v Wu Yibing
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
James Duckworth (Local)
Prediction 43.29%2.31fair odd
EV +0.441%
Edge +0.190%
Kelly +0.334%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 2.32
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.33%43.19%43.30%45.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.222.222.3247.62%45.05%45.05%43.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Wu Yibing (Visit)
Prediction 56.71%1.76fair odd
EV -1.33%
Edge -0.765%
Kelly -1.80%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.74
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.83%56.81%56.70%58.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.661.671.7462.50%60.17%59.88%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: James Duckworth (Local): 43.29%; Wu Yibing (Visit): 56.71%. For James Duckworth (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.31. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.32, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.441%.
Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.56%EV +0.441%E +0.190%K +0.334%G +0.001% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.44%EV -6.43%E -3.90%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-02 22:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -0.424%E -0.185%K -0.327%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.14%E -5.02%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 10:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -0.424%E -0.185%K -0.327%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.14%E -5.02%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 16:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -1.29%E -0.566%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -6.43%E -3.90%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-01 09:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -1.29%E -0.566%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.57%E -4.64%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 16:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -1.29%E -0.566%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.57%E -4.64%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 16:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -1.29%E -0.566%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.57%E -4.64%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 16:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -1.29%E -0.566%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.57%E -4.64%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 16:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -1.29%E -0.566%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.57%E -4.64%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 16:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -1.29%E -0.566%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.57%E -4.64%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 16:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -1.29%E -0.566%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.57%E -4.64%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 16:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -1.29%E -0.566%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.57%E -4.64%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 16:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -1.29%E -0.566%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.57%E -4.64%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 16:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -1.29%E -0.566%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.57%E -4.64%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 16:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -1.29%E -0.566%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.57%E -4.64%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 16:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -1.29%E -0.566%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.57%E -4.64%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 16:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -1.29%E -0.566%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.57%E -4.64%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 16:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -1.29%E -0.566%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.57%E -4.64%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 16:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -1.72%E -0.759%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -3.60%E -2.12%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-02 22:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -1.72%E -0.759%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -7.00%E -4.27%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 15:34 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -2.59%E -1.15%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.73%E -2.82%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-02 17:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -2.59%E -1.15%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.73%E -2.82%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-02 16:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -2.59%E -1.15%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.14%E -5.02%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-01 09:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -2.59%E -1.15%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.14%E -5.02%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-01 09:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -2.59%E -1.15%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.14%E -5.02%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 22:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -2.59%E -1.15%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -8.70%E -5.41%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-02 22:24 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -3.46%E -1.55%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -9.27%E -5.79%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-02 16:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -3.89%E -1.75%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -1.33%E -0.765%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-02 21:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -3.89%E -1.75%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -4.73%E -2.82%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-02 22:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -3.89%E -1.75%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -5.30%E -3.17%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-02 16:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -4.32%E -1.96%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -5.30%E -3.17%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 16:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.75%E -2.16%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.03%E -1.77%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-02 21:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.75%E -2.16%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.03%E -1.77%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-02 21:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.75%E -2.16%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.60%E -2.12%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-02 17:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.75%E -2.16%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.17%E -2.47%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-02 21:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.75%E -2.16%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.73%E -2.82%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 16:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.75%E -2.16%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.30%E -3.17%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 17:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.75%E -2.16%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.30%E -3.17%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 19:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.75%E -2.16%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.30%E -3.17%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 05:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.75%E -2.16%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.87%E -3.53%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 22:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.75%E -2.16%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.43%E -3.90%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-02 18:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.75%E -2.16%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.14%E -5.02%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-02 22:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.26%EV -5.19%E -2.37%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.74%EV -5.30%E -3.17%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 22:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -5.62%E -2.58%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -5.30%E -3.17%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 18:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -5.62%E -2.58%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -5.30%E -3.17%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 18:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -6.05%E -2.79%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -5.30%E -3.17%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 22:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.92%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.60%E -2.12%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.92%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.17%E -2.47%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 22:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.92%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.17%E -2.47%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 21:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.92%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.73%E -2.82%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 18:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.92%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.73%E -2.82%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 18:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.92%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.30%E -3.17%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-31 23:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.92%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.43%E -3.90%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-02 18:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -8.22%E -3.88%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -3.03%E -1.77%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 21:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.08%E -4.33%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.90%E -1.10%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.08%E -4.33%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.90%E -1.10%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.08%E -4.33%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.90%E -1.10%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.08%E -4.33%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.90%E -1.10%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 18:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 0.5% | 2026-09-02 22:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 0.6% | 2026-09-02 22:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 0.6% | 2026-09-02 22:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 0.6% | 2026-09-02 22:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 1.1% | 2026-09-02 19:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.28% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.72% | 1.3% | 2026-09-02 22:26 |
| Novig◎ | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68% | 2.6% | 2026-09-02 22:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29% | 2.7% | 2026-09-02 22:30 |