StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

James Duckworth v Wu Yibing

2026-09-02 15:00 UTC — ATP US Open

Direkter Vergleich

43 Wettanbieter (13 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

James Duckworth (Heim)

Prognose 43.35%2.31faire Quote
EV +3.16%
Vorteil +1.33%
Kelly +2.29%
Wachstum +0.073%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.38

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
40.50%43.14%43.42%43.86%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.052.202.202.3848.78%45.44%45.45%42.02%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Wu Yibing (Auswärts)

Prognose 56.65%1.77faire Quote
EV -3.69%
Vorteil -2.17%
Kelly -5.27%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.70

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
56.14%56.86%56.58%59.50%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.601.661.661.7062.50%60.29%60.24%58.82%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Für Direkter Vergleich schätzt Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) folgende Wahrscheinlichkeiten: James Duckworth (Heim): 43.35%; Wu Yibing (Auswärts): 56.65%. Für James Duckworth (Heim) entspricht diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.31. 1 Wettanbieter bietet eine Quote über diesem Wert an; die beste verfügbare Quote beträgt 2.38 und ergibt einen positiven Erwartungswert von +3.16%.

Wettanbieterquoten (43 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV +3.16%E +1.33%K +2.29%G +0.073%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -8.22%E -5.07%K -13.26%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-01 04:25
Coolbet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -1.60%E -0.706%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -3.69%E -2.17%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-01 04:55
1xBet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.24%EV -1.60%E -0.706%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.76%EV -5.96%E -3.59%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-01 04:05
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.47%E -1.10%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.39%E -3.23%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-01 01:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.47%E -1.10%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.39%E -3.23%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-01 01:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.34%E -1.50%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.96%E -3.59%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 00:55
Casumo🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.34%E -1.50%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.96%E -3.59%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 00:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.34%E -1.50%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.96%E -3.59%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 00:55
Grosvenor🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.34%E -1.50%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.96%E -3.59%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 00:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.34%E -1.50%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.96%E -3.59%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 00:55
BetRivers🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.34%E -1.50%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.96%E -3.59%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 00:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.34%E -1.50%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.96%E -3.59%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 00:55
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.34%E -1.50%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.96%E -3.59%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 00:55
TABtouch🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.34%E -1.50%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.96%E -3.59%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 00:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.34%E -1.50%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.96%E -3.59%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 00:55
Bally Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.34%E -1.50%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.96%E -3.59%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 00:54
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.34%E -1.50%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.96%E -3.59%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 00:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.34%E -1.50%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.96%E -3.59%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 00:55
betPARX🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.34%E -1.50%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.96%E -3.59%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 00:55
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.64%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.69%E -2.17%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-31 23:20
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.64%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.26%E -2.52%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-31 23:20
GTbets🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.64%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.82%E -2.87%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 00:35
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.64%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.39%E -3.23%K -8.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 23:20
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.64%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.39%E -3.23%K -8.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 23:25
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.64%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.39%E -3.23%K -8.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 23:19
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.64%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.39%E -3.23%K -8.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 23:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.64%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.39%E -3.23%K -8.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 23:19
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.64%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.96%E -3.59%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-31 23:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.64%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.52%E -3.95%K -10.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-31 23:30
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.64%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.52%E -3.95%K -10.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 00:05
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.64%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.22%E -5.07%K -13.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 23:25
PMU (FR)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -5.50%E -2.53%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -8.22%E -5.07%K -13.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-01 00:55
MyBookie.ag🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -5.94%E -2.74%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -5.39%E -3.23%K -8.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 23:24
DraftKings🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -6.37%E -2.95%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -4.82%E -2.87%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 23:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.80%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.82%E -2.87%K -7.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 04:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.80%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.39%E -3.23%K -8.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-31 23:30
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.80%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.52%E -3.95%K -10.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-31 23:25
Fliff🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.80%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.52%E -3.95%K -10.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-01 03:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.54%EV -7.24%E -3.38%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -6.52%E -3.95%K -10.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-31 23:20
LeoVegas🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -8.11%E -3.82%K -7.24%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -6.52%E -3.95%K -10.03%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-31 23:30
Betclic (FR)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.78%EV -9.84%E -4.73%K -9.11%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.22%EV -8.22%E -5.07%K -13.26%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-31 23:30
ReBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.78%EV -9.84%E -4.73%K -9.11%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.22%EV -8.22%E -5.07%K -13.26%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-31 23:25
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -11.14%E -5.43%K -10.61%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.16%EV -9.35%E -5.85%K -15.59%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-01 04:05
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (8)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%4.2%2026-09-01 05:10
ProphetX2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%5.3%2026-09-01 02:15
Novig2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%5.7%2026-09-01 05:15
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%9.7%2026-09-01 02:50
Smarkets2.02I 49.50%NM 44.20%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.80%12.0%2026-08-31 23:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%1.54I 64.94%NM 57.69%12.6%2026-09-01 02:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%1.54I 64.94%NM 57.69%12.6%2026-09-01 02:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%1.54I 64.94%NM 57.69%12.6%2026-09-01 02:45