Idioma:Español
James Duckworth v Wu Yibing
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
James Duckworth (Local)
Predicción 43.29%2.31momio equitativo
EV +0.441%
Ventaja +0.190%
Kelly +0.334%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.32
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.33%43.19%43.30%45.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.102.222.222.3247.62%45.05%45.05%43.10%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Wu Yibing (Visitante)
Predicción 56.71%1.76momio equitativo
EV -1.33%
Ventaja -0.765%
Kelly -1.80%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.74
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.83%56.81%56.70%58.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.601.661.671.7462.50%60.17%59.88%57.47%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: James Duckworth (Local): 43.29%; Wu Yibing (Visitante): 56.71%. Para James Duckworth (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.31. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.32, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.441%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.56%EV +0.441%E +0.190%K +0.334%G +0.001% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.44%EV -6.43%E -3.90%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-02 22:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -0.424%E -0.185%K -0.327%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.14%E -5.02%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 10:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -0.424%E -0.185%K -0.327%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.14%E -5.02%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 16:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -1.29%E -0.566%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -6.43%E -3.90%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-01 09:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -1.29%E -0.566%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.57%E -4.64%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 16:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -1.29%E -0.566%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.57%E -4.64%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 16:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -1.29%E -0.566%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.57%E -4.64%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 16:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -1.29%E -0.566%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.57%E -4.64%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 16:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -1.29%E -0.566%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.57%E -4.64%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 16:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -1.29%E -0.566%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.57%E -4.64%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 16:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -1.29%E -0.566%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.57%E -4.64%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 16:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -1.29%E -0.566%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.57%E -4.64%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 16:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -1.29%E -0.566%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.57%E -4.64%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 16:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -1.29%E -0.566%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.57%E -4.64%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 16:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -1.29%E -0.566%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.57%E -4.64%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 16:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -1.29%E -0.566%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.57%E -4.64%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 16:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -1.29%E -0.566%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.57%E -4.64%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 16:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -1.29%E -0.566%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.57%E -4.64%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 16:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -1.72%E -0.759%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -3.60%E -2.12%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-02 22:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -1.72%E -0.759%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -7.00%E -4.27%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 15:34 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -2.59%E -1.15%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.73%E -2.82%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-02 17:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -2.59%E -1.15%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.73%E -2.82%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-02 16:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -2.59%E -1.15%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.14%E -5.02%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-01 09:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -2.59%E -1.15%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.14%E -5.02%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-01 09:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -2.59%E -1.15%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.14%E -5.02%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 22:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -2.59%E -1.15%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -8.70%E -5.41%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-02 22:24 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -3.46%E -1.55%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -9.27%E -5.79%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-02 16:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -3.89%E -1.75%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -1.33%E -0.765%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-02 21:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -3.89%E -1.75%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -4.73%E -2.82%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-02 22:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -3.89%E -1.75%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -5.30%E -3.17%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-02 16:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -4.32%E -1.96%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -5.30%E -3.17%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 16:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.75%E -2.16%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.03%E -1.77%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-02 21:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.75%E -2.16%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.03%E -1.77%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-02 21:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.75%E -2.16%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.60%E -2.12%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-02 17:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.75%E -2.16%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.17%E -2.47%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-02 21:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.75%E -2.16%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.73%E -2.82%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 16:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.75%E -2.16%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.30%E -3.17%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 17:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.75%E -2.16%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.30%E -3.17%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 19:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.75%E -2.16%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.30%E -3.17%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 05:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.75%E -2.16%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.87%E -3.53%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 22:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.75%E -2.16%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.43%E -3.90%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-02 18:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.75%E -2.16%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.14%E -5.02%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-02 22:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.26%EV -5.19%E -2.37%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.74%EV -5.30%E -3.17%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 22:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -5.62%E -2.58%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -5.30%E -3.17%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 18:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -5.62%E -2.58%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -5.30%E -3.17%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 18:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -6.05%E -2.79%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -5.30%E -3.17%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 22:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.92%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.60%E -2.12%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.92%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.17%E -2.47%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 22:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.92%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.17%E -2.47%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 21:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.92%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.73%E -2.82%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 18:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.92%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.73%E -2.82%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 18:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.92%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.30%E -3.17%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-31 23:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.92%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.43%E -3.90%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-02 18:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -8.22%E -3.88%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -3.03%E -1.77%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 21:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.08%E -4.33%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.90%E -1.10%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.08%E -4.33%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.90%E -1.10%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.08%E -4.33%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.90%E -1.10%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.08%E -4.33%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.90%E -1.10%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 18:29 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 0.5% | 2026-09-02 22:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 0.6% | 2026-09-02 22:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 0.6% | 2026-09-02 22:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 0.6% | 2026-09-02 22:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 1.1% | 2026-09-02 19:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.28% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.72% | 1.3% | 2026-09-02 22:26 |
| Novig◎ | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68% | 2.6% | 2026-09-02 22:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29% | 2.7% | 2026-09-02 22:30 |