Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Jakub Mensik v Shintaro Mochizuki

Início: 2026-08-31 23:21 UTC

Final: Jakub Mensik 3–0 Shintaro Mochizuki

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Jakub Mensik (Local)

Previsão 87.16%1.15odd justa
EV -1.51%
Vantagem -1.34%
Kelly -11.64%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.13

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
83.58%87.24%87.11%90.68%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.051.091.091.1395.24%91.82%91.74%88.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Shintaro Mochizuki (Visitante)

Previsão 12.84%7.79odd justa
EV +36.14%
Vantagem +3.41%
Kelly +3.76%
Crescimento +1.36%

pressupondo odds máximas de 10.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
9.32%12.76%12.89%16.42%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
5.757.537.5010.6017.39%13.28%13.33%9.43%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Jakub Mensik (Local): 87.16%; Shintaro Mochizuki (Visitante): 12.84%. Para Shintaro Mochizuki (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 7.79. 23 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 10.60, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +36.14%.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 90.68%EV -5.00%E -4.59%K -55.55%G +0.000%10.60I 9.43%NM 9.32%EV +36.14%E +3.41%K +3.76%G +1.36%1.2%2026-08-31 23:15
BoyleSports🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -7.61%E -7.18%K -126.90%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +28.43%E +2.84%K +3.16%G +0.898%4.3%2026-08-29 20:15
ReBet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -5.00%E -4.59%K -55.55%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +2.75%E +0.343%K +0.392%G +0.011%4.2%2026-08-31 21:24
Winamax (DE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -5.00%E -4.59%K -55.55%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +2.75%E +0.343%K +0.392%G +0.011%4.2%2026-08-31 20:40
Grosvenor🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.87%E -5.44%K -73.38%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +2.75%E +0.343%K +0.392%G +0.011%5.1%2026-08-31 21:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.87%E -5.44%K -73.38%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +2.75%E +0.343%K +0.392%G +0.011%5.1%2026-08-31 21:50
TABtouch🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.87%E -5.44%K -73.38%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +2.75%E +0.343%K +0.392%G +0.011%5.1%2026-08-31 21:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.87%E -5.44%K -73.38%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +2.75%E +0.343%K +0.392%G +0.011%5.1%2026-08-31 21:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.87%E -5.44%K -73.38%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +2.75%E +0.343%K +0.392%G +0.011%5.1%2026-08-31 21:50
BetRivers🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.87%E -5.44%K -73.38%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +2.75%E +0.343%K +0.392%G +0.011%5.1%2026-08-31 21:50
Unibet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.87%E -5.44%K -73.38%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +2.75%E +0.343%K +0.392%G +0.011%5.1%2026-08-31 21:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.87%E -5.44%K -73.38%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +2.75%E +0.343%K +0.392%G +0.011%5.1%2026-08-31 21:50
Casumo🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.87%E -5.44%K -73.38%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +2.75%E +0.343%K +0.392%G +0.011%5.1%2026-08-31 21:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.87%E -5.44%K -73.38%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +2.75%E +0.343%K +0.392%G +0.011%5.1%2026-08-31 21:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.87%E -5.44%K -73.38%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +2.75%E +0.343%K +0.392%G +0.011%5.1%2026-08-31 21:50
betPARX🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.87%E -5.44%K -73.38%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +2.75%E +0.343%K +0.392%G +0.011%5.1%2026-08-31 21:50
Bally Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.87%E -5.44%K -73.38%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +2.75%E +0.343%K +0.392%G +0.011%5.1%2026-08-31 21:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.87%E -5.44%K -73.38%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +2.75%E +0.343%K +0.392%G +0.011%5.1%2026-08-31 21:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.87%E -5.44%K -73.38%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +2.75%E +0.343%K +0.392%G +0.011%5.1%2026-08-31 21:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -8.49%E -8.08%K -169.71%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV +2.75%E +0.343%K +0.392%G +0.011%7.7%2026-08-31 21:50
GTbets🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.90%EV -5.00%E -4.59%K -55.55%G +0.000%7.92I 12.63%NM 12.10%EV +1.72%E +0.217%K +0.248%G +0.004%4.4%2026-08-31 21:50
FanDuel🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.74%EV -5.00%E -4.59%K -55.55%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.26%EV +0.177%E +0.023%K +0.026%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-31 08:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.84%EV -5.87%E -5.44%K -73.38%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.16%EV +0.177%E +0.023%K +0.026%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-31 22:25
Coolbet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 87.47%EV -3.26%E -2.93%K -29.60%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.53%EV -0.465%E -0.060%K -0.069%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-31 22:25
Bovada🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.67%EV -5.00%E -4.59%K -55.55%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.33%EV -0.465%E -0.060%K -0.069%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-31 20:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.67%EV -5.00%E -4.59%K -55.55%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.33%EV -0.465%E -0.060%K -0.069%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-31 20:40
DraftKings🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.70%EV -5.87%E -5.44%K -73.38%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.30%EV -1.11%E -0.144%K -0.165%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 21:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.46%EV -5.00%E -4.59%K -55.55%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.54%EV -2.39%E -0.315%K -0.362%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-31 20:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.46%EV -5.00%E -4.59%K -55.55%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.54%EV -2.39%E -0.315%K -0.362%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-31 20:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.28%EV -4.13%E -3.75%K -41.28%G +0.000%7.55I 13.25%NM 12.72%EV -3.03%E -0.402%K -0.463%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-31 22:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.28%EV -4.13%E -3.75%K -41.28%G +0.000%7.55I 13.25%NM 12.72%EV -3.03%E -0.402%K -0.463%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-31 22:55
Pinnacle🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -3.26%E -2.93%K -29.60%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV -3.68%E -0.490%K -0.566%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-31 23:00
betano_uk🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.13%E -3.75%K -41.28%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -3.68%E -0.490%K -0.566%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-31 23:10
SportsBet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.00%E -4.59%K -55.55%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.68%E -0.490%K -0.566%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 08:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.00%E -4.59%K -55.55%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.68%E -0.490%K -0.566%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 14:20
Paddy Power🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.87%E -5.44%K -73.38%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -3.68%E -0.490%K -0.566%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 08:35
Sky Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.87%E -5.44%K -73.38%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -3.68%E -0.490%K -0.566%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 08:35
BetAnything🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.24%EV -5.00%E -4.59%K -55.55%G +0.000%7.45I 13.42%NM 12.76%EV -4.32%E -0.580%K -0.670%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 20:40
Betsson🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.20%EV -5.87%E -5.44%K -73.38%G +0.000%7.36I 13.59%NM 12.80%EV -5.47%E -0.744%K -0.861%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 20:40
NordicBet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.20%EV -5.87%E -5.44%K -73.38%G +0.000%7.36I 13.59%NM 12.80%EV -5.47%E -0.744%K -0.861%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 20:40
Fanatics🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.01%EV -5.00%E -4.59%K -55.55%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.99%EV -6.24%E -0.855%K -0.991%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-31 23:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -4.13%E -3.75%K -41.28%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV -6.89%E -0.950%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 21:28
NetBet (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -5.87%E -5.44%K -73.38%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -6.89%E -0.950%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-31 23:10
theScore Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.85%EV -5.00%E -4.59%K -55.55%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.15%EV -7.53%E -1.05%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 20:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.96%EV -5.87%E -5.44%K -73.38%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.04%EV -7.53%E -1.05%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-31 13:30
LeoVegas🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.69%EV -5.00%E -4.59%K -55.55%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.31%EV -8.81%E -1.24%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 23:15
888sport🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.13%E -3.75%K -41.28%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -10.10%E -1.44%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 13:20
William Hill🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.13%E -3.75%K -41.28%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -10.10%E -1.44%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 16:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.13%E -3.75%K -41.28%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -10.10%E -1.44%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 13:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.13%E -3.75%K -41.28%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -10.10%E -1.44%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 13:20
Betway🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.13%E -3.75%K -41.28%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -10.10%E -1.44%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 21:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.13%E -3.75%K -41.28%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -10.10%E -1.44%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 23:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.00%E -4.59%K -55.55%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -10.10%E -1.44%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 21:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.00%E -4.59%K -55.55%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -10.10%E -1.44%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 21:25
betfred_uk🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.87%E -5.44%K -73.38%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -10.10%E -1.44%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-31 13:30
Caesars🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.87%E -5.44%K -73.38%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -10.10%E -1.44%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-31 13:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -3.26%E -2.93%K -29.60%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -15.23%E -2.31%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 13:50
Neds🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -3.26%E -2.93%K -29.60%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -15.23%E -2.31%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 13:50
Coral🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.13%E -3.75%K -41.28%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -16.52%E -2.54%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 13:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.13%E -3.75%K -41.28%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -16.52%E -2.54%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 13:50
BetMGM🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.13%E -3.75%K -41.28%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -16.52%E -2.54%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 14:25
TAB🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -4.13%E -3.75%K -41.28%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -19.73%E -3.16%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-31 22:15
PlayUp🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -1.51%E -1.34%K -11.64%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -26.15%E -4.55%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 22:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.12I 89.29%NM 88.71%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29%0.6%2026-08-31 23:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.12I 89.29%NM 88.71%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29%0.6%2026-08-31 23:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.12I 89.29%NM 88.71%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29%0.6%2026-08-31 23:15
Matchbook◎1.12I 89.29%NM 88.71%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29%0.6%2026-08-31 23:15
Novig◎1.12I 89.29%NM 88.59%8.70I 11.49%NM 11.41%0.8%2026-08-31 23:00
Kalshi◎1.11I 90.09%NM 89.12%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.88%1.1%2026-08-31 20:40
ProphetX◎1.11I 90.09%NM 87.95%8.10I 12.35%NM 12.05%2.4%2026-08-31 23:15
Smarkets◎1.10I 90.91%NM 88.66%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.34%2.5%2026-08-31 23:05