Sprache:Deutsch
Jakub Mensik v Shintaro Mochizuki
Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →
Direkter Vergleich
Jakub Mensik (Heim)
Prognose 87.16%1.15faire Quote
EV -1.51%
Vorteil -1.34%
Kelly -11.64%
Wachstum +0.000%
bei einer Höchstquote von 1.13
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
83.58%87.24%87.11%90.68%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.051.091.091.1395.24%91.82%91.74%88.50%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Shintaro Mochizuki (Auswärts)
Prognose 12.84%7.79faire Quote
EV +36.14%
Vorteil +3.41%
Kelly +3.76%
Wachstum +1.36%
bei einer Höchstquote von 10.60
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
9.32%12.76%12.89%16.42%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
5.757.537.5010.6017.39%13.28%13.33%9.43%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Jakub Mensik (Heim): 87.16%; Shintaro Mochizuki (Auswärts): 12.84%. Für Shintaro Mochizuki (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 7.79. 23 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 10.60 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +36.14%.
Wettanbieterquoten (63 Wettanbieter)
Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts ▼ | Marge | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.68%EV -5.00%E -4.59%K -55.55%G +0.000% | 10.60I 9.43%NM 9.32%EV +36.14%E +3.41%K +3.76%G +1.36% | 1.2% | 2026-08-31 23:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -7.61%E -7.18%K -126.90%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +28.43%E +2.84%K +3.16%G +0.898% | 4.3% | 2026-08-29 20:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -5.00%E -4.59%K -55.55%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +2.75%E +0.343%K +0.392%G +0.011% | 4.2% | 2026-08-31 21:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -5.00%E -4.59%K -55.55%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +2.75%E +0.343%K +0.392%G +0.011% | 4.2% | 2026-08-31 20:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.87%E -5.44%K -73.38%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +2.75%E +0.343%K +0.392%G +0.011% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.87%E -5.44%K -73.38%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +2.75%E +0.343%K +0.392%G +0.011% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.87%E -5.44%K -73.38%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +2.75%E +0.343%K +0.392%G +0.011% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.87%E -5.44%K -73.38%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +2.75%E +0.343%K +0.392%G +0.011% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.87%E -5.44%K -73.38%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +2.75%E +0.343%K +0.392%G +0.011% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.87%E -5.44%K -73.38%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +2.75%E +0.343%K +0.392%G +0.011% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.87%E -5.44%K -73.38%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +2.75%E +0.343%K +0.392%G +0.011% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.87%E -5.44%K -73.38%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +2.75%E +0.343%K +0.392%G +0.011% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.87%E -5.44%K -73.38%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +2.75%E +0.343%K +0.392%G +0.011% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.87%E -5.44%K -73.38%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +2.75%E +0.343%K +0.392%G +0.011% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.87%E -5.44%K -73.38%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +2.75%E +0.343%K +0.392%G +0.011% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.87%E -5.44%K -73.38%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +2.75%E +0.343%K +0.392%G +0.011% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.87%E -5.44%K -73.38%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +2.75%E +0.343%K +0.392%G +0.011% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.87%E -5.44%K -73.38%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +2.75%E +0.343%K +0.392%G +0.011% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.87%E -5.44%K -73.38%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +2.75%E +0.343%K +0.392%G +0.011% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -8.49%E -8.08%K -169.71%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV +2.75%E +0.343%K +0.392%G +0.011% | 7.7% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.90%EV -5.00%E -4.59%K -55.55%G +0.000% | 7.92I 12.63%NM 12.10%EV +1.72%E +0.217%K +0.248%G +0.004% | 4.4% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.74%EV -5.00%E -4.59%K -55.55%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.26%EV +0.177%E +0.023%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-31 08:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.84%EV -5.87%E -5.44%K -73.38%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.16%EV +0.177%E +0.023%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.47%EV -3.26%E -2.93%K -29.60%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.53%EV -0.465%E -0.060%K -0.069%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.67%EV -5.00%E -4.59%K -55.55%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.33%EV -0.465%E -0.060%K -0.069%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-31 20:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.67%EV -5.00%E -4.59%K -55.55%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.33%EV -0.465%E -0.060%K -0.069%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-31 20:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.70%EV -5.87%E -5.44%K -73.38%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.30%EV -1.11%E -0.144%K -0.165%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.46%EV -5.00%E -4.59%K -55.55%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.54%EV -2.39%E -0.315%K -0.362%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-31 20:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.46%EV -5.00%E -4.59%K -55.55%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.54%EV -2.39%E -0.315%K -0.362%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-31 20:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.28%EV -4.13%E -3.75%K -41.28%G +0.000% | 7.55I 13.25%NM 12.72%EV -3.03%E -0.402%K -0.463%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-31 22:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.28%EV -4.13%E -3.75%K -41.28%G +0.000% | 7.55I 13.25%NM 12.72%EV -3.03%E -0.402%K -0.463%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-31 22:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -3.26%E -2.93%K -29.60%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV -3.68%E -0.490%K -0.566%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-31 23:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.13%E -3.75%K -41.28%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -3.68%E -0.490%K -0.566%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-31 23:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.00%E -4.59%K -55.55%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.68%E -0.490%K -0.566%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 08:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.00%E -4.59%K -55.55%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.68%E -0.490%K -0.566%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 14:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.87%E -5.44%K -73.38%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -3.68%E -0.490%K -0.566%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 08:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.87%E -5.44%K -73.38%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -3.68%E -0.490%K -0.566%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 08:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.24%EV -5.00%E -4.59%K -55.55%G +0.000% | 7.45I 13.42%NM 12.76%EV -4.32%E -0.580%K -0.670%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 20:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.20%EV -5.87%E -5.44%K -73.38%G +0.000% | 7.36I 13.59%NM 12.80%EV -5.47%E -0.744%K -0.861%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 20:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.20%EV -5.87%E -5.44%K -73.38%G +0.000% | 7.36I 13.59%NM 12.80%EV -5.47%E -0.744%K -0.861%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 20:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.01%EV -5.00%E -4.59%K -55.55%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.99%EV -6.24%E -0.855%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-31 23:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -4.13%E -3.75%K -41.28%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV -6.89%E -0.950%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 21:28 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -5.87%E -5.44%K -73.38%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -6.89%E -0.950%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-31 23:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.85%EV -5.00%E -4.59%K -55.55%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.15%EV -7.53%E -1.05%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 20:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.96%EV -5.87%E -5.44%K -73.38%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.04%EV -7.53%E -1.05%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-31 13:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.69%EV -5.00%E -4.59%K -55.55%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.31%EV -8.81%E -1.24%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 23:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.13%E -3.75%K -41.28%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -10.10%E -1.44%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 13:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.13%E -3.75%K -41.28%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -10.10%E -1.44%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 16:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.13%E -3.75%K -41.28%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -10.10%E -1.44%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 13:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.13%E -3.75%K -41.28%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -10.10%E -1.44%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 13:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.13%E -3.75%K -41.28%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -10.10%E -1.44%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 21:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.13%E -3.75%K -41.28%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -10.10%E -1.44%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 23:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.00%E -4.59%K -55.55%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -10.10%E -1.44%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 21:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.00%E -4.59%K -55.55%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -10.10%E -1.44%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 21:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.87%E -5.44%K -73.38%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -10.10%E -1.44%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-31 13:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.87%E -5.44%K -73.38%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -10.10%E -1.44%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-31 13:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -3.26%E -2.93%K -29.60%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -15.23%E -2.31%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 13:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -3.26%E -2.93%K -29.60%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -15.23%E -2.31%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 13:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.13%E -3.75%K -41.28%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -16.52%E -2.54%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-30 13:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.13%E -3.75%K -41.28%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -16.52%E -2.54%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-30 13:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.13%E -3.75%K -41.28%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -16.52%E -2.54%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-30 14:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -4.13%E -3.75%K -41.28%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -19.73%E -3.16%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-31 22:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -1.51%E -1.34%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -26.15%E -4.55%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 22:15 |
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals
Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.
Wettbörsen (8)
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts | Marge ▲ | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.71% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29% | 0.6% | 2026-08-31 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.71% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29% | 0.6% | 2026-08-31 23:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.71% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29% | 0.6% | 2026-08-31 23:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.71% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29% | 0.6% | 2026-08-31 23:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.59% | 8.70I 11.49%NM 11.41% | 0.8% | 2026-08-31 23:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.12% | 9.09I 11.00%NM 10.88% | 1.1% | 2026-08-31 20:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.95% | 8.10I 12.35%NM 12.05% | 2.4% | 2026-08-31 23:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 88.66% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.34% | 2.5% | 2026-08-31 23:05 |