Langue:Français
Jakub Mensik v Shintaro Mochizuki
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Jakub Mensik (Local)
Prévision 87.16%1.15cote équitable
EV -1.51%
Avantage -1.34%
Kelly -11.64%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.13
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
83.58%87.24%87.11%90.68%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.051.091.091.1395.24%91.82%91.74%88.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Shintaro Mochizuki (Visiteur)
Prévision 12.84%7.79cote équitable
EV +36.14%
Avantage +3.41%
Kelly +3.76%
Croissance +1.36%
avec la cote maximale 10.60
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
9.32%12.76%12.89%16.42%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.757.537.5010.6017.39%13.28%13.33%9.43%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Jakub Mensik (Local) : 87.16% ; Shintaro Mochizuki (Visiteur) : 12.84%. Pour Shintaro Mochizuki (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 7.79. 23 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 10.60, soit une espérance positive de +36.14%.
Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.68%EV -5.00%E -4.59%K -55.55%G +0.000% | 10.60I 9.43%NM 9.32%EV +36.14%E +3.41%K +3.76%G +1.36% | 1.2% | 2026-08-31 23:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -7.61%E -7.18%K -126.90%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +28.43%E +2.84%K +3.16%G +0.898% | 4.3% | 2026-08-29 20:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -5.00%E -4.59%K -55.55%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +2.75%E +0.343%K +0.392%G +0.011% | 4.2% | 2026-08-31 21:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -5.00%E -4.59%K -55.55%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +2.75%E +0.343%K +0.392%G +0.011% | 4.2% | 2026-08-31 20:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.87%E -5.44%K -73.38%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +2.75%E +0.343%K +0.392%G +0.011% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.87%E -5.44%K -73.38%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +2.75%E +0.343%K +0.392%G +0.011% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.87%E -5.44%K -73.38%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +2.75%E +0.343%K +0.392%G +0.011% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.87%E -5.44%K -73.38%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +2.75%E +0.343%K +0.392%G +0.011% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.87%E -5.44%K -73.38%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +2.75%E +0.343%K +0.392%G +0.011% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.87%E -5.44%K -73.38%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +2.75%E +0.343%K +0.392%G +0.011% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.87%E -5.44%K -73.38%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +2.75%E +0.343%K +0.392%G +0.011% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.87%E -5.44%K -73.38%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +2.75%E +0.343%K +0.392%G +0.011% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.87%E -5.44%K -73.38%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +2.75%E +0.343%K +0.392%G +0.011% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.87%E -5.44%K -73.38%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +2.75%E +0.343%K +0.392%G +0.011% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.87%E -5.44%K -73.38%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +2.75%E +0.343%K +0.392%G +0.011% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.87%E -5.44%K -73.38%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +2.75%E +0.343%K +0.392%G +0.011% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.87%E -5.44%K -73.38%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +2.75%E +0.343%K +0.392%G +0.011% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.87%E -5.44%K -73.38%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +2.75%E +0.343%K +0.392%G +0.011% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.87%E -5.44%K -73.38%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +2.75%E +0.343%K +0.392%G +0.011% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -8.49%E -8.08%K -169.71%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV +2.75%E +0.343%K +0.392%G +0.011% | 7.7% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.90%EV -5.00%E -4.59%K -55.55%G +0.000% | 7.92I 12.63%NM 12.10%EV +1.72%E +0.217%K +0.248%G +0.004% | 4.4% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.74%EV -5.00%E -4.59%K -55.55%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.26%EV +0.177%E +0.023%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-31 08:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.84%EV -5.87%E -5.44%K -73.38%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.16%EV +0.177%E +0.023%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.47%EV -3.26%E -2.93%K -29.60%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.53%EV -0.465%E -0.060%K -0.069%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.67%EV -5.00%E -4.59%K -55.55%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.33%EV -0.465%E -0.060%K -0.069%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-31 20:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.67%EV -5.00%E -4.59%K -55.55%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.33%EV -0.465%E -0.060%K -0.069%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-31 20:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.70%EV -5.87%E -5.44%K -73.38%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.30%EV -1.11%E -0.144%K -0.165%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.46%EV -5.00%E -4.59%K -55.55%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.54%EV -2.39%E -0.315%K -0.362%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-31 20:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.46%EV -5.00%E -4.59%K -55.55%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.54%EV -2.39%E -0.315%K -0.362%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-31 20:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.28%EV -4.13%E -3.75%K -41.28%G +0.000% | 7.55I 13.25%NM 12.72%EV -3.03%E -0.402%K -0.463%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-31 22:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.28%EV -4.13%E -3.75%K -41.28%G +0.000% | 7.55I 13.25%NM 12.72%EV -3.03%E -0.402%K -0.463%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-31 22:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -3.26%E -2.93%K -29.60%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV -3.68%E -0.490%K -0.566%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-31 23:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.13%E -3.75%K -41.28%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -3.68%E -0.490%K -0.566%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-31 23:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.00%E -4.59%K -55.55%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.68%E -0.490%K -0.566%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 08:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.00%E -4.59%K -55.55%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.68%E -0.490%K -0.566%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 14:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.87%E -5.44%K -73.38%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -3.68%E -0.490%K -0.566%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 08:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.87%E -5.44%K -73.38%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -3.68%E -0.490%K -0.566%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 08:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.24%EV -5.00%E -4.59%K -55.55%G +0.000% | 7.45I 13.42%NM 12.76%EV -4.32%E -0.580%K -0.670%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 20:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.20%EV -5.87%E -5.44%K -73.38%G +0.000% | 7.36I 13.59%NM 12.80%EV -5.47%E -0.744%K -0.861%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 20:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.20%EV -5.87%E -5.44%K -73.38%G +0.000% | 7.36I 13.59%NM 12.80%EV -5.47%E -0.744%K -0.861%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 20:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.01%EV -5.00%E -4.59%K -55.55%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.99%EV -6.24%E -0.855%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-31 23:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -4.13%E -3.75%K -41.28%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV -6.89%E -0.950%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 21:28 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -5.87%E -5.44%K -73.38%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -6.89%E -0.950%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-31 23:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.85%EV -5.00%E -4.59%K -55.55%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.15%EV -7.53%E -1.05%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 20:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.96%EV -5.87%E -5.44%K -73.38%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.04%EV -7.53%E -1.05%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-31 13:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.69%EV -5.00%E -4.59%K -55.55%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.31%EV -8.81%E -1.24%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 23:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.13%E -3.75%K -41.28%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -10.10%E -1.44%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 13:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.13%E -3.75%K -41.28%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -10.10%E -1.44%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 16:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.13%E -3.75%K -41.28%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -10.10%E -1.44%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 13:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.13%E -3.75%K -41.28%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -10.10%E -1.44%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 13:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.13%E -3.75%K -41.28%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -10.10%E -1.44%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 21:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.13%E -3.75%K -41.28%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -10.10%E -1.44%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 23:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.00%E -4.59%K -55.55%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -10.10%E -1.44%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 21:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.00%E -4.59%K -55.55%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -10.10%E -1.44%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 21:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.87%E -5.44%K -73.38%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -10.10%E -1.44%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-31 13:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.87%E -5.44%K -73.38%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -10.10%E -1.44%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-31 13:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -3.26%E -2.93%K -29.60%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -15.23%E -2.31%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 13:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -3.26%E -2.93%K -29.60%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -15.23%E -2.31%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 13:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.13%E -3.75%K -41.28%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -16.52%E -2.54%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-30 13:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.13%E -3.75%K -41.28%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -16.52%E -2.54%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-30 13:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.13%E -3.75%K -41.28%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -16.52%E -2.54%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-30 14:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -4.13%E -3.75%K -41.28%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -19.73%E -3.16%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-31 22:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -1.51%E -1.34%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -26.15%E -4.55%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 22:15 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (8)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.71% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29% | 0.6% | 2026-08-31 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.71% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29% | 0.6% | 2026-08-31 23:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.71% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29% | 0.6% | 2026-08-31 23:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.71% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29% | 0.6% | 2026-08-31 23:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.59% | 8.70I 11.49%NM 11.41% | 0.8% | 2026-08-31 23:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.12% | 9.09I 11.00%NM 10.88% | 1.1% | 2026-08-31 20:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.95% | 8.10I 12.35%NM 12.05% | 2.4% | 2026-08-31 23:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 88.66% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.34% | 2.5% | 2026-08-31 23:05 |