Idioma:Español
Jakub Mensik v Shintaro Mochizuki
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Jakub Mensik (Local)
Predicción 87.16%1.15momio equitativo
EV -1.51%
Ventaja -1.34%
Kelly -11.64%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.13
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
83.58%87.24%87.11%90.68%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.051.091.091.1395.24%91.82%91.74%88.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Shintaro Mochizuki (Visitante)
Predicción 12.84%7.79momio equitativo
EV +36.14%
Ventaja +3.41%
Kelly +3.76%
Crecimiento +1.36%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 10.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
9.32%12.76%12.89%16.42%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.757.537.5010.6017.39%13.28%13.33%9.43%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Jakub Mensik (Local): 87.16%; Shintaro Mochizuki (Visitante): 12.84%. Para Shintaro Mochizuki (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 7.79. 23 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 10.60, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +36.14%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.68%EV -5.00%E -4.59%K -55.55%G +0.000% | 10.60I 9.43%NM 9.32%EV +36.14%E +3.41%K +3.76%G +1.36% | 1.2% | 2026-08-31 23:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -7.61%E -7.18%K -126.90%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +28.43%E +2.84%K +3.16%G +0.898% | 4.3% | 2026-08-29 20:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -5.00%E -4.59%K -55.55%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +2.75%E +0.343%K +0.392%G +0.011% | 4.2% | 2026-08-31 21:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -5.00%E -4.59%K -55.55%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +2.75%E +0.343%K +0.392%G +0.011% | 4.2% | 2026-08-31 20:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.87%E -5.44%K -73.38%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +2.75%E +0.343%K +0.392%G +0.011% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.87%E -5.44%K -73.38%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +2.75%E +0.343%K +0.392%G +0.011% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.87%E -5.44%K -73.38%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +2.75%E +0.343%K +0.392%G +0.011% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.87%E -5.44%K -73.38%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +2.75%E +0.343%K +0.392%G +0.011% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.87%E -5.44%K -73.38%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +2.75%E +0.343%K +0.392%G +0.011% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.87%E -5.44%K -73.38%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +2.75%E +0.343%K +0.392%G +0.011% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.87%E -5.44%K -73.38%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +2.75%E +0.343%K +0.392%G +0.011% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.87%E -5.44%K -73.38%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +2.75%E +0.343%K +0.392%G +0.011% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.87%E -5.44%K -73.38%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +2.75%E +0.343%K +0.392%G +0.011% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.87%E -5.44%K -73.38%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +2.75%E +0.343%K +0.392%G +0.011% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.87%E -5.44%K -73.38%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +2.75%E +0.343%K +0.392%G +0.011% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.87%E -5.44%K -73.38%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +2.75%E +0.343%K +0.392%G +0.011% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.87%E -5.44%K -73.38%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +2.75%E +0.343%K +0.392%G +0.011% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.87%E -5.44%K -73.38%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +2.75%E +0.343%K +0.392%G +0.011% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.87%E -5.44%K -73.38%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +2.75%E +0.343%K +0.392%G +0.011% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -8.49%E -8.08%K -169.71%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV +2.75%E +0.343%K +0.392%G +0.011% | 7.7% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.90%EV -5.00%E -4.59%K -55.55%G +0.000% | 7.92I 12.63%NM 12.10%EV +1.72%E +0.217%K +0.248%G +0.004% | 4.4% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.74%EV -5.00%E -4.59%K -55.55%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.26%EV +0.177%E +0.023%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-31 08:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.84%EV -5.87%E -5.44%K -73.38%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.16%EV +0.177%E +0.023%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.47%EV -3.26%E -2.93%K -29.60%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.53%EV -0.465%E -0.060%K -0.069%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.67%EV -5.00%E -4.59%K -55.55%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.33%EV -0.465%E -0.060%K -0.069%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-31 20:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.67%EV -5.00%E -4.59%K -55.55%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.33%EV -0.465%E -0.060%K -0.069%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-31 20:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.70%EV -5.87%E -5.44%K -73.38%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.30%EV -1.11%E -0.144%K -0.165%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.46%EV -5.00%E -4.59%K -55.55%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.54%EV -2.39%E -0.315%K -0.362%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-31 20:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.46%EV -5.00%E -4.59%K -55.55%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.54%EV -2.39%E -0.315%K -0.362%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-31 20:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.28%EV -4.13%E -3.75%K -41.28%G +0.000% | 7.55I 13.25%NM 12.72%EV -3.03%E -0.402%K -0.463%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-31 22:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.28%EV -4.13%E -3.75%K -41.28%G +0.000% | 7.55I 13.25%NM 12.72%EV -3.03%E -0.402%K -0.463%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-31 22:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -3.26%E -2.93%K -29.60%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV -3.68%E -0.490%K -0.566%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-31 23:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.13%E -3.75%K -41.28%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -3.68%E -0.490%K -0.566%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-31 23:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.00%E -4.59%K -55.55%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.68%E -0.490%K -0.566%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 08:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.00%E -4.59%K -55.55%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.68%E -0.490%K -0.566%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 14:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.87%E -5.44%K -73.38%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -3.68%E -0.490%K -0.566%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 08:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.87%E -5.44%K -73.38%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -3.68%E -0.490%K -0.566%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 08:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.24%EV -5.00%E -4.59%K -55.55%G +0.000% | 7.45I 13.42%NM 12.76%EV -4.32%E -0.580%K -0.670%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 20:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.20%EV -5.87%E -5.44%K -73.38%G +0.000% | 7.36I 13.59%NM 12.80%EV -5.47%E -0.744%K -0.861%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 20:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.20%EV -5.87%E -5.44%K -73.38%G +0.000% | 7.36I 13.59%NM 12.80%EV -5.47%E -0.744%K -0.861%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 20:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.01%EV -5.00%E -4.59%K -55.55%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.99%EV -6.24%E -0.855%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-31 23:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -4.13%E -3.75%K -41.28%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV -6.89%E -0.950%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 21:28 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -5.87%E -5.44%K -73.38%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -6.89%E -0.950%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-31 23:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.85%EV -5.00%E -4.59%K -55.55%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.15%EV -7.53%E -1.05%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 20:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.96%EV -5.87%E -5.44%K -73.38%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.04%EV -7.53%E -1.05%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-31 13:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.69%EV -5.00%E -4.59%K -55.55%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.31%EV -8.81%E -1.24%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 23:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.13%E -3.75%K -41.28%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -10.10%E -1.44%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 13:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.13%E -3.75%K -41.28%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -10.10%E -1.44%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 16:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.13%E -3.75%K -41.28%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -10.10%E -1.44%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 13:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.13%E -3.75%K -41.28%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -10.10%E -1.44%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 13:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.13%E -3.75%K -41.28%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -10.10%E -1.44%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 21:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.13%E -3.75%K -41.28%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -10.10%E -1.44%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 23:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.00%E -4.59%K -55.55%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -10.10%E -1.44%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 21:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.00%E -4.59%K -55.55%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -10.10%E -1.44%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 21:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.87%E -5.44%K -73.38%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -10.10%E -1.44%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-31 13:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.87%E -5.44%K -73.38%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -10.10%E -1.44%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-31 13:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -3.26%E -2.93%K -29.60%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -15.23%E -2.31%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 13:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -3.26%E -2.93%K -29.60%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -15.23%E -2.31%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 13:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.13%E -3.75%K -41.28%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -16.52%E -2.54%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-30 13:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.13%E -3.75%K -41.28%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -16.52%E -2.54%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-30 13:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.13%E -3.75%K -41.28%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -16.52%E -2.54%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-30 14:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -4.13%E -3.75%K -41.28%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -19.73%E -3.16%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-31 22:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -1.51%E -1.34%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -26.15%E -4.55%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 22:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.71% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29% | 0.6% | 2026-08-31 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.71% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29% | 0.6% | 2026-08-31 23:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.71% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29% | 0.6% | 2026-08-31 23:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.71% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29% | 0.6% | 2026-08-31 23:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.59% | 8.70I 11.49%NM 11.41% | 0.8% | 2026-08-31 23:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.12% | 9.09I 11.00%NM 10.88% | 1.1% | 2026-08-31 20:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.95% | 8.10I 12.35%NM 12.05% | 2.4% | 2026-08-31 23:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 88.66% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.34% | 2.5% | 2026-08-31 23:05 |