Language:English
Jaime Faria v Jenson Brooksby
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jaime Faria (Local)
Prediction 46.88%2.13fair odd
EV -1.55%
Edge -0.740%
Kelly -1.41%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.17%46.90%46.95%49.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.012.002.1052.36%49.69%50.00%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Jenson Brooksby (Visit)
Prediction 53.12%1.88fair odd
EV +0.929%
Edge +0.489%
Kelly +1.03%
Growth +0.010%
assuming max odds 1.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.26%53.10%53.05%54.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.791.791.9057.80%55.76%55.87%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jaime Faria (Local): 46.88%; Jenson Brooksby (Visit): 53.12%. For Jenson Brooksby (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.88. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.929%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -9.99%E -5.20%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV +0.929%E +0.489%K +1.03%G +0.010% | 4.7% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -8.59%E -4.40%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -0.664%E -0.355%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-30 18:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV -3.90%E -1.90%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -1.73%E -0.933%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-30 18:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -6.24%E -3.12%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -1.73%E -0.933%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.24%E -3.12%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.79%E -1.52%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-30 18:58 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.24%E -3.12%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.79%E -1.52%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-30 18:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.24%E -3.12%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.79%E -1.52%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-30 18:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -6.71%E -3.37%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -2.79%E -1.52%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 15:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -8.12%E -4.14%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -2.79%E -1.52%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 18:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -8.12%E -4.14%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -2.79%E -1.52%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 18:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -8.59%E -4.40%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -2.79%E -1.52%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 18:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -8.59%E -4.40%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -2.79%E -1.52%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 15:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -10.46%E -5.48%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -2.79%E -1.52%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 18:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.24%E -3.12%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.32%E -1.82%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 15:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.24%E -3.12%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.32%E -1.82%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-28 18:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -3.90%E -1.90%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -3.85%E -2.13%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-30 15:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -4.37%E -2.14%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -3.85%E -2.13%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-30 15:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.90%E -1.90%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.38%E -2.43%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-30 15:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%EV -4.84%E -2.38%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.00%EV -4.38%E -2.43%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-30 15:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.24%E -3.12%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.38%E -2.43%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 18:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.24%E -3.12%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.38%E -2.43%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 17:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.24%E -3.12%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.38%E -2.43%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 15:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.24%E -3.12%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.38%E -2.43%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 15:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.24%E -3.12%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.38%E -2.43%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 17:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.24%E -3.12%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.38%E -2.43%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 15:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.24%E -3.12%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.38%E -2.43%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-28 20:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.59%E -4.40%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.38%E -2.43%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 18:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.59%E -4.40%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.38%E -2.43%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -10.46%E -5.48%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -4.38%E -2.43%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-30 18:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -10.46%E -5.48%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -4.38%E -2.43%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-30 18:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.30%E -2.63%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.91%E -2.75%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 18:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -1.55%E -0.740%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -5.45%E -3.06%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-30 12:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.90%E -1.90%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.45%E -3.06%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 15:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.37%E -2.14%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.45%E -3.06%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 01:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.37%E -2.14%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.45%E -3.06%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 01:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.37%E -2.14%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.45%E -3.06%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 01:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.37%E -2.14%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.45%E -3.06%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 01:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.37%E -2.14%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.45%E -3.06%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 01:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.37%E -2.14%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.45%E -3.06%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 01:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.37%E -2.14%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.45%E -3.06%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 01:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.37%E -2.14%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.45%E -3.06%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 01:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.37%E -2.14%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.45%E -3.06%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 01:28 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.37%E -2.14%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.45%E -3.06%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 01:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.37%E -2.14%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.45%E -3.06%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 01:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.37%E -2.14%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.45%E -3.06%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 01:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.37%E -2.14%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.45%E -3.06%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 01:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.97%EV -5.77%E -2.87%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.03%EV -5.45%E -3.06%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 18:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.24%E -3.12%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.45%E -3.06%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.90%E -1.90%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.98%E -3.38%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 01:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -4.37%E -2.14%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -5.98%E -3.38%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-28 19:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.24%E -3.12%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.98%E -3.38%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-30 15:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.24%E -3.12%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.98%E -3.38%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-30 18:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -1.55%E -0.740%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -6.51%E -3.70%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-30 18:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.24%E -3.12%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.04%E -4.02%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-29 01:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.24%E -3.12%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.04%E -4.02%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 18:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.79%EV -6.71%E -3.37%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.21%EV -7.04%E -4.02%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-30 15:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.90%E -1.90%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.57%E -4.35%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-30 18:57 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.55%E -0.740%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.10%E -4.68%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 12:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.55%E -0.740%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.10%E -4.68%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 12:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.55%E -0.740%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.10%E -4.68%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 12:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.24%E -3.12%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.10%E -4.68%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-30 18:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 0.6% | 2026-08-30 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 0.6% | 2026-08-30 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 0.6% | 2026-08-30 18:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 0.6% | 2026-08-30 18:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27% | 0.9% | 2026-08-30 18:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-08-30 18:55 |
| Novig◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66% | 1.6% | 2026-08-30 18:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06% | 2.4% | 2026-08-30 18:45 |