Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Jaime Faria v Jenson Brooksby

Inizio: 2026-08-30 19:00 UTC

Finale: Jaime Faria 3–2 Jenson Brooksby

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

61 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Jaime Faria (Casa)

Previsione 46.88%2.13quota equa
EV -1.55%
Vantaggio -0.740%
Kelly -1.41%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
45.17%46.90%46.95%49.74%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.912.012.002.1052.36%49.69%50.00%47.62%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Jenson Brooksby (Trasferta)

Previsione 53.12%1.88quota equa
EV +0.929%
Vantaggio +0.489%
Kelly +1.03%
Crescita +0.010%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.90

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
50.26%53.10%53.05%54.83%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.731.791.791.9057.80%55.76%55.87%52.63%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Jaime Faria (Casa): 46.88%; Jenson Brooksby (Trasferta): 53.12%. Per Jenson Brooksby (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 1.88. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 1.90, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +0.929%.

Quote dei bookmaker (61 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -9.99%E -5.20%K -10.86%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV +0.929%E +0.489%K +1.03%G +0.010%4.7%2026-08-30 18:50
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -8.59%E -4.40%K -9.04%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -0.664%E -0.355%K -0.763%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 18:59
Pinnacle🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV -3.90%E -1.90%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -1.73%E -0.933%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-30 18:35
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -6.24%E -3.12%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -1.73%E -0.933%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-30 18:50
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.24%E -3.12%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.79%E -1.52%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-30 18:58
BetOnline.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.24%E -3.12%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.79%E -1.52%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-30 18:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.24%E -3.12%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.79%E -1.52%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-30 18:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -6.71%E -3.37%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -2.79%E -1.52%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 15:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -8.12%E -4.14%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -2.79%E -1.52%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 18:34
Neds🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -8.12%E -4.14%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -2.79%E -1.52%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 18:35
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -8.59%E -4.40%K -9.04%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -2.79%E -1.52%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 18:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -8.59%E -4.40%K -9.04%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -2.79%E -1.52%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 15:40
BetAnything🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -10.46%E -5.48%K -11.50%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -2.79%E -1.52%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 18:40
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.24%E -3.12%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.32%E -1.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 15:39
GTbets🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.24%E -3.12%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.32%E -1.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-28 18:55
ReBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -3.90%E -1.90%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -3.85%E -2.13%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-30 15:40
SportsBet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -4.37%E -2.14%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -3.85%E -2.13%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-30 15:59
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.90%E -1.90%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.38%E -2.43%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-30 15:19
Unibet (UK)🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%EV -4.84%E -2.38%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.00%EV -4.38%E -2.43%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 15:40
LeoVegas🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.24%E -3.12%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.38%E -2.43%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 18:35
PlayUp🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.24%E -3.12%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.38%E -2.43%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 17:29
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.24%E -3.12%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.38%E -2.43%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 15:59
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.24%E -3.12%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.38%E -2.43%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 15:55
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.24%E -3.12%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.38%E -2.43%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 17:20
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.24%E -3.12%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.38%E -2.43%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 15:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.24%E -3.12%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.38%E -2.43%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-28 20:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.59%E -4.40%K -9.04%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.38%E -2.43%K -5.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 18:05
Fliff🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.59%E -4.40%K -9.04%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.38%E -2.43%K -5.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 18:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -10.46%E -5.48%K -11.50%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -4.38%E -2.43%K -5.48%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-30 18:35
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -10.46%E -5.48%K -11.50%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -4.38%E -2.43%K -5.48%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-30 18:35
betPARX🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.30%E -2.63%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.91%E -2.75%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 18:59
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -1.55%E -0.740%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -5.45%E -3.06%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-30 12:25
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.90%E -1.90%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.45%E -3.06%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 15:40
Unibet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.37%E -2.14%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.45%E -3.06%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 01:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.37%E -2.14%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.45%E -3.06%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 01:30
TABtouch🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.37%E -2.14%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.45%E -3.06%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 01:30
Casumo🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.37%E -2.14%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.45%E -3.06%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 01:30
Grosvenor🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.37%E -2.14%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.45%E -3.06%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 01:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.37%E -2.14%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.45%E -3.06%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 01:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.37%E -2.14%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.45%E -3.06%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 01:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.37%E -2.14%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.45%E -3.06%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 01:30
Bally Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.37%E -2.14%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.45%E -3.06%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 01:28
ATG (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.37%E -2.14%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.45%E -3.06%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 01:30
BetRivers🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.37%E -2.14%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.45%E -3.06%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 01:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.37%E -2.14%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.45%E -3.06%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 01:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.37%E -2.14%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.45%E -3.06%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 01:30
DraftKings🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 46.97%EV -5.77%E -2.87%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.03%EV -5.45%E -3.06%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 18:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.24%E -3.12%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.45%E -3.06%K -6.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 17:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.90%E -1.90%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.98%E -3.38%K -7.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 01:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -4.37%E -2.14%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -5.98%E -3.38%K -7.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-28 19:30
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.24%E -3.12%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.98%E -3.38%K -7.76%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 15:50
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.24%E -3.12%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.98%E -3.38%K -7.76%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 18:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -1.55%E -0.740%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -6.51%E -3.70%K -8.56%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-30 18:35
PMU (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.24%E -3.12%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.04%E -4.02%K -9.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 01:30
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.24%E -3.12%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.04%E -4.02%K -9.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 18:59
NetBet (FR)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 46.79%EV -6.71%E -3.37%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.21%EV -7.04%E -4.02%K -9.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-30 15:45
Caesars🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.90%E -1.90%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.57%E -4.35%K -10.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 18:57
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.55%E -0.740%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.10%E -4.68%K -11.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 12:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.55%E -0.740%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.10%E -4.68%K -11.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 12:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.55%E -0.740%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.10%E -4.68%K -11.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 12:20
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.24%E -3.12%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.10%E -4.68%K -11.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-30 18:59
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (8)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%0.6%2026-08-30 18:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%0.6%2026-08-30 18:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%0.6%2026-08-30 18:45
Matchbook◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%0.6%2026-08-30 18:45
ProphetX◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%0.9%2026-08-30 18:55
Kalshi◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-08-30 18:55
Novig◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%1.6%2026-08-30 18:55
Smarkets◎2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%2.4%2026-08-30 18:45