Idioma:Español
Jaime Faria v Jenson Brooksby
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Jaime Faria (Local)
Predicción 46.88%2.13momio equitativo
EV -1.55%
Ventaja -0.740%
Kelly -1.41%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.17%46.90%46.95%49.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.912.012.002.1052.36%49.69%50.00%47.62%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Jenson Brooksby (Visitante)
Predicción 53.12%1.88momio equitativo
EV +0.929%
Ventaja +0.489%
Kelly +1.03%
Crecimiento +0.010%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.26%53.10%53.05%54.83%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.731.791.791.9057.80%55.76%55.87%52.63%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Jaime Faria (Local): 46.88%; Jenson Brooksby (Visitante): 53.12%. Para Jenson Brooksby (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.88. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 1.90, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.929%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -9.99%E -5.20%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV +0.929%E +0.489%K +1.03%G +0.010% | 4.7% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -8.59%E -4.40%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -0.664%E -0.355%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-30 18:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV -3.90%E -1.90%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -1.73%E -0.933%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-30 18:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -6.24%E -3.12%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -1.73%E -0.933%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.24%E -3.12%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.79%E -1.52%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-30 18:58 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.24%E -3.12%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.79%E -1.52%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-30 18:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.24%E -3.12%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.79%E -1.52%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-30 18:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -6.71%E -3.37%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -2.79%E -1.52%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 15:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -8.12%E -4.14%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -2.79%E -1.52%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 18:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -8.12%E -4.14%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -2.79%E -1.52%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 18:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -8.59%E -4.40%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -2.79%E -1.52%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 18:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -8.59%E -4.40%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -2.79%E -1.52%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 15:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -10.46%E -5.48%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -2.79%E -1.52%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 18:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.24%E -3.12%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.32%E -1.82%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 15:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.24%E -3.12%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.32%E -1.82%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-28 18:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -3.90%E -1.90%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -3.85%E -2.13%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-30 15:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -4.37%E -2.14%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -3.85%E -2.13%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-30 15:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.90%E -1.90%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.38%E -2.43%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-30 15:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%EV -4.84%E -2.38%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.00%EV -4.38%E -2.43%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-30 15:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.24%E -3.12%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.38%E -2.43%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 18:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.24%E -3.12%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.38%E -2.43%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 17:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.24%E -3.12%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.38%E -2.43%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 15:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.24%E -3.12%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.38%E -2.43%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 15:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.24%E -3.12%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.38%E -2.43%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 17:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.24%E -3.12%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.38%E -2.43%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 15:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.24%E -3.12%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.38%E -2.43%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-28 20:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.59%E -4.40%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.38%E -2.43%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 18:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.59%E -4.40%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.38%E -2.43%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -10.46%E -5.48%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -4.38%E -2.43%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-30 18:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -10.46%E -5.48%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -4.38%E -2.43%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-30 18:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.30%E -2.63%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.91%E -2.75%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 18:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -1.55%E -0.740%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -5.45%E -3.06%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-30 12:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.90%E -1.90%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.45%E -3.06%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 15:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.37%E -2.14%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.45%E -3.06%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 01:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.37%E -2.14%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.45%E -3.06%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 01:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.37%E -2.14%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.45%E -3.06%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 01:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.37%E -2.14%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.45%E -3.06%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 01:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.37%E -2.14%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.45%E -3.06%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 01:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.37%E -2.14%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.45%E -3.06%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 01:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.37%E -2.14%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.45%E -3.06%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 01:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.37%E -2.14%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.45%E -3.06%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 01:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.37%E -2.14%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.45%E -3.06%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 01:28 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.37%E -2.14%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.45%E -3.06%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 01:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.37%E -2.14%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.45%E -3.06%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 01:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.37%E -2.14%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.45%E -3.06%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 01:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.37%E -2.14%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.45%E -3.06%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 01:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.97%EV -5.77%E -2.87%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.03%EV -5.45%E -3.06%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 18:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.24%E -3.12%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.45%E -3.06%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.90%E -1.90%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.98%E -3.38%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 01:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -4.37%E -2.14%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -5.98%E -3.38%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-28 19:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.24%E -3.12%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.98%E -3.38%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-30 15:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.24%E -3.12%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.98%E -3.38%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-30 18:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -1.55%E -0.740%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -6.51%E -3.70%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-30 18:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.24%E -3.12%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.04%E -4.02%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-29 01:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.24%E -3.12%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.04%E -4.02%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 18:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.79%EV -6.71%E -3.37%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.21%EV -7.04%E -4.02%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-30 15:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.90%E -1.90%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.57%E -4.35%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-30 18:57 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.55%E -0.740%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.10%E -4.68%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 12:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.55%E -0.740%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.10%E -4.68%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 12:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.55%E -0.740%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.10%E -4.68%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 12:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.24%E -3.12%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.10%E -4.68%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-30 18:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 0.6% | 2026-08-30 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 0.6% | 2026-08-30 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 0.6% | 2026-08-30 18:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 0.6% | 2026-08-30 18:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27% | 0.9% | 2026-08-30 18:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-08-30 18:55 |
| Novig◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66% | 1.6% | 2026-08-30 18:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06% | 2.4% | 2026-08-30 18:45 |