Idioma:Português
Frances Tiafoe v Ben Shelton
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Frances Tiafoe (Local)
Previsão 27.92%3.58odd justa
EV -0.901%
Vantagem -0.254%
Kelly -0.353%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 3.55
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.06%28.11%27.85%30.37%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.053.313.353.5532.79%30.17%29.85%28.17%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Ben Shelton (Visitante)
Previsão 72.08%1.39odd justa
EV -1.24%
Vantagem -0.908%
Kelly -3.36%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.37
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
69.63%71.89%72.15%72.94%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.281.331.331.3778.13%75.30%75.19%72.99%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Frances Tiafoe (Local): 27.92%; Ben Shelton (Visitante): 72.08%. Para Frances Tiafoe (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.58. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.55, com valor esperado de -0.901%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.
Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.40%EV -0.901%E -0.254%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.60%EV -3.41%E -2.54%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-09 16:11 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.25%EV -0.901%E -0.254%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.75%EV -4.13%E -3.10%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-09 15:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -2.30%E -0.656%K -0.919%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -3.41%E -2.54%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-09 15:21 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -2.30%E -0.656%K -0.919%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.85%E -3.67%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-09 17:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -2.30%E -0.656%K -0.919%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.57%E -4.25%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-09 14:06 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.30%E -0.656%K -0.919%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-09 14:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -3.69%E -1.07%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -4.13%E -3.10%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-09 08:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -3.69%E -1.07%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -4.13%E -3.10%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-09 08:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -3.69%E -1.07%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.85%E -3.67%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-09 15:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -3.69%E -1.07%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.85%E -3.67%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-09 15:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -3.69%E -1.07%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.85%E -3.67%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-09 15:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -3.69%E -1.07%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -7.73%E -6.04%K -27.61%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 15:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.88%EV -3.97%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.12%EV -4.13%E -3.10%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.79%EV -4.25%E -1.24%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.21%EV -4.85%E -3.67%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-09 17:06 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -4.53%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -4.85%E -3.67%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.21%EV -4.81%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.79%EV -3.41%E -2.54%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-09 09:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.09%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.13%E -3.10%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-09 08:44 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.09%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.85%E -3.67%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-09 15:21 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.09%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.85%E -3.67%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-09 14:06 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.09%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.85%E -3.67%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-09 14:06 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.09%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-09 14:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.09%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-09 15:26 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.09%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.09%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -5.09%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -7.01%E -5.43%K -24.17%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 12:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -5.09%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -7.73%E -6.04%K -27.61%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-09 14:06 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -5.09%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -7.73%E -6.04%K -27.61%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-09 14:06 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.48%E -1.94%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.85%E -3.67%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-09 15:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.48%E -1.94%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.85%E -3.67%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-09 15:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -6.48%E -1.94%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.57%E -4.25%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-09 15:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -6.48%E -1.94%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.57%E -4.25%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-09 15:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -6.48%E -1.94%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.57%E -4.25%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-09 15:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.13%E -3.10%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-09 11:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.13%E -3.10%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-09 11:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -4.85%E -3.67%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -9.28%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -1.96%E -1.44%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.28%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.13%E -3.10%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-09 16:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.28%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.13%E -3.10%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.28%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.13%E -3.10%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-09 14:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.28%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.13%E -3.10%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-09 17:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -9.28%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-09 15:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.48%EV -9.55%E -2.95%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.52%EV -7.01%E -5.43%K -24.17%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-09 13:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -10.67%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -1.96%E -1.44%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-09 17:11 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -12.07%E -3.83%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -1.24%E -0.908%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -12.07%E -3.83%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -1.24%E -0.908%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-09 17:11 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -12.07%E -3.83%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -1.24%E -0.908%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.07%E -3.83%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.96%E -1.44%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 17:11 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.07%E -3.83%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.96%E -1.44%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.07%E -3.83%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.96%E -1.44%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.07%E -3.83%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.96%E -1.44%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.07%E -3.83%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.96%E -1.44%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.07%E -3.83%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.96%E -1.44%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 17:11 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.07%E -3.83%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.96%E -1.44%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.07%E -3.83%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.96%E -1.44%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 17:11 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.07%E -3.83%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.96%E -1.44%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.07%E -3.83%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.96%E -1.44%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.07%E -3.83%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.96%E -1.44%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -12.07%E -3.83%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -2.69%E -1.99%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-09 15:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.25%EV -12.90%E -4.14%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.75%EV -7.01%E -5.43%K -24.17%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-09 15:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -14.86%E -4.87%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -4.13%E -3.10%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (6)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 0.6% | 2026-09-09 16:41 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 0.6% | 2026-09-09 16:41 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 0.6% | 2026-09-09 16:41 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 0.6% | 2026-09-09 16:41 |
| Novig◎ | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.59% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.41% | 1.5% | 2026-09-09 16:56 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.70% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.30% | 1.7% | 2026-09-09 16:41 |