Idioma:Español
Frances Tiafoe v Ben Shelton
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Frances Tiafoe (Local)
Predicción 27.92%3.58momio equitativo
EV -0.901%
Ventaja -0.254%
Kelly -0.353%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.06%28.11%27.85%30.37%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.053.313.353.5532.79%30.17%29.85%28.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Ben Shelton (Visitante)
Predicción 72.08%1.39momio equitativo
EV -1.24%
Ventaja -0.908%
Kelly -3.36%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.37
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
69.63%71.89%72.15%72.94%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.281.331.331.3778.13%75.30%75.19%72.99%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Frances Tiafoe (Local): 27.92%; Ben Shelton (Visitante): 72.08%. Para Frances Tiafoe (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.58. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.55, con un valor esperado de -0.901%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.40%EV -0.901%E -0.254%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.60%EV -3.41%E -2.54%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-09 16:11 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.25%EV -0.901%E -0.254%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.75%EV -4.13%E -3.10%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-09 15:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -2.30%E -0.656%K -0.919%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -3.41%E -2.54%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-09 15:21 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -2.30%E -0.656%K -0.919%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.85%E -3.67%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-09 17:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -2.30%E -0.656%K -0.919%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.57%E -4.25%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-09 14:06 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.30%E -0.656%K -0.919%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-09 14:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -3.69%E -1.07%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -4.13%E -3.10%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-09 08:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -3.69%E -1.07%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -4.13%E -3.10%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-09 08:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -3.69%E -1.07%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.85%E -3.67%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-09 15:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -3.69%E -1.07%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.85%E -3.67%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-09 15:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -3.69%E -1.07%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.85%E -3.67%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-09 15:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -3.69%E -1.07%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -7.73%E -6.04%K -27.61%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 15:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.88%EV -3.97%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.12%EV -4.13%E -3.10%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.79%EV -4.25%E -1.24%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.21%EV -4.85%E -3.67%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-09 17:06 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -4.53%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -4.85%E -3.67%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.21%EV -4.81%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.79%EV -3.41%E -2.54%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-09 09:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.09%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.13%E -3.10%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-09 08:44 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.09%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.85%E -3.67%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-09 15:21 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.09%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.85%E -3.67%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-09 14:06 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.09%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.85%E -3.67%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-09 14:06 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.09%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-09 14:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.09%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-09 15:26 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.09%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.09%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -5.09%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -7.01%E -5.43%K -24.17%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 12:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -5.09%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -7.73%E -6.04%K -27.61%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-09 14:06 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -5.09%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -7.73%E -6.04%K -27.61%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-09 14:06 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.48%E -1.94%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.85%E -3.67%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-09 15:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.48%E -1.94%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.85%E -3.67%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-09 15:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -6.48%E -1.94%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.57%E -4.25%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-09 15:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -6.48%E -1.94%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.57%E -4.25%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-09 15:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -6.48%E -1.94%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.57%E -4.25%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-09 15:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.13%E -3.10%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-09 11:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.13%E -3.10%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-09 11:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -4.85%E -3.67%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -9.28%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -1.96%E -1.44%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.28%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.13%E -3.10%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-09 16:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.28%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.13%E -3.10%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.28%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.13%E -3.10%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-09 14:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.28%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.13%E -3.10%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-09 17:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -9.28%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-09 15:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.48%EV -9.55%E -2.95%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.52%EV -7.01%E -5.43%K -24.17%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-09 13:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -10.67%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -1.96%E -1.44%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-09 17:11 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -12.07%E -3.83%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -1.24%E -0.908%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -12.07%E -3.83%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -1.24%E -0.908%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-09 17:11 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -12.07%E -3.83%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -1.24%E -0.908%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.07%E -3.83%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.96%E -1.44%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 17:11 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.07%E -3.83%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.96%E -1.44%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.07%E -3.83%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.96%E -1.44%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.07%E -3.83%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.96%E -1.44%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.07%E -3.83%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.96%E -1.44%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.07%E -3.83%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.96%E -1.44%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 17:11 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.07%E -3.83%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.96%E -1.44%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.07%E -3.83%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.96%E -1.44%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 17:11 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.07%E -3.83%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.96%E -1.44%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.07%E -3.83%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.96%E -1.44%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.07%E -3.83%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.96%E -1.44%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -12.07%E -3.83%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -2.69%E -1.99%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-09 15:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.25%EV -12.90%E -4.14%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.75%EV -7.01%E -5.43%K -24.17%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-09 15:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -14.86%E -4.87%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -4.13%E -3.10%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 0.6% | 2026-09-09 16:41 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 0.6% | 2026-09-09 16:41 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 0.6% | 2026-09-09 16:41 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 0.6% | 2026-09-09 16:41 |
| Novig◎ | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.59% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.41% | 1.5% | 2026-09-09 16:56 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.70% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.30% | 1.7% | 2026-09-09 16:41 |