Langue:Français
Frances Tiafoe v Ben Shelton
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Frances Tiafoe (Local)
Prévision 27.92%3.58cote équitable
EV -0.901%
Avantage -0.254%
Kelly -0.353%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.55
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.06%28.11%27.85%30.37%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.053.313.353.5532.79%30.17%29.85%28.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Ben Shelton (Visiteur)
Prévision 72.08%1.39cote équitable
EV -1.24%
Avantage -0.908%
Kelly -3.36%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.37
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
69.63%71.89%72.15%72.94%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.281.331.331.3778.13%75.30%75.19%72.99%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Frances Tiafoe (Local) : 27.92% ; Ben Shelton (Visiteur) : 72.08%. Pour Frances Tiafoe (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.58. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.55, pour une espérance de -0.901% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.
Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.40%EV -0.901%E -0.254%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.60%EV -3.41%E -2.54%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-09 16:11 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.25%EV -0.901%E -0.254%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.75%EV -4.13%E -3.10%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-09 15:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -2.30%E -0.656%K -0.919%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -3.41%E -2.54%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-09 15:21 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -2.30%E -0.656%K -0.919%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.85%E -3.67%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-09 17:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -2.30%E -0.656%K -0.919%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.57%E -4.25%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-09 14:06 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.30%E -0.656%K -0.919%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-09 14:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -3.69%E -1.07%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -4.13%E -3.10%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-09 08:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -3.69%E -1.07%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -4.13%E -3.10%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-09 08:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -3.69%E -1.07%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.85%E -3.67%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-09 15:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -3.69%E -1.07%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.85%E -3.67%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-09 15:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -3.69%E -1.07%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.85%E -3.67%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-09 15:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -3.69%E -1.07%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -7.73%E -6.04%K -27.61%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 15:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.88%EV -3.97%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.12%EV -4.13%E -3.10%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.79%EV -4.25%E -1.24%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.21%EV -4.85%E -3.67%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-09 17:06 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -4.53%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -4.85%E -3.67%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.21%EV -4.81%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.79%EV -3.41%E -2.54%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-09 09:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.09%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.13%E -3.10%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-09 08:44 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.09%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.85%E -3.67%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-09 15:21 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.09%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.85%E -3.67%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-09 14:06 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.09%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.85%E -3.67%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-09 14:06 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.09%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-09 14:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.09%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-09 15:26 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.09%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.09%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -5.09%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -7.01%E -5.43%K -24.17%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 12:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -5.09%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -7.73%E -6.04%K -27.61%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-09 14:06 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -5.09%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -7.73%E -6.04%K -27.61%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-09 14:06 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.48%E -1.94%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.85%E -3.67%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-09 15:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.48%E -1.94%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.85%E -3.67%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-09 15:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -6.48%E -1.94%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.57%E -4.25%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-09 15:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -6.48%E -1.94%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.57%E -4.25%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-09 15:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -6.48%E -1.94%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.57%E -4.25%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-09 15:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.13%E -3.10%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-09 11:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.13%E -3.10%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-09 11:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -4.85%E -3.67%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -9.28%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -1.96%E -1.44%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.28%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.13%E -3.10%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-09 16:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.28%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.13%E -3.10%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.28%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.13%E -3.10%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-09 14:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.28%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.13%E -3.10%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-09 17:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -9.28%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-09 15:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.48%EV -9.55%E -2.95%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.52%EV -7.01%E -5.43%K -24.17%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-09 13:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -10.67%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -1.96%E -1.44%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-09 17:11 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -12.07%E -3.83%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -1.24%E -0.908%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -12.07%E -3.83%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -1.24%E -0.908%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-09 17:11 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -12.07%E -3.83%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -1.24%E -0.908%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.07%E -3.83%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.96%E -1.44%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 17:11 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.07%E -3.83%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.96%E -1.44%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.07%E -3.83%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.96%E -1.44%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.07%E -3.83%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.96%E -1.44%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.07%E -3.83%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.96%E -1.44%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.07%E -3.83%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.96%E -1.44%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 17:11 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.07%E -3.83%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.96%E -1.44%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.07%E -3.83%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.96%E -1.44%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 17:11 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.07%E -3.83%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.96%E -1.44%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.07%E -3.83%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.96%E -1.44%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.07%E -3.83%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.96%E -1.44%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -12.07%E -3.83%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -2.69%E -1.99%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-09 15:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.25%EV -12.90%E -4.14%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.75%EV -7.01%E -5.43%K -24.17%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-09 15:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -14.86%E -4.87%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -4.13%E -3.10%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 0.6% | 2026-09-09 16:41 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 0.6% | 2026-09-09 16:41 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 0.6% | 2026-09-09 16:41 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 0.6% | 2026-09-09 16:41 |
| Novig◎ | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.59% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.41% | 1.5% | 2026-09-09 16:56 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.70% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.30% | 1.7% | 2026-09-09 16:41 |